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Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me

03-18-2021 , 08:50 AM
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Flop should be a standard cbet
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I'm definitely in the betting the flop camp
Flop bet is probably ok some of the time at some frequency, I decided not to without any type of flush draw, and rolled low. This A high flop is deceivingly bad for us, we have AA but they 44 and 33, and 2 pairs and Ax hands. It's also relatively low and they should have a good amount of hands that interact this the two tone texture. We still have the equity advantage as the 3 bettor, but I think we do lose a chunk of EV by range betting this board and our hand isn't great to bet with.

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Not standard, has to be a pure call. Just bc his river jamming range is built around flushes, it doesn't mean you're only calling with spade blockers. You wouldn't have enough hands to defend with

If it should be a fold, it's an exploit
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River is definitely a call at equilibrium and folding is a big deviation.
Yeah ran a sim and saw this. We don't have enough offsuited hands to catch enough, so probably getting kinda wrecked.
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03-18-2021 , 08:58 AM
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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
You should be barreling your good equity draws on Ax flop. 65s is literally a 100% cbet there.
Straight draw w no front or backdoor flush or overcards isn't exactly a "good equity draw," even if it is open ended

I'm guessing you haven't actually looked at any spots like this in a solver

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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
Good luck with checking back 6 high in 3bet pots and hoping to win. Whats your strategy? Call the turn bomb bet with poor odds, hoping to hit your hand and fold rivers or miss then try and a dumb bluff that makes no sense?
So you just don't have a x flop, call turn, bet river range then?

Thinking that you always need to bet hands with no sdv on any given street is not good poker

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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
These threads are always inspiring, poker is far from dead.
tbh exactly what I thought when I read your comment
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03-18-2021 , 09:54 AM
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Originally Posted by whitemares
Straight draw w no front or backdoor flush or overcards isn't exactly a "good equity draw," even if it is open ended

I'm guessing you haven't actually looked at any spots like this in a solver

So you just don't have a x flop, call turn, bet river range then?

Thinking that you always need to bet hands with no sdv on any given street is not good poker
I don't bet all hands with no SD but a 6 high open ender on Ax is mandatory, which is why the solver bets that combo 95% of the time, which is hilarious considering you are lecturing about solvers.


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This A high flop is deceivingly bad for us, we have AA but they 44 and 33, and 2 pairs and Ax hands. It's also relatively low and they should have a good amount of hands that interact this the two tone texture. We still have the equity advantage as the 3 bettor, but I think we do lose a chunk of EV by range betting this board and our hand isn't great to bet with.
So you just have AA and nothing else? lol. What % of his range is 44, 33? You think its higher ev to check back 6 high and call turns with crappy odds than betting?
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03-18-2021 , 11:18 AM
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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
I don't bet all hands with no SD but a 6 high open ender on Ax is mandatory, which is why the solver bets that combo 95% of the time, which is hilarious considering you are lecturing about solvers.


idk what ranges or tree you're using that gave you that result, but I'm guessing you must've made a mistake somewhere. It's mixed, but no way the bet freq should be that high




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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
You think its higher ev to check back 6 high and call turns with crappy odds than betting?
Villain doesn't always bet the turn
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-18-2021 , 12:07 PM
Show ur ranges and freq for 65s then
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03-18-2021 , 12:59 PM
I love how you guys are dick measuring over a clearly mixed strategy. My sim has the spade combo of 65 betting a lot, but still not pure. The non-spades less often, as they obviously have way less equity. Around 50/50.

I think it is more useful to look at the entire strategy first. My sim is betting around 55% of the time globally, which makes sense, as both players have pretty neutral equity. Looking at this specific combo, it is pretty clear that we should be checking back sometimes, but either option is fine and we should know how to play both lines correctly.

As played, I like the river fold vs population. He is going to struggle to come up with enough bluffs to make us want to call here, IMO. Basically, every offsuit BW with a spade, some pocket pairs with a spade, like 77-66, and random crap like QJhh.
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03-18-2021 , 01:03 PM
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Originally Posted by MicroDonkYT
I love how you guys are dick measuring over a clearly mixed strategy. My sim has the spade combo of 65 betting a lot, but still not pure. The non-spades less often, as they obviously have way less equity. Around 50/50.

