Quote:
Originally Posted by Codfish60
Yeah but against 1 card 9 draws I have ~60% equity with a pat T9 which is quite significant so I can't fold every weak pat hand. Congrats on the HORSE win btw, I had you pinned to win it (after I busted of course )
Sure, you have that, but you can't make much/any money on your hand after the draw unless a) your opponent bluffs you, and b) you have the stones to hero call them. You'd have to be in a ridiculously good game for people to be regularly paying you off with worse and post draw bets being profitable.
This drawback IMO weighs heavily against your 60% figure. Worth noting on a theoretical level equity doesn't equal the money you will make on the hand, only what portion of the pot you expect to receive if the hand were to stop there and you were all in with no more bets to come thereafter. It's like having two pair no low draw on a 986/J52/similar in omaha high low. You might have the best hand and equity now, but you are not going to make money playing that hand aggressively. Obviously making money is the essence of winning in cash poker.
I think what you're saying is definitely more applicable to tournaments where you will find those spots to be all in pre so you don't have to worry about post draw betting and reverse implied odds. Typically you won't be able to get it in pre in a cash game profitably long term unless you are playing in a very shallow stacked game (very unlikely in a NL game with only two betting rounds).
I also think the game is going to be much more enjoyable for you if you're only drawing at 97 or better in most spots because it gives you so much more situations in which you can confidently value bet postdraw and even call raises.
FWIW I agree with you on avoiding cold calling pre.
Thanks for your congratulations; everyone has been amazingly supportive and I feel great because of it. I played well, no doubt, and was probably one of the better players to say the least, but there is no doubt I ran very hot. I didn't brick a lot of hands throughout the tournament, put it that way. Just remember that one where I backdoored an ace high flush after barreling all streets with (69)A477 and got my last chips in on the end in stud against matey boy's 5423 board! That rivered T
was a beautiful card, which had I not received I would be on the rail.
Last edited by LUCIUS VARENUS; 04-14-2017 at 10:15 PM.