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Investigation Into Softplaying Between Stoxtrader, Kinetica, and LittleZen (very very tl;dr) Investigation Into Softplaying Between Stoxtrader, Kinetica, and LittleZen (very very tl;dr)

04-11-2010 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ike
Put it in the first post. Is what I added good?
i was gonna mention that. hope this decreases troll traffic in this thread.
04-11-2010 , 01:02 PM
Don't you guys realize that its another black eye on online poker, and making it into a bigger deal then it is will just put us 2 steps backwards. I would like everyone on here to go to your closest casino, and sit down and play poker, and ask the people next to you if they play online poker. This is what you will here alot of.

1. It's Illegal

2. I used to but theres to much cheating going on, so I dont trust putting my money in there.

I know you can argue that this will help the online poker world by policing the games, which is probably true for the regs, but what about the casual fish that most of us make our money from? There afraid to play online poker.

If the media gets ahold of this we all lose, and you will rethink your stance. I really don't think Stox cheated. I bet almost every high stakes reg talks strategy with somone that they dont get involved in pots with. I'm not saying it's right but its far from jason Ho or zee justin, russ hamilton or whatever his name is.
04-11-2010 , 01:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaseAceJ
Don't you guys realize that its another black eye on online poker, and making it into a bigger deal then it is will just put us 2 steps backwards. I would like everyone on here to go to your closest casino, and sit down and play poker, and ask the people next to you if they play online poker. This is what you will here alot of.

1. It's Illegal

2. I used to but theres to much cheating going on, so I dont trust putting my money in there.

I know you can argue that this will help the online poker world by policing the games, which is probably true for the regs, but what about the casual fish that most of us make our money from? There afraid to play online poker.

If the media gets ahold of this we all lose, and you will rethink your stance. I really don't think Stox cheated. I bet almost every high stakes reg talks strategy with somone that they dont get involved in pots with. I'm not saying it's right but its far from jason Ho or zee justin, russ hamilton or whatever his name is.
this is true about casinos, 75%+ of ppl i talk to think its rigged/cheating.
04-11-2010 , 01:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by viffer
I also think Taylor needs to explain if Nick has a vested interest in any companys he's involved in so people can decide if they want to continue to support them. I have directly asked Taylor to answer this question and he has declined, he has his lackies answer.
Taylor's already addressed this. Here's a link: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...postcount=1638 . See the last two paragraphs.

I don't think this thread should be about CR because I think they're barely related to this at all, so I don't really wanna say too much about this. However, Taylor and I have been in contact about this stuff, and I thought that this quote by him was pretty telling:

Quote:
I've logged thousands of hands with these guys over the years and it's pretty disgusting to think a guy I was in business with could have been cheating me at the tables.
So, yeah, I think that guilt by association is pretty silly here without any evidence at all to suggest that Taylor was part of this.

(Before someone accuses me of being buddies with Taylor and being biased in his favor, we've never talked publicly and I work for a competing company. I ain't biased here.)
04-11-2010 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
That 3-bet % is 1%. KK, AA, and AKs (not including AKo) is 1.2% of hands. So he's presumably 3-betting even tighter than that range against 40putts on average. You don't need to know much about poker to realize that that's very strange.
Statements like these are false. Like I said in a previous post, what is the effect of card removal on the percentage of AKs, KK+. You use the data to make it seem like they are folding KK or AA some of the time, which is not true.
04-11-2010 , 01:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Run Ricky Run
Statements like these are false. Like I said in a previous post, what is the effect of card removal on the percentage of AKs, KK+. You use the data to make it seem like they are folding KK or AA some of the time, which is not true.
? if im reading this correctly hes not saying they are folding KK/AA, just perhaps not 3-betting them sometimes.
04-11-2010 , 01:15 PM
Again.. do we really need to nit it up about exactly what hands they 3-bet or can we just accept that they were obviously avoiding 3-betting each other to an absurd degree?
04-11-2010 , 01:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaseAceJ
I know you can argue that this will help the online poker world by policing the games, which is probably true for the regs, but what about the casual fish that most of us make our money from? There afraid to play online poker.
Yeah, we should definitely cover up the cheating instead. That would make online poker way better.
04-11-2010 , 02:03 PM
What a amazing post by Noah.
04-11-2010 , 02:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArturiusX
What information are you looking for?
Show how they shared their hands to cheat other people out of money? Playing differently is incredibly suspicious but not a crime in itself.

