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river spot in 30$ deep

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10-16-2010 , 07:17 AM

fastcolt

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 2,446

basically all i know on villain is he is like -5% roi over a decent sample at an avg stake of 51$ i call his 3bet becuase i have AQ, think thats fairly std, this is like 5 hands in, so didnt know much more im curious on what kinda rivers u are calling

if its a brick? if its an 8? (ofc ur calling if its a K lol )

also thoughts on turn play?

Full Tilt Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10.00/t20.00 Blinds - 2 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

Hero (BTN/SB): t2810.00 140.50 BBs
BB: t3190.00 159.50 BBs

Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BTN/SB with A

Hero raises to t60, BB raises to t200, Hero calls t140

Flop: (t400) 9

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (t400) A

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t120.00, BB raises to t760, Hero calls t640

River: (t1920) Xx (2 players)
BB bets t2230.00, Hero ....

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10-16-2010 , 07:50 AM

Crap$hoot

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 471

I check the turn behind, you have some straight outs.

this board hits his 3betting range very hard: TT JJ 99 AK AQ AJ AT

As played I fold turn

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10-16-2010 , 08:03 AM

fastcolt

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 2,446

maaybe i should mentioned, the first few hands he seemed very random and spewy making it 14 bbs pre etc

but good analysis, i dont necessairly disagree with you

i think a good question is how thinly can he value raise here

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10-16-2010 , 09:10 AM

avman

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 504

Every time these donks check on the flop after 3betting they got a strong hand they want to check raise.

He's repping QK, sets, AJ, AT, A9

I'd probably fold a blank river, not sure about Q. Calling an 8 and obv K.

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10-16-2010 , 09:25 AM

andees10

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,282

tough...I would fold turn tho. I dont really play deep stacks but at this point in the match (without any real reads) I dont know if im stacking off w one pair on a board that wet which smacks his range so hard.

If someone raises that big and commits themselves that much on the turn, I think its very rare their folding. Yes he could be bluffing or on some random draw, but he has a nut type hand a very large % here imo.

As far as having a worse ace, I think thats also a very small possibility.

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