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HORSE stud-hi-lo hand HORSE stud-hi-lo hand

09-24-2010 , 01:55 AM
Question is whether calling multiple bets on 6th street is standard.

Poker Stars $30+$3 Limit Stud Hi/Lo Tournament - t75/t150 Limit + t15 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Seat 1: t2940 M = 12.65
Seat 2: t3000 M = 12.90
Seat 3: t3695 M = 15.89
Seat 4: t2390 M = 10.28
Seat 5: t6048 M = 26.01
Seat 6: t2127 M = 9.15
Seat 7: t3767 M = 16.20
Hero (): t2871 M = 12.35

3rd Street: (1.6 SB)
Seat 1: xx xx 8____Seat 1 calls____Seat 1 calls____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3____Seat 2 completes____Seat 2 caps!
Seat 3: xx xx 9____Seat 3 folds
Seat 4: xx xx J____Seat 4 folds
Seat 5: xx xx A____Seat 5 folds
Seat 6: xx xx K____Seat 6 raises____Seat 6 calls
Seat 7: xx xx A____Seat 7 calls____Seat 7 calls
Hero: 3 5 2___Hero brings in for $25___Hero 3-bets___Hero calls

4th Street: (21.6 SB) (5 players)
Seat 1: xx xx 8 5____Seat 1 calls____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3 4____Seat 2 raises____Seat 2 calls
Seat 6: xx xx K J____Seat 6 calls____Seat 6 calls
Seat 7: xx xx A 6____Seat 7 checks____Seat 7 calls____Seat 7 calls
Hero: 3 5 2 8___Hero bets___Hero 3-bets

5th Street: (18.3 BB) (5 players)
Seat 1: xx xx 8 5 3____Seat 1 bets____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3 4 T____Seat 2 calls____Seat 2 calls
Seat 6: xx xx K J Q____Seat 6 raises
Seat 7: xx xx A 6 6____Seat 7 checks____Seat 7 calls
Hero: 3 5 2 8 T___Hero checks___Hero calls

6th Street: (28.3 BB) (5 players)
Seat 1: xx xx 8 5 3 6____Seat 1 3-bets____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3 4 T T____Seat 2 bets____Seat 2 calls____Seat 2 calls
Seat 6: xx xx K J Q 7____Seat 6 raises____Seat 6 caps!
Seat 7: xx xx A 6 6 Q____Seat 7 folds
Hero: 3 5 2 8 T 5___Hero calls___Hero calls

7th Street: (44.3 BB) (4 players)
Seat 1: xx xx 8 5 3 6 xx____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3 4 T T xx____Seat 2 bets
Seat 6: xx xx K J Q 7 xx____Seat 6 calls
Hero: 3 5 2 8 T 5 2___Hero folds
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote
09-24-2010 , 08:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by swifttarrow
Question is whether calling multiple bets on 6th street is standard.

Poker Stars $30+$3 Limit Stud Hi/Lo Tournament - t75/t150 Limit + t15 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Seat 1: t2940 M = 12.65
Seat 2: t3000 M = 12.90
Seat 3: t3695 M = 15.89
Seat 4: t2390 M = 10.28
Seat 5: t6048 M = 26.01
Seat 6: t2127 M = 9.15
Seat 7: t3767 M = 16.20
Hero (): t2871 M = 12.35

3rd Street: (1.6 SB)
Seat 1: xx xx 8____Seat 1 calls____Seat 1 calls____Seat 1 calls
Seat 2: xx xx 3____Seat 2 completes____Seat 2 caps!
Seat 3: xx xx 9____Seat 3 folds
Seat 4: xx xx J____Seat 4 folds
Seat 5: xx xx A____Seat 5 folds
Seat 6: xx xx K____Seat 6 raises____Seat 6 calls
Seat 7: xx xx A____Seat 7 calls____Seat 7 calls
Hero: 3 5 2___Hero brings in for $25___Hero 3-bets___Hero calls

4th Street: (21.6 SB) (5 players)
Seat 1: xx xx 8 5
Seat 2: xx xx 3 4
Seat 6: xx xx K J
Seat 7: xx xx A 6
Hero: 3 5 2 8
From Hero's perspective, at this point there are 19 favorable cards and 23 unfavorable cards

At this point the probability of three unfavorable cards is
C(23,3)/C(42,3)= 23/42*22/41*21/40=~15.4%.

Thus the odds in favor of Hero making a club flush or qualifying for low are about 5.6 to 1. (However, no guarantee Hero will win low with an eight).

And then you just miss. Bummer.

This seems more of a bad beat post than anything else. But since you asked a question, seems to me the hand belongs more in the stud forum than anywhere else. I'll move it there for you.

Buzz
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote
09-25-2010 , 02:33 AM
Hard to see a low being good given the action, so it will cost 1 more bet if anything. 6 cards to a flush draw.

I don't really know how the math works out, but if i have to guesstimate since theres 44BB in the pot at the end, assuming you are only going for the high pot which has 6 clubs out of 27 cards left for about 4.5 to 1.

Given the action you should see the capped 6th coming so its 22BB for 4, which is about 5.5 to 1. Seems like a pretty marginal spot for a tournament.

HOWEVER, seat 2 might have a flush already, leaving you drawing dead to T or higher, which then means you no longer have the odds to call. I think fold is in order.
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote
09-25-2010 , 02:34 AM
I guess seat1 can also not have a strong low yet as well
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote
09-25-2010 , 11:29 PM
Putting in lots of action on third and fourth is good. I'd even be tempted to put in more action on fifth. Clubs are still live, and you should be drawing pretty live for low as well. Sixth does get a little uncomfortable, but the pot is enormous and judging from the action, a flush should be good if you get there. If the guy with the open pair had come over the top, then there would be a distinct chance that you were drawing dead. Hard to imagine you're good on the river. Them's the breaks.
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote
09-26-2010 , 12:10 AM
yeah c/r 5th. there's 8 clubs left and 32 unseen cards.
HORSE stud-hi-lo hand Quote

      
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