Show a spot where X and Y conspired to get Z to stack off against say, Xs AA, when Y had trash.

Mack
04-11-2010 , 02:32 PM
Noah this was mentioned in the Stox forums as a possible reason did you look into standard raise sizes? I mean if Nick is 2xing with a shortstacker behind that's less incentive to shove and could explain a smaller 3-bet. I'm not sure what most regs do and I was under the impression that there were many regs who min opened in those games. Can anyone who's played in those games comment on the typical standard open size and Nick/Rob's standard open sizes with shortstacks left to act?
04-11-2010 , 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mackthefork
Show how they shared their hands to cheat other people out of money? Playing differently is incredibly suspicious but not a crime in itself.

Show a spot where X and Y conspired to get Z to stack off against say, Xs AA, when Y had trash.

Mack
This is impossible to prove. There are legit instances where someone may flat strong hands to induce a squeeze and obviously Y can open light. The way you prove collusion is showing overall difference of play, not specific situations.

edit: obviously if they were idiots there could be specific situations where like they minraise back and forth to get someone to put more money in than they would but that's just so obvious and would be snap-caught by the poker sites and if not them the other players at the table. No one accused Nick/Rob of being idiots they're obviously very intelligent people who understand poker very well. They're not dumb enough to play a hand in such a way that it's obviously collusion.
04-11-2010 , 02:44 PM
ty ty ty Noah
04-11-2010 , 02:50 PM
nice work noah!
04-11-2010 , 02:52 PM
the case here is simple. nick broke the rules. there is no 100% way to determine whether there had been collusion or not unless Nick would provide independent people with hand history. what Noah had done is pretty impressive, however it can't be taken for granted unless full hand history is available.

this is a little forgotten word unfortunately, but in fact the case here is about honor. whether he still has some left or not. whatever reason it was, personal or business, greed, taxes, whatever... at the end of the day there is only one thing that Nick can do to have at least some chance not to lose his face, credibility and balls once and for always. do the right thing and prove, like a man of honor that he made a stupid mistake but he did not steal from people that he had gained so much from. this is as simple as that. whatever had been done, is over.. in his shoes I would fitght like hell to gain some respect... some credibility, some honor.. at the end of the day... that is what truly matters
04-11-2010 , 02:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zachvac
This is impossible to prove. There are legit instances where someone may flat strong hands to induce a squeeze and obviously Y can open light. The way you prove collusion is showing overall difference of play, not specific situations.

edit: obviously if they were idiots there could be specific situations where like they minraise back and forth to get someone to put more money in than they would but that's just so obvious and would be snap-caught by the poker sites and if not them the other players at the table. No one accused Nick/Rob of being idiots they're obviously very intelligent people who understand poker very well. They're not dumb enough to play a hand in such a way that it's obviously collusion.
I know that everything you just said there is correct, but if A minraises and B calls surely this is better for SB and BB.

Have there been a lot of incidences of another player squeezing and getting called by AA-JJ and AK say?

Surely if a player is known to be CCing only 8% of the time light/frequent sqeezes can't be a great idea.

Also is there evidence of patterns in seating arrangements between the two players?

I have read all of both threads and there are some very worrying individuals who seems to have a hidden agenda, I do not refer to OP who has obviously been at least thorough and I'm fairly certain fair.

Mack
04-11-2010 , 02:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ike
You're wrong about everything other than the fact that this has happened a million times. An agreement to stay out of each other's way in a juicy game confers an advantage. For example, each friend can open looser with the other friend left to act, knowing that he's not going to be exploited for his loose play by his buddy and will get to play extra pots with the fish. In fact, this is really, really similar to what stox and littlezen did. In a fair game, there are no friends at the table.

edit: Ok, I can acknowledge that this sort of collusion can range in severity. Agreeing to stay out of each other's way is not as bad as actively squeezing other players or sharing hole cards.
In a perfect world, there would be no friends at the poker table, but poker isn't played in a perfect world. The most ethical way to handle this situation that I've seen discussed is the method that barryg employs when he and Joe Sebok are at the table together. Their agreement is to play straight up, ABC poker. One could make the mistake of thinking this is what Kinetica and 40putts did, but it's not. If you go through their HHs at TR, you will find numerous instances of trappy play, such as one opens from the CO and the other flats OTB with AA, AK, or KK (as per creedofhubris's example of how to gain an edge doing this) in order to trap the blinds. Presumably, when barryg and Joe Sebok play together, this never happens.
04-11-2010 , 02:57 PM
Amazing work and awesome for poker that people are willing to do this.

