Don't worry, other people understood your joke perfectly

No I'm not trolling. You said that you don't think a rich whale exists. Live is obviously way softer than online, but that doesn't mean that whales don't exist. Also significantly tougher especially in the US pool? That is just blatantly false.

Also "if you want to make $$ play live" is pretty wrong as well if you are competent. You'll make way more $/hand live, but multitabling is a thing and way higher hourlies are achievable online

yeah unless you have access to really good high stakes private game live then online is more profitable for anyone who plays 200 and above

I'm never gonna complain when a longer vid drops!

Cheers, will keep this in mind.

ahahahaha ... im not Mrbeast

This is V true. Rich whales will play online. Particularly higher up. They aren't going to be seen at 25nl cos they can afford to punt off a couple of buyins at 500nl+. All the high stakes games revolve around one rich whale or fish.

Ummmm I see an online fish every hand? At good times there is at LEAST one fish on every table. How else do you think people make money on this high rake site? I do agree that live is way way way softer but if you study and work hard on your game, online is not as difficult as what people make it out to be.

This is a good idea. I might be able to sort this style of video out. Any specific topic/idea/concept you would like to see?

Yeah it does. I think from what I saw last time, on average, 11minutes watch time.

Fair point. Trying to figure out something different for 2nd video of each week. I want to do 2 a week but observation deck doesn't generate as much interest.

Come getcha piss play boooooys

Need graph from the strim the other night ASAP.

Completely forgot about this

Here is the graph from stream (Saturday 17th Nov)



We also have a new progress video



Its been a while since I have written up a post in the thread so I will make a few comments about the last couple of weeks.

Thoughts on my 500nl shots

So as you guys know I have been playing 500nl in the last couple of weeks. The shot unfortunately did not go so well last week where I lost 8 buyins. I don't think I played my A game but I also don't think I played my C game. I probably played between an A- and a B.

I don't know what it is but there seems to be a reoccurring pattern where the first 5 or so sessions (of my 500nl shot) I am very nervous and play really well but then after a few days of grinding 500nl I feel like I lose that nervous energy and start to play "auto pilot". I get so hyped up for the shot and then the allure fades and I feel like I am grinding my normal stakes. I see this as both a pro and a con.

The nerves are good because I sit there and take notes of literally everything and take most of my time bank to work out my decisions. However it prevents me from taking some high variance spots that are probably +EV, particularly when it comes to bluffing certain spots. I also get a little bit anxious when I am down 3 or 4 buyins in a session (which are normal swings).

On the contrary, when the nerves go, I start to play my normal 200nl game and start to take all the high variance spots. I also auto pilot a little bit and apply 200nl population tendencies to the decisions that I make at 500nl (which is obviously not good). I also become less selective when I play in the pool (i.e. I am happy to battle other regs). However, when the nerves go (and I am comfortable playing 500nl) it improves my mental side. I worry less about the monetary value that I am playing for and the session results does not affect my decisions as much. It also doesn't bother me because I see the results as buyins or big blinds.

If I could combine the positives of both mindsets, then I would probably have a successful shot but until then I am probably going to continue to pendulum in and out of 200nl. I think the most important thing I need to do is ensure that the shot starts off well. I need to give myself every opportunity to ensure that the beginning goes well. Even if that means only playing on weekends or only playing 1 hour etc etc.

I think another big issue I have at the moment is that I am so tunneled on getting my overall 200nl zone winrate to 5bb/100 for the year. Most of the guys I study with know that I care more about improving my 200nl zone winrate more than advancing stakes. Almost all the study I do is specific to 200nl tendencies. My strategy is also very population dependent, mainly because I really want to close out the year with 5bb/100 over a decent sample size. As a result, when I "fail" my shot, I don't feel so bad about it because it gives me an excuse to continue putting volume back in at 200nl (a stake that I am probably too comfortable at).

