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sorta weird spot on  3$R FT sorta weird spot on  3$R FT

03-27-2012 , 04:00 PM
i got opener marked as a reg with 4,4k games and 4k profit ~20% ROI

running 25/21/7 with 48% steal over 291 hands
early PFR is 28% (86)

chipleader seems to be a bit flatcally as well, got him labeled as reg, running 18/12/9 with 35% steal over 360 hands. I think this is a really intersteing ICM spot as well as rest of the table is passive / folding , the typical bronze star fish u want to have at your FT.

WUG?





[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $3.19 Buy-in (4,000/8,000 blinds, 800 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #12351852

BTN: 19,832 (2.5 bb)
SB: 337,142 (42.1 bb)
BB: 45,466 (5.7 bb)
UTG: 116,914 (14.6 bb)
MP: 76,140 (9.5 bb)
Hero (CO): 251,006 (31.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 9
UTG raises to 16,000, MP folds, Hero ????
03-27-2012 , 10:14 PM
UTG Villain can be that light cuz he´s basically priced in to call at least 2 guys (the BTN and BB) if they get it in, so he´s r/f range its really tight hence u dont hace much FE making the 3bet push less profitable...I´ll fold.
03-28-2012 , 06:21 AM
Agreed, this is a very weird spot. You would assume that the utg raiser is intending to call a shove from the player with 10bbs (kind of bad for him to raise fold to this stack size), as well as the other 2 short stacks. This narrows his range a fair amount imo. If I were in villain's position utg here I would be raise calling with 55+, A9s+, KQ+.

Against this range we are basically flipping, but when you factor in fold equity I think 99 is good enough to play here. I think we can 3 bet here and expect him to fold his hands like aj, a10, kq, 55, 66 a fair amount of the time, especially if his steal is 48%. I would make it 38k and obv call if he shoves.
03-28-2012 , 02:10 PM
35k/c OR, fold vs the SB in case of the 4b.
this is not close at all vs OR.
03-29-2012 , 04:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by furo
35k/c OR, fold vs the SB in case of the 4b.
this is not close at all vs OR.
glad i didnt have to type much

this is correct

      
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