On 3rd, I think I wince when seat 5 reraises, but there are 4 players and I'm closing the betting, and like everybody else has said the
are live and I have a live A
. Additionally, the optimist in me would say "I know where all 4 queens are and don't have to worry about any of them showing up in my board cards."
I ran twodimes.net simulations for 4th and 5th streets. I gave seat 5 the two pair on 4th street, because that's how he played, and I also didn't give seat 8 trip sevens on 3rd, because he did not play that way. (twodimes rearranges the card order in its output)
dead cards (4h 3s tc 5s)
As Ad 4d 3d 39.52%
Ks Kc Qc Qd 32.99%
Qs 8s 2s Qh 7.86%
9c 7c 7d 6d 19.61%
As 8c Ad 4d 3d 41.37%
Ks Kc Qc Qd 2h 35.28%
Qs 8s 2s Qh Jh 6.02%
9c 7c Kd 7d 6d 17.34%
I'm not sure how to use this information, but maybe somebody else can. All I can tell is that you're the favorite with your aces all the way. Seat 8 hit his trip 7s on the river, but you did him one better and hit your trip aces.