Now some of you might be thinking why ^ this is bad. From an objective perspective, having a higher hourly is > than having a higher winrate. I would definitely have a much higher hourly at 500nl even if my winrate was halved. Even if I improved my current 200nl zone winrate from 4.2bb/100~ to 5bb/100, my hourly at 500nl would still be higher (unless my 500nl winrate was less than 2bb/100). Obviously I don't know what my winrate would be at 500nl so I cannot make any conclusions yet.

Anyway this is just a small update on whats been happening. For now I am grinding 200nl and almost all my study material is targetted towards the pool so I can see huge potential improvements in my 200nl winrate but perhaps this is holding me back from 500nl+.

This seems completely out of whack. Who cares abt having one of the highest wr in the pool. Goal should be to move up stakes.

Gl

+1 I think you need to get out of your own head a bit, try to realign that focus & energy on moving up in stakes where you are a bit more profitable. Also finding that balancing at $500nl of being excited about the shot then after a few days not worrying about the $ and kind of just going into a auto pilot game play mode where you tend to make mistakes. I think as long as you are properly rolled you just need to focus on the standard $500 = 100bb/1 buy in. I have struggled before in the past with focusing to much on the actual monetary value and instead of making +EV decisions ( higher variance spots ) although plus EV, like you have mentioned & I get into my own head to much in terms of cash and it effects my game. I would also stop being so concerned with the WR at $200z and just see what is most profitable hourly, even try some more regular tables potentially on the side of grinding $200z?


Anyway great YT vid as always and hope the stream will also continue, always top notch content on twitch.

Value jam vs JJ was cool

Just focus on making plus ev decisions and everything else will fall in line

Was deff a sick hand to witness on stream along with the 5 min super heater that followed.


Another clip from a previous stream... This what you don't see in the YT highlight vids
https://clips.twitch.tv/DeafFaithfulPotOhMyDog

Agreed, it should be about moving up.

Yeah agree with this. Just need to move on from 200 and start playing higher up. I am definitely rolled to play 500nl, I just feel like I have unfinished business at 200nl. I have seen some 1m graph hands at one stake that are able to maintain 4-6bb/100 which I find impressive. I want to try reciprocate these but at the same time poker isn't going to last for ever so I really should be making as many $$ as possible.

Yeah I thought it was somewhat interesting. I think if i make it like 3x JJ just folds because no one ever bluffs for that size.

Yeah you are right. Just need to put myself in positions to make max EV.

HAHAHAHA fwiw this clip is the only post on my instagram (low key plug @skuzpoker)

Typical Skuz, just trying to punt it all away but just runs way to good.

True. Had a another run good session on stream today. Back to back run good streams.

Regarding the punt: ran a huge 200bb effec triple barrel punt with KhJh on stream. Will post the result of hand tomorrow

Hahahaha. Cant wait to hear about this one. Classic Skuz

Result for the 200bb punt

The man runs good even when he tries to punt it away what else is new?
Haha just messing with ya, keep up the good work.

I go through phases of triple barreling everything bc villains wayyyyy overcall flop/turn and wayyyyy overfold rivers in general, imo. Like they just arrive at river with everything under the sun and then all of a sudden only want to call down with top set+

wonder what your river jam range is there. AQ+, KJs, and some AK?

Hahaha if we go back to back to back streams of run good, then we can nickname me the luckbox streamer.

Some fish, most of the fish that I play against rate calling river after they call turn. Perhaps because the turn did not bring any flush draws, the player will give me a little more respect for value, but i guarantee if that turn was a flush draw I am getting snapped.

I am going to value jam really wide here vs weaker player (I assume weak player) I also tend to underbluff "weaker" player so probably only A3s A4s and Kjs as bluffs.

If they are calling too many rivers after calling turns, the correct adjustment is to bluff less, and that’s a proper adjustment to an exploitable leak, not underbluffing

+1 on that. its that simple. Gl on your shot taking though.

Skuz,

How would you compare nl200 to nl50 in regards to the higher rake but softer games? Do you think you would have a higher or lower Winrate there?