Full Tilt Poker $55 + $2.50 Heads Up No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t20/t40 Blinds - 2 players
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BB: t1570 39.25 BBs
Hero (BTN/SB): t1430 35.75 BBs
Pre Flop: (t60) Hero is BTN/SB with K
J
Hero raises to t80, BB calls t40
Flop: (t160) T
5
9
(2 players)
BB checks,
Hero bets t100,
BB raises to t280, Hero requests TIME,
Hero raises to t600, BB calls t320
Turn: (t1360) 2
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero requests TIME, Hero checks
River: (t1360) 6
(2 players)
BB bets t890 all in, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds
Villain seems to play decently. He's done some weird things but nothing note-worthy. We're about 15 hands in and he's 3bet me twice. He's also donk-potted a similar flop to which I folded to. He plays pretty aggressively overall.
On the flop he check/raises. I dont know if the small betsizing means anything, but I assume he's capable of bluffing like this or have a lot of draws, I 3bet planning to CALL a shove. If you look at our equity vs. a reasonable shoving range, we're getting good odds (if you add more Tx, our equity shouldn't change that much). Do you prefer just calling the flop check/raise? I think you could do either one, but 3bet being slightly better because we are getting money in when our equity is pretty good, we can call a shove, we fold out his gutshots, Ax, etc., not that many turn cards improve our hand while a ton can improve his, and we have no idea of his turn bluffing tendencies.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
54,450 games 0.001 secs 54,450,000 games/sec
Board: Td 5h 9s
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.854% 41.59% 00.26% 22647 142.50 { KcJh }
Hand 1: 58.146% 57.88% 00.26% 31518 142.50 { 99, 55, ATs, KTs, QJs, J8s, T9s, 87s, ATo, KTo, QJo, T9o }
When he calls, i want to say that this is a straight draw, with 87 being the most likely. With only a 1/2 PSB left is this a shove? But potentially we get our stack in with horrible equity if he does have a made hand. Not too sure what to do here.
The river completes the most obvious straight so i just fold, and he shoved after about 5 seconds fwiw. But, had the river bricked and he shoves, would you call?
Is the flop play spew?
What are your thoughts.