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 180  10 players  180  10 players

08-15-2012 , 11:17 AM
what to call here?

villain 80 hands 19/16 45 steal, how wide is he pushing there with 15BB?


PokerStars NLHE Tournament, ($2.28+$0.22), t1000/t2000/t200 blinds, 5 handed, 30%/20%/11.9%/8%/6.5%/5%/3.5%/2.6%/1.7% payouts
Hand exported from the SitNGo Wizard. How to import this hand into the SitNGo Wizard.
{Tournament|PokerStars|2.28|0.22|1000|2000|200|180-Man}
UTG: t18384 8.4 BBs{Player|UTG|18384|Fold|200}
CO: t15933 7.2 BBs{Player|CO|15933|Fold|200}
BTN: t18525 8.4 BBs{Player|BTN|18525|Fold|200}
SB: t28532 13 BBs{Player|SB|28532|Push|28532|Overridden|90}
Hero: t29736 14 BBs{Player|Hero|29736|As|5s}

Preflop: Hero is BB with A5
3 folds, SB pushes t28532 (50+), Hero?
08-15-2012 , 12:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poporella

villain 80 hands 19/16 45 steal, how wide is he pushing there with 15BB?

He'll be pretty loose here, but not as soon as normal with the 3 other shorter stacks at the table (assuming this is a FT)
I'd image he's pushing something similar to this range:
22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q3s+,J5s+,T6s+,96s+,86s+,76s,A2o+,K6 o+,Q8o+,J8o+,T8o+,98o
That may be a little off since I'm pretty bad at reading txt HH lol
08-15-2012 , 12:58 PM
He needs to be over 80%. No thanks.
08-15-2012 , 04:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
He needs to be over 80%. No thanks.
????
sorry, I don't understand. Do you mean 'He needs to push over 80% to make a profitable call with A5s'??
I really don't think so. I'll have hard time to fold this unless specific read(which we don't have). but I might sigh fold but then it'll be REALLY REALLY CLOSE.
08-15-2012 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sayakmitra
????

I really don't think so.
Your choice to be wrong, suits me.
08-15-2012 , 05:47 PM
Final table bubble, not final table.

He could be pushing near atc if you are tight, more like 70% if he thinks you are capable of calling wide.

I'd be hard pressed to find a fold. Might be more likely to fold if there is an extremely short stack on the other table.
08-16-2012 , 08:47 AM
he's pushing here min 70% i guess
08-16-2012 , 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
He needs to be over 80%. No thanks.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sayakmitra
????
sorry, I don't understand. Do you mean 'He needs to push over 80% to make a profitable call with A5s'??
I really don't think so. I'll have hard time to fold this unless specific read(which we don't have). but I might sigh fold but then it'll be REALLY REALLY CLOSE.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Your choice to be wrong, suits me.
What SNGNit meant (Or at least i think this is what he meant) its that if this were a Final Table and from an extrictly ICM perspective we need SB to be pushing top 80% to make the call profitably taking into account other shorties on the table. In fact, SNGWiz sets the breakeven point at 87%/88%, again, just from an ICM stand point of view.
But since its FT Bubble and from a cEV point of view this is a first pump spinning my head snap call, we only need villain to be pushing around 27%/28% to make the call here.
08-16-2012 , 10:33 AM
fold obv
08-16-2012 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Potamito
What SNGNit meant (Or at least i think this is what he meant) its that if this were a Final Table and from an extrictly ICM perspective we need SB to be pushing top 80% to make the call profitably taking into account other shorties on the table. In fact, SNGWiz sets the breakeven point at 87%/88%, again, just from an ICM stand point of view.
But since its FT Bubble and from a cEV point of view this is a first pump spinning my head snap call, we only need villain to be pushing around 27%/28% to make the call here.
where that 28% come from?
i 100% agree with SNGNit, vilain need to push ~80% or more for us to be a profitable call here. And i know its the final table bubble, so 10 players left. and i assume that SNGNit knows it too (its written in the title of the hand, and im sure he can read )
08-16-2012 , 03:14 PM
Wait a minute. You guys use cev with 10 left? oh my days. I don't even use it with 100 left. little hint: you can wiz the FT bubble proper ICM style, sure you don't need me to tell you how to figure that out.
08-16-2012 , 03:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Wait a minute. You guys use cev with 10 left? oh my days. I don't even use it with 100 left. little hint: you can wiz the FT bubble proper ICM style, sure you don't need me to tell you how to figure that out.
I think I'm right in saying that ICM would prolly come into play at the end of the rebuy period in $3rs, and from the very first hand of a FO 180 (to a minute degree)

Also, the bubble factor is higher with 10 left in a 180 than with 6 left.
08-16-2012 , 03:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Wait a minute. You guys use cev with 10 left? oh my days. I don't even use it with 100 left.
08-16-2012 , 04:23 PM
against reg my calling range in this spot: 66+,A8s+,KJs+,QJs,ATo+,KQo
he's pushing any 2

against unknown: 88+,A9s+,KQs,AJo+
08-16-2012 , 04:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Wait a minute. You guys use cev with 10 left? oh my days. I don't even use it with 100 left. little hint: you can wiz the FT bubble proper ICM style, sure you don't need me to tell you how to figure that out.
How can you properly use Wiz to run a FT bubble ICM base escenario when u dont know the stacks of the other table?
08-16-2012 , 05:22 PM
Just use even stacks, it's as close as we can get.
08-16-2012 , 05:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Just use even stacks, it's as close as we can get.
[IMG]http://www.*********************/newuploads/1lwyt.jpg[/IMG]

[IMG]http://www.*********************/newuploads/foojm.jpg[/IMG]
08-16-2012 , 06:27 PM


Potamito....you made my day!
08-16-2012 , 06:50 PM
You guys make mine. If u can't figure it then quit poker.
08-16-2012 , 06:58 PM
Isn't $EV used when the payjumps become significant? I thought cEV is not used until final table in 180-man turbos. And even then it's not very significant until like final 5.

Do I misunderstand something?
08-16-2012 , 08:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Your choice to be wrong, suits me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
Wait a minute. You guys use cev with 10 left? oh my days. I don't even use it with 100 left.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SngNit
You guys make mine. If u can't figure it then quit poker.
Dont want to get into any kind of pointless arguments with you but this is exactly the type of attituted others 2+2ers find unpleasant
08-16-2012 , 09:29 PM
What kind of model do you use for 100 left if not cEV?
08-17-2012 , 04:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lucasstar
What kind of model do you use for 100 left if not cEV?
i use my brain, logic and commonsense!
08-17-2012 , 05:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mckrogh
i use my brain, logic and commonsense!
Plus One
08-17-2012 , 06:02 AM
^ Hey you two less of the attitude!!

      
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