If this gets published outside of 2p2 please don't highlight the "cheating happened" part but rather the "cheaters will get caught" part
04-11-2010 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nick Rivers
In a perfect world, there would be no friends at the poker table, but poker isn't played in a perfect world. The most ethical way to handle this situation that I've seen discussed is the method that barryg employs when he and Joe Sebok are at the table together. Their agreement is to play straight up, ABC poker. One could make the mistake of thinking this is what Kinetica and 40putts did, but it's not. If you go through their HHs at TR, you will find numerous instances of trappy play, such as one opens from the CO and the other flats OTB with AA, AK, or KK (as per creedofhubris's example of how to gain an edge doing this) in order to trap the blinds. Presumably, when barryg and Joe Sebok play together, this never happens.
So cc AA on the button isn't abc? There must be no instances of them cc a single raise on the button with AA against anybody else?
04-11-2010 , 03:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Run Ricky Run
So cc AA on the button isn't abc? There must be no instances of them cc a single raise on the button with AA against anybody else?
Suggest you go spend a few hours going over hands at TR. You'll have all of your questions answered there.
04-11-2010 , 03:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zachvac
Noah this was mentioned in the Stox forums as a possible reason did you look into standard raise sizes? I mean if Nick is 2xing with a shortstacker behind that's less incentive to shove and could explain a smaller 3-bet. I'm not sure what most regs do and I was under the impression that there were many regs who min opened in those games. Can anyone who's played in those games comment on the typical standard open size and Nick/Rob's standard open sizes with shortstacks left to act?
i've not playing on FT, but a ton with littlezen over the last couple of months ... as a (knowledgable) shortstacker myself *grimaces* (which, i feel, gives me a great insight into this 3betting topic).

firstly, littlezen isn't going to be flatting with 20bbs, to allow another shortie to shove, if you were suggesting this, not sure if you were. i saw that waow, and others, have talked about not-folding (flatting) rather than 3betting and this is incorrect - as noah states in the report:

"With less than 25 BBs or so, a reasonable player almost always just shoves or folds against an open raise. In my database, LittleZen's response when someone open raised when it folded to him was to shove 10% of the time and call 0.8% of the time, so he clearly agrees."

onto the maths of 3bet frequencies vs diff raises. even if the other 49 regs opened 3bb and nick opened 2bb, it wouldn't make enough difference to explain the vastly lower 3bet %. nick would have to play **incredibly** tightly to warrant LZen 3betting as little as has been shown. noah's report showed that nick's open-raises were not tight. noah correctly addresses the relevant issues of PFR % and fold to 3bet %.

amazing work btw, noah. i hope both sites take a harsh stance on this, although i understand it might take a little while to come to a decision.

Last edited by Stally; 04-11-2010 at 03:17 PM. Reason: i can't comment on the FT cap play as kinetica, where there is possibility for flatting with prems
04-11-2010 , 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Run Ricky Run
So cc AA on the button isn't abc? There must be no instances of them cc a single raise on the button with AA against anybody else?
Again, you are missing the point. It's the overall trend that they almost never 3-bet each other at all. Not simply cold-calling AA.
04-11-2010 , 03:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Run Ricky Run
So cc AA on the button isn't abc? There must be no instances of them cc a single raise on the button with AA against anybody else?
the accusations aren't about flatting button with AA, and this wouldn't even apply to the 20bb games on pokerstars.
04-11-2010 , 03:20 PM
A+ Noah... Well Done from beginning to end. If people are still gonna try and stick up for the accused, then u will never persuade something was going on. Anyone who doesnt have thier head up there ass obviously can tell something was indeed going on.
Thanks Again Noah.
04-11-2010 , 03:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by waow
he's saying that they almost never 3bet their strongest hands, and instead cold call.
Guess I could be wrong, but I read it as they're only 3betting those hands. 3betting {KK+/AKs} or {QQ+} type ranges against each other, whereas they're 3betting much lighter against everyone else.

Seems to me that cold calling those ranges would be counterproductive to the "team" in most instances. And folding those hands to each other with other players behind, would probably erase whatever edge they gain from their softplay. No?

      
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