I think it is more useful to look at the entire strategy first. My sim is betting around 55% of the time globally, which makes sense, as both players have pretty neutral equity. Looking at this specific combo, it is pretty clear that we should be checking back sometimes, but either option is fine and we should know how to play both lines correctly.

As played, I like the river fold vs population. He is going to struggle to come up with enough bluffs to make us want to call here, IMO.
Great response.
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03-18-2021 , 01:07 PM
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Originally Posted by MicroDonkYT
I love how you guys are dick measuring over a clearly mixed strategy. My sim has the spade combo of 65 betting a lot, but still not pure. The non-spades less often, as they obviously have way less equity. Around 50/50.
That was the point I was trying to make
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-19-2021 , 12:03 AM
One great thing about solvers and randomizers is that it allows trash regs to justify their awful plays because 'its ok at some frequency' or 'not pure'. In reality many spots are effectively pure considering none of us are capable of even playing close to optimal while actually grinding, no matter how much they want to wank off about using their randomizer when they still don't even know basic strategy.

Last edited by Jimmy Busto; 03-19-2021 at 12:12 AM.
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-19-2021 , 01:22 AM
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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
One great thing about solvers and randomizers is that it allows trash regs to justify their awful plays because 'its ok at some frequency' or 'not pure'. In reality many spots are effectively pure considering none of us are capable of even playing close to optimal while actually grinding, no matter how much they want to wank off about using their randomizer when they still don't even know basic strategy.
That's actually also a pretty fair response. Would you like to explain why betting is definitively higher EV than checking?
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03-19-2021 , 04:23 AM
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Originally Posted by Brokenstars
That's actually also a pretty fair response. Would you like to explain why betting is definitively higher EV than checking?
depends if you are oop in ip. And the player type. Fast fold vs Regular table.

No reads, fast fold, you want to bet to either protect a range or project a polarized range. Against fish, projecting polarized doesn't work too well, so go with merged range tactics.

Are you playing against high level thinkers? Fast fold, sometimes, sometimes not. Regular table, a few rounds should tell you where you are at.

In all cases, if we have a 3bet or better spot, gto says there might be a 50% chance of cbetting, but also check and bet on turn. IP, call the flop bet with MAYBE a backdoor something, but if the turn is checked, and the river bet isn't the usual size, can bluff river pretty easily. Board dependent.

If you have a good starting range hand for your position, even if utg, against fish on regular table, continued pressure usually takes it down by turn. This time, player dependent.

Its not always about EV, its about the circumstances, board, and player.
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-19-2021 , 10:14 AM
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One great thing about solvers and randomizers is that it allows trash regs to justify their awful plays because 'its ok at some frequency' or 'not pure'. In reality many spots are effectively pure considering none of us are capable of even playing close to optimal while actually grinding, no matter how much they want to wank off about using their randomizer when they still don't even know basic strategy.
This is the first marginally intelligent thing you have posted in a few months. The thing is I know for a fact this is going to be a mixed strat in theory. This board is not a range bet, and never have I seen a sim bet a nut draw 100% of the time when it was a mixed strategy with our range. Then I think about what villain might think, which is if a 7 or something comes, I will never have 56s. So by checking back 6 high, I'm effectively protecting my range on various run outs.
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03-19-2021 , 11:07 AM
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Originally Posted by Jimmy Busto
One great thing about solvers and randomizers is that it allows trash regs to justify their awful plays because 'its ok at some frequency' or 'not pure'. In reality many spots are effectively pure considering none of us are capable of even playing close to optimal while actually grinding, no matter how much they want to wank off about using their randomizer when they still don't even know basic strategy.
I mean, this is a good point in general, but doesn't really apply to either OP or I wrt this hand that we're talking about here
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03-19-2021 , 10:56 PM
Played a very long session to hit 10k hands -




Always feels good to have a comeback



Full graph ^ running 2 bi above ev at this point

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - $1/$2 - 6 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: $254.31 (127 bb)
MP: $184.21 (92 bb)
CO: $222.64 (111 bb)
BU: $200.00 (100 bb)
SB (Hero): $255.75 (128 bb)
BB: $372.41 (186 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($3) Hero is SB with J J
2 players fold, CO raises to $4.40, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets to $20, 1 fold, CO calls $15.60

