Quote:
Originally Posted by oddfish0
$400 is not a small bet. It is about half of the pot.
The river situation is, the hero has failed to extract enough info to make a river bet more optimally. The range of the villain's hand is wide. To make the matter worse, the villain highly likely will not fold a 6 or two spades. The only hands the hero can bluff out, in my opinion, are the ones he can beat with KK.
In this scenario, his best option on the river is not to bluff but to hold off a bluff for the pot of slightly over $800 (with a chance that he gets paid off when the villain holds inferior pocket pairs). Therefore, it is a matter of figuring out a proper bet size.
We're not trying to bluff those hands out, i'm just saying that if we had say 89o, we'd definitely bluff that river and we wouldn't choose a sizing in the 1/2PSB range, more like 2/3-3/4. Therefore we need to stay balanced and bet our value hands the same amount. We can't just decide to bluff for 700$, to overbet jam AA and to bet 400 with KK.
Betting that little just looks exactly like what we are trying to accomplish, i.e. getting thin value against a vague range we're not really sure to be ahead of. He can basically shove all his midpairs as a bluff, and call with anything that beats us.
I'm not saying b/f is better than c/f though, i'm just pretty sure c/f~b/f 700 >>>>> b/f 400.