Schedule and Short Term Goals Update - 09.04.2014

Schedule 9th April 2014

08.00 - 10.00 = Update schedule and short term goals.
10.00 - 11.30 = Catch up with group and comment on hands (5).
11.30 - 13.00 = Post hands to group, blog and staker.
13.00 - 15.00 = Janda.
15.00 - 17.00 = Old coaching notes.
20.15 - 20.45 = Poker video (stake session or AJ).
20.45 - 22.15 = At the tables.
22.45 - 04.15 = Sleep.
04.15 - 04.45 = Train.
04.45 - 06.40 = At the tables.

To Do List.

1. Sort out pop-up!
2. Work out financial position wrt stake - DONE!!


Short Term Goals Work

Goal 1 - Play 60 hours in April - Played 14.78 hours which is 24.6% of target. Month is 26.67% old so 1 hour 13 mins BEHIND!! Caught tiny bit up but son had us up in the night so missed some time this morning!

Goal 2 - Post all marked hands to blog and/or Skype group - Done!

Goal 3 - Comment on all of friends' hands in Skype Groups (make sure to do 5 per day, use forum if none in groups) -Done!

Goal 4 - Study Janda - Done and made good notes!

Goal 5 - Post weekly review to group - Done and posted.

Goal 6 - Watch at least 10 mins of poker video and use as part of warm up (poker days only) - Done! Did some HH review instead but counts!

-----------------------

5 x
1 x

Good work on Janda. Wanted to hit the hours goal hard but was up too much in the night with son. Have got some new videos to watch but just need to finish off AJ videos first.

-----------------------

Session



Blimey!! This is getting a bit tedious! Another 2 BI gone in so few hands.

I really don't want to turn this into a complaining thread as that is horrible to read but I do need to prove to both myself and my staker that most of these big pots are coolers/standard. We are now in the business of making money as soon as possible so its important imo not to change focus from what I am doing and start looking for problems that are not even there.

I think I am improving every day and I think I can beat NL50 right now so hopefully this will turn around sooner rather than later!

Big pots lost - in spoiler!!!



---------------------------------------------

Just check this one for me please.....?



Hand(s) Of The Day

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: $50.00 (VPIP: 17.32, PFR: 14.69, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 468)
BTN: $21.05 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
SB: $13.26 (VPIP: 71.43, PFR: 42.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (BB): $52.22
UTG: $68.67 (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)

SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q J

fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, fold, Hero calls $1.00

Flop: ($3.25, 2 players) Q 4 T
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00

Turn: ($9.25, 2 players) K
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.00, Hero calls $6.00

River: ($21.25, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, BTN bets $10.55 and is all-in

Really want to call this but I only really beat a bluff. Would you play flop and turn same?

Hi there, I will write up a little article over next few days and post it in here. I researched it quite a lot and will let you know how I did it (I think it is the sum of many small actions).

Probably agree, but we only need to be good 1 in 5 and we definitely are that at least. He can be valuebetting the vast majority of the time and we are still good to call.

Just a guess, without actually running any calcs on his range or anything, but I'd say we're good there probably 40-50% of the time.

agree.. we dont need to be good alot

Guys I have room for another player in the Skype Group if anyone is interested?

6 max, cash, dedicated, able to put time into the group. I know this kind of sucks but we really are looking for an addition who is playing at least NL50 or higher please.

As you might be aware I will boot you out if you cannot keep up with the hard work.

Atm we have 4 or 5 NL50 to NL100 players (Zoom and reg) then me (dunno what to call myself atm!) and couple of NL25/NL10 players. Everyone in there is gonna make it BIG as far as I can see as they are all DEDICATED.

PM me if you wanna come with us...

KK hand: bet close to pot otf and ott, otr you can even bet a little smaller, and AP it's a pretty trivial fold.

QJ hand: flop and turn seem good to me. Probably fold river.

Studying Janda - Day 14

Facing A Flop Bet In Position

Introduction

We will examine how to defend against a flop bet when in position. Also, as we do this, we will also be able to see what types of hands our opponenent should continuation bet and use this as a start point for deciding whether we should check or bet when positions are switched.

Defending By Calling

When our opponent is OOP he should only rarely be able to profitably bet the worst two cards in his range. This is because our in position calling range is designed so that it plays effectively against our opponents preflop RFI range. Whilst there are actually some board textures on which our opponent can profitably bet the worst hands in his range, more often than not he will need to have a certain type of hand to make a profitable bluff from OOP.

Firstly let's see how often we would have to fold for our opponent to auto profit with 0% equity (drawing dead)...

Minimum bluff success rate = bet size in PSB/(bet size in PSB + 1). I would always write this like this, assuming villain bets 50%....
Minimum bluff success rate = 0.5/(0.5+1) = 0.333 = 33.3%
Going back to how we did this preflop villain is getting 33% pot odds on his bluff. And following on from this we know that we, as the caller on the flop in position, need to defend 66.7% of the time to prevent auto profit with air.

Now we need to consider how much better it is for the villain when he bluffs the worst hand in his range on the flop when we defend by calling rather than by raising...?

