I played this hand a couple of months ago at my local casino at the £1/£1 game. Had been doing well was up like 350 so had a stack of £550.
My friend in the CO opens to £7, I call on the button with 8
9
, SB (Villain) a relatively tight aggressive player who has shown a couple of big folds, calls the raise and the BB jams for £26, CO (£400) calls , i call, Villain (£350) calls. So there is a side pot of £105.
Flop
J
10
9
Villain bets £40, he has donk lead a few times tonight, not seen a showdown against him yet, CO calls, I call.
Turn
5
Villain bets £80 leaving roughly £250 behind, CO folds, I jam.
At the time i convinced myself this was a good idea, as it is so hard for him to call with less than two pair, i have plenty of outs and my hand kind of looks like the nuts the way I played it. Although in hindsight having thought about this hand quite a lot, he has put in over a third of his chips, and the chances of him bluffing into a dry sidepot and two players with 175bbs + seems insane to with a bluff or marginal holdings.
And that i was easily getting the odds to call the turn bet then either fold river or value bet if flush comes as my f/d is disguised fairly well so could get good pay off.
Is this a really bad shove?