Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
Note: this isn't strong evidence that Jungleman didn't play on the toshisan account, I'm just saying it isn't strong evidence that he did. Identical stats would be fairly important circumstantial evidence at this point.
Yeah BB VPIP seems to be around 60-70%. So it is unlikely that it was JM (on the other hand - does anybody know whether Jose plays this loose from BB)?
Also - total amount of tracked hands is 3.3k, so it seems to me that it was used rarely (unless it was used for PLO which PTR doesnt track for ipoker).
Few other things i noticed - there seems to be few hands played at mid/low stakes - 1/2, 2/4 - "last played date" around late July/ early August.
I dont know why would anyone of the three (JM/DIH/Girah) play this low.
If girah was close to busto, he could surely find enough action on 1/2 on his own accounts. Just a random thought.
Quote:
Originally Posted by alexeimartov
on the other hand those stats don't look like haseebs either, jungleman is good enough to pull off any stats and would obv try to disguise himself in this manner.
BB stats are evidence against jungleman playing most of these hands.
"Evidence" doesnt mean "proof", rather:
probability it was jungleman given observed stats (60-70% BB) is lower than
probability it was jungleman if observed stats were in 40-50% range.
Also - why would JM need to conceal his stats. It is not like he expected somebody might somehow suspect that TOSHISAN was DIH account and shared with JM.
Quote:
Originally Posted by alexeimartov
agree this isn't that strong evidence though and worst case scenario isn't THAT bad relative to the whole jose thing anyway. who knows. it seems kind of likely though:
consider:
jungleman loves playing poker.
both him and haseeb have lived together, coach together, and stake jose together, 50/50.
haseeb has an account he created while he was in canada. jungleman doesn't.
jose played on haseebs account and sounds like he had the password. this kind of implies that to settle, he would simply leave the money in the account and it would be split between the two.
there are plenty of other ways this could work and it is basically impossible to prove anything. i just wouldn't be surprised given that jungleman can't play anywhere, has basically no life besides poker, his friend who stakes with him has a legit account, etc.
i will add that patrik antonius multiaccounted for this reason despite being a stand up guy. i don't think its hard to see jman doing same thing with such easy access to it.
Good points.
It seems reasonable to imagine JM being bored one day (after BF) and deciding to play some hands on this account.
But this seems like relatively minor problem compared to what others are accusing them of (being criminal masterminds behind all the scams etc.)