Quote:
Originally Posted by chilin_dude
r/c or r/f, dont openship this deep.
disagree, I don't think you can really warrant r/c QTo here.
Range vs 100%
Hand 0: 57.291% 55.95% 01.34% 14082444036 338143686.00 { QTo }
Hand 1: 42.709% 41.37% 01.34% 10412137392 338143686.00 { random }
Range vs super spazz 41% (22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T8s+, 98s, A2o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o )
Hand 0: 44.631% 42.80% 01.83% 4186233444 179003814.00 { QTo }
Hand 1: 55.369% 53.54% 01.83% 5236439376 179003814.00 \
This hand has made me think, I keep leaning towards either open shoving or folding, but I feel like both limps and raises will be attacked frequently, yet have pro's that should be considered.
Without making this post too long, I'll just talk about the less common option, limping.
Obviously if you limp, you should see flops some % of the time, and you do lose less when your opponent raises, but you lose the chance to win the pot preflop. The thing though, is this hand is a lot stronger then an average hand so if you can make it to the flop enough you should be in a +ev situation. I believe you should consider this option, and here's why.
a, Your hand is made of big cards and you are shallow.
- this means, you will get in a lot of pair over pair situations where you have amazing equity with the higher pair much more often then the lower pair
b, Your hand flops a lot of draws where you will be able to apply multi street pressure.
- flops like 9Jx J8x k9x AJx you will be able to two barrel successfully a lot on these boards, your opponent will likely have the middle or bottom card and will not be able to face the pressure.
c, You get to test your opponents aggression level for not a large investment.
-I think this is often overlooked, but if you do limp and he snap shoves or say 3x's, you can make a mental note. Yes, you lose -.5bb but this information may come into play later in the tournament when you are short handed again.
Although you will have the positional disadvantage when you do flop something you'll likely have the betting lead with the best hand. That being said, obviously there is a flip side and it's important to mention.
-You will face coolers like 44T where you won't be able to get away from an opponents 4x.
-Some players will raise you preflop to 3x or 2.5x with nearly ATC.
-You are out of position, this is always something to mention even when shallow and position means less the positions are still meaningful
Overall I feel like is a +EV situation
if you can get to the see the flop unraised enough. I feel like that # should probably be around 30% of the time, but I'm not sure how exactly to do the math on this. I also don't know if that's giving up too much and open jamming is more +EV. I do feel like vs the right players limping should be more +ev then open mucking though.
The counter argument will be, while if limping is more +ev then folding, is it more +ev then raising, and that's interesting. I feel like a lot of people will jam wider vs a raise open then a limp open because of all the added money in the pot, and if those opponents check back open limps then this is likely the situation when the limp should be considered.
Weird hand still... it's like open folding feels horrible, open jamming feels spewy but usually correct and open limping feels vulnerable. I want to hear more opinions.