Flop: ($42) 4 6 Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($42) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $19.95, CO raises to $72.18, Hero calls $52.23

River: ($186.36) K (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $130.46 (all-in), SB (Hero) folds

Interesting spot here vs. an unk. I folded, but in hindsight feels like a call. I just don't expect people to be balanced in their check back range. We even block some of his nut check back hands.
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-20-2021 , 02:31 AM
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Originally Posted by 2021shipit
Played a very long session to hit 10k hands -




Always feels good to have a comeback



Full graph ^ running 2 bi above ev at this point

Winning Poker, Hold'em No Limit - $1/$2 - 6 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: $254.31 (127 bb)
MP: $184.21 (92 bb)
CO: $222.64 (111 bb)
BU: $200.00 (100 bb)
SB (Hero): $255.75 (128 bb)
BB: $372.41 (186 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($3) Hero is SB with J J
2 players fold, CO raises to $4.40, 1 fold, Hero 3-bets to $20, 1 fold, CO calls $15.60

Flop: ($42) 4 6 Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($42) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $19.95, CO raises to $72.18, Hero calls $52.23

River: ($186.36) K (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $130.46 (all-in), SB (Hero) folds

Interesting spot here vs. an unk. I folded, but in hindsight feels like a call. I just don't expect people to be balanced in their check back range. We even block some of his nut check back hands.
Definitely an interesting spot, especially given the sizes used. Not sure he takes the line with a flush, so having the Js doesn't seem super relevant, neither does blocking QJs. He's got a lot of boats in his range. I'd be interested in what the solver choses for bluff catching river.
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03-20-2021 , 04:42 PM
I think u can cb this flop, there are lot of worst hands calling and u need some protection
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-21-2021 , 02:36 PM
I love all the support guys, but I'm going to stop updating this thread regularly. maybe every 20k hands or something I'll share a graph and a hand or too but that's it
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03-21-2021 , 06:28 PM
Blitz - 1

OP - 0
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03-21-2021 , 07:17 PM
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Originally Posted by H0RUS
Blitz - 1

OP - 0
I've won 2200$ in the past 3 months playing blitz. Just think I can make more money on clubs and secret sites and ****
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-22-2021 , 12:41 AM
thread lasted longer than I thought anyway. rip
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03-22-2021 , 05:51 AM
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Originally Posted by 2021shipit
ok XD.
ok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XDok XD
hehe whos got the last laugh
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03-22-2021 , 07:05 PM
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Originally Posted by 2021shipit
I've won 2200$ in the past 3 months playing blitz. Just think I can make more money on clubs and secret sites and ****
Good luck with that.
Shot Taking 200 blitz - Pray for me Quote
03-22-2021 , 09:29 PM
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Originally Posted by 2021shipit
I've won 2200$ in the past 3 months playing blitz. Just think I can make more money on clubs and secret sites and ****
If you ever detox from poker, i'll assure you that you'll realize that the time spent to make 2,200 in 3 months wasn't worth it regardless of any run good. You could do all kinds of life's adventures for 2,200 in pay that could further your financial success and simply enjoy life more while you are young.

It's certainly helpful to gain knowledge on the game and you're playing the right pool to do so. My point is don't waste too much time and money in the Blitz shenanigans - it won't be worth it regardless of how well you run and will just set you back in life.
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03-23-2021 , 12:17 AM
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Originally Posted by 2021shipit
I've won 2200$ in the past 3 months playing blitz. Just think I can make more money on clubs and secret sites and ****
Not sure why everyone is being a dick. No shame in finding softer games. gl
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03-23-2021 , 08:19 AM
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i'll assure you that you'll realize that the time spent to make 2,200 in 3 months wasn't worth it regardless of any run good
Unfortunately I'll have to agree. Poker can be insanely stressful for me, and 2 tabling blitz for an hourly of maybe 10-15 bucks at high variance is just not the path I want to go through, at least atm. On pppoker and pokerbros there are insanely soft 200 and 400nl games that I think I could print on.

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Not sure why everyone is being a dick. No shame in finding softer games. gl
Thanks, 2+2 will be 2+2. I was doing the thread for myself and my own accountability, so a few salty posters doesn't affect me too mcuh.
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