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 180 man turbo AQs facing AI  180 man turbo AQs facing AI

03-17-2012 , 10:16 AM
I have no reads on this table.

If my math is correct, I need 40%+ equity for a call to be profitable. Correct me if I am wrong.

2310 / (2310 * 2 + 400 * 2 + 300) = 0,40384615384615384615384615384615

If I set villains shoving range to 77+,AJs+,AQo+ pokerstove says 41.990% equity which makes it slightly profitable. But is this a realistic range for a unknown villain in this spot?

Another thing. Since I am almost down to 15BB, and the game is turbo, I can't trow this hand away, even though I am UTG. But should I perhaps have made a larger bet, to utilize more fold equity, and make future AI descisions easier?

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100.00/t200.00 Blinds - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG+1: t2057.00 10.29 BBs
UTG+2: t3445.00 17.23 BBs
MP1: t925.00 4.62 BBs
MP2: t2510.00 12.55 BBs
CO: t3140.00 15.70 BBs
BTN: t2505.00 12.53 BBs
SB: t2710.00 13.55 BBs
BB: t2815.00 14.07 BBs
Hero (UTG): t3030.00 15.15 BBs

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to t400, 6 folds, SB raises to t2710, 1 fold, Hero calls t2310

Flop: (t5620) Q 8 5 (2 players)

Turn: (t5620) K (2 players)

River: (t5620) 4 (2 players)
03-17-2012 , 11:25 AM
Quote:
If I set villains shoving range to 77+,AJs+,AQo+
Readless we can be for sure villains its pushing this wide, and also we have to take into account your image at the table, this is very important, cuz in general we´re facing a 13/14bb 3bet push vs a UTG min raise, 3bettor range, if u havent been opening like a maniac and keep it simple villains range its a lot more tighter than that, i would say 99+, AQ+, and vs this range AQs has 38.9% equity, so its a very close spot, just flop a coin a decide just there are no enough info to make an optimall decision, if villains its a random i would fold. But again, since its a close spot its basically te same whether u call or fold cuz the end up results will have close to no impact on your long term ROI
03-17-2012 , 12:40 PM
prob just jam pre if you think about r/f

      
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