20c/40c 8 game hand - peel? - Stud Poker - Stud Poker Strategy Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy Other Poker Games Stud

20c/40c 8 game hand - peel?

Post Reply Subscribe

...

02-06-2017 , 12:04 PM

LUCIUS VARENUS

Soldier of Minbet

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 10,461

Poker Stars $0.20/$0.40 Limit Stud Hi/Lo $0.04 Ante - 6 players - View hand 3022612
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

3rd Street: (1.2 SB)
Hero: 5

___Hero completes
Seat 2: xx xx 3

____Seat 2 brings in for $0.08____Seat 2 calls
Seat 3: xx xx T

____Seat 3 folds
Seat 4: xx xx 6

____Seat 4 calls____Seat 4 calls
Seat 5: xx xx K

____Seat 5 calls____Seat 5 calls
Seat 6: xx xx 9

____Seat 6 folds

4th Street: (5.2 SB) (4 players)
Hero: 5

___Hero ?
Seat 2: xx xx 3

____Seat 2 bets
Seat 4: xx xx 6

____Seat 4 calls
Seat 5: xx xx K

____Seat 5 calls

Both the cards I needed came out. Guy who bet out might have three threes!

Quote

02-06-2017 , 04:04 PM

ninefingershuffle

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 3,779

I'd peel. The 62 not raising could mean he is weak.

Quote

02-06-2017 , 04:21 PM

LUCIUS VARENUS

Soldier of Minbet

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 10,461

Quote:

Originally Posted by ninefingershuffle

I'd peel. The 62 not raising could mean he is weak.

Or he doesn't want to isolate against trip/two pair when the most he could have is a gutshot?

I'd be calling in his shoes too.

Quote

02-06-2017 , 10:42 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,128

This is an automatic call, its very rare to have a premium starting hand in any stud game that shouldn't see 5th for one additional (small) bet

If you play around with some sims you should realize you easily have enough equity to continue

Last edited by monikrazy; 02-06-2017 at 10:51 PM.

Quote

02-07-2017 , 01:53 AM

doylebrunson1337

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 562

implied odds does not look so good on this one. But the k-high adds the lost money in this pot, if I make the nut low on 6th street I would not raise the threes unless checked to. But GTO seems to be fold here, I mean in best case u can backdoor a 8low or something like a FD (but both clubs for that was dealt out to the others) like that or pair aces and cry-call 7th bet.

If it is a raisedonk-ring I would spazz 4th here.

Quote

02-07-2017 , 02:19 AM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,128

Just ran some sims and even though stud sims are more difficult than other games it looks like hero should easily have >24% equity

I have something like 20.6% chance to win lo, 21.8% chance to win hi, 10% chance to scoop, and very small chance of splitting hi or lo

Even if we give player 2 only 333x combos hero still has upwards of 17.6%

Quote

02-07-2017 , 09:40 AM

St.Boston

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 159

This is one of the only times I would peel when I miss fourth street. We have so many cards to hit on 5th to continue. Obviously we want to hit a low club. But we want to be aware of villians board if we hit just a high club or trash low card.

Quote

02-07-2017 , 12:28 PM

tiger415

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 1,264

at 8.2:1 closing, I can't think of that many hands you should even be tossing.

ProPokerTools Stud Hi/Lo Simulation

600,000 trials (Randomized)

dead cards: t

Hand	Pot equity	Scoops	Wins Hi	Ties Hi	Wins Lo	Ties Lo
$L$L!33 / 3h3c	28.08%	73,808	178,466	118	103,209	900
$L$L!66 / 6h2c	28.42%	54,646	90,591	82	220,006	1,344
k*!kk / kdjs	23.45%	48,078	233,252	25	0	0
5c4cactd	20.06%	40,770	97,525	107	118,732	1,034

the bad news is you'll probably be facing a lot of difficult spots on 5th tho assuming you don't brick and villains also don't brick.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...