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Call Or Fold? Call Or Fold?

07-03-2016 , 04:21 AM
He seems pretty loose passive and does have a full 16 big blinds to work with

PokerStars - $3.30+$0.20|200/400 Ante 50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 7,659 (VPIP: 16.55, PFR: 14.50, 3Bet Preflop: 10.91, Hands: 140)
BB: 12,785 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 16)
UTG: 7,069 (VPIP: 40.43, PFR: 19.57, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 47)
UTG+1: 10,555 (VPIP: 14.06, PFR: 11.70, 3Bet Preflop: 7.06, Hands: 5,178)
Hero (MP): 17,781
MP+1: 5,862 (VPIP: 18.83, PFR: 15.68, 3Bet Preflop: 6.36, Hands: 449)
MP+2: 6,356 (VPIP: 17.31, PFR: 7.53, 3Bet Preflop: 6.82, Hands: 105)
CO: 3,393 (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 14)
BTN: 23,274 (VPIP: 16.04, PFR: 15.73, 3Bet Preflop: 6.13, Hands: 1,647)

9 players post ante of 50, SB posts SB 200, BB posts BB 400

Pre Flop: (pot: 1,050) Hero has 7 7

fold, fold, Hero raises to 800, fold, MP+2 raises to 6,306 and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero?
07-03-2016 , 10:34 PM
Think I call in game. 88 I call for sure this one is close
07-06-2016 , 02:46 PM
How close to the money are we?

Without major ICM considerations I think this is a call 5506 to win 13662 - we need 40% and I think we'll have it often enough. Even if we think he never does this with weaker pairs he needs to have unpaired cards for a 60-40 "race" as often as we are on the wrong side of a 20-80 situation with a higher pair. 88+ is only 42 combos. AQ+ is 32 combos already and it doesn't take a lot of imagination to find 10 more.

I wouldn't cold call him here from behind but closing the action and with 800 already committed its ok.
07-07-2016 , 12:39 PM
Fold for sure against his preflop 3bet. You are raising from UTG+2 so his 3bet is even tighter.
07-07-2016 , 01:50 PM
@Lektor

with blinds at 200-400 there are not major, or even slight icm considerations imo.

EDIT:

vs 3bet of 8.4% 77 is a break even call. Villain seems loose passive, I dont know if his 3bet % is that high in that spot. But its closer then i thought. It becomes very much +ev when villain starts to throwin 66 and AT.

Last edited by Leia Amidala; 07-07-2016 at 01:57 PM.

      
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