Well, first we notice that our villain will (almost) never be bluffing with hands which have 0% equity when they are called. However, the big difference between preflop and postflop is that preflop our villain gets to see 3 random cards when we call (so he goes from having two cards to five cards and hand strengths can change massively) but on the flop he only sees 1 random card when we call (and he goes from having five cards to six cards, so while they will change sometimes, hand strengths don't often change so much as they did when seeing the flop).
In other words, preflop when we let the PFR see the flop by us calling, even the weakest hands can make two pair, sets, straight draws, or flush draws etc but on the flop when we call our opponent will often be bluffing with hands that can't immediately make a strong hand.
Example... Villain will often make a bluff on Ks 7h 2c with a hand like 9c 8c (having BDSD and BDFD) but he will still need to see both the turn and river to make a strong hand. Also, if he bets the turn and we raise he will almost certainly fold no matter what the turn card is.

There are flop textures where our opponent will be more likely to outdraw us when his worst bluff is called. In these cases there is a big difference in his expectation when he faces a call rather than a raise so on these boards we have to defend more aggressively.
Example given... Flop is Th 8h 7s and the villain bets. Here it is obvious he can outdraw us because even his weakest bluffs can turn two pair, trips, straights or a pair higher than tens. On top of this even if we call with the nut straight (flop and turn) our opponent could be bluffing with a heart and catch runner runner hearts and outdraw us.

So, seeing as the EV of our opponents weakest bluff will change depending on the board texture there is no hard and fast rule for how much extra we should defend when we defend by calling rather than raising (remember we have to defend slightly more preflop when we call than when we raise because when calling even the weakest hands in the RFI range can improve). For instance, when we face a 0.75x flop cbet we need to defend 57.1% of the time (1 - (0.75/(0.75+1))) to stop him from profitably betting the worst hand in his range. Even though we know this we cannot solve for the exact frequency we should defend.

The conclusion is (somehow) that defending anywhere between 60% to 70% of the time on most boards is reasonable. This should stop villain from making auto profit with his worst bluffing hand. It also does still give enough incentive for villain to bluff a "correct" bluffing hand. Also we are not defending too aggressively, that is so much that we give too much value to our opponent's strong hands.

MJ says that throughout the book the advice (when wishing to play GTO of course!) is going to be to defend at least 60% of the time on the flop and even more for advanced players. THIS MEANS I AM GONNA LEARN A LOT AS I AM THE UBERNIT!!!!!!!!

The board textures where our opponents bluffs can outdraw us on the turn (such as that Th 8h 7c) are the ones where being in position is quite valuable. Also on these types of flop we should have many types of hands that can improve on the turn. Therefore, good strategy implies that we can defend a wider range on these board textures.
Also, on boards where we will defend by almost always calling we can defend a bit wider too just because our villain is more likely to see a turn card.

Another thing is to notice that there will be flops where we should not defend so wide. Example given was 222 flop when villain being OOP is so much more likely to have AA and KK than us so we might have to defend less aggressively.

good read mate

Schedule and Short Term Goals Update - 10.04.2014

Schedule 10th April 2014

08.00 - 10.00 = Update schedule and short term goals.
10.00 - 12.00 = Catch up with group and comment on hands (5).
12.00 - 14.00 = Post hands to group, blog and staker.
14.00 - 16.00 = Janda.
16.00 - 17.00 = Old coaching notes.
20.15 - 20.45 = Poker video (Zaza).
20.45 - 22.15 = At the tables.
22.45 - 04.15 = Sleep.
04.15 - 04.45 = Train.
04.45 - 07.00 = At the tables.

To Do List.

1. Sort out pop-up!


Short Term Goals Work

Goal 1 - Play 60 hours in April - Played 17.17 hours which is 28.6% of target. Month is 30% old so 50 mins BEHIND!! Caught more up. Spent too long watching poker video last night!

Goal 2 - Post all marked hands to blog and/or Skype group - Done!

Goal 3 - Comment on all of friends' hands in Skype Groups (make sure to do 5 per day, use forum if none in groups) -Done!

Goal 4 - Study Janda - Done and posted defending flop by calling notes!

Goal 5 - Post weekly review to group - Done and posted.

Goal 6 - Watch at least 10 mins of poker video and use as part of warm up (poker days only) - Done! Watched end of AJ video then started on Zaza mentor series video 1.

-----------------------

5 x
1 x

Good work on Janda. Started Zaza mentor series videos as recommended by balla friend. Great day all round!
We are going to Legoland tomorrow morning for two days!!!!

-----------------------

Session



A rare winning session for lately! All one big session though!!!

Don't think I ran particularly brilliantly either so happy with that. Did flop boat with AQ against probable fish and got a couple of streets out of him, prolly would have stacked him if river did not bring 3 flush.

Hand Of the Day

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $107.12 (VPIP: 51.35, PFR: 35.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)
SB: $66.61 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 24.17, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 121)
Hero (BB): $72.16
UTG: $50.75 (VPIP: 23.73, PFR: 16.38, 3Bet Preflop: 7.79, Hands: 179)
MP: $62.91 (VPIP: 20.05, PFR: 14.62, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 431)
CO: $25.75 (VPIP: 38.24, PFR: 6.06, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)

SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has J J

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.00
I really did not like this. At the time though villain had folded to 3b 5/5 times and I had 3 bet him twice in the last two or so orbits. Does that make it ok or should I actually still 3bet him because he might adjust incorrectly and call too wide (he steals a lot btw)? (I am convinced I made a big mistake here)

Flop: ($3.00, 2 players) 2 T 7
SB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($6.00, 2 players) 4
SB bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00

River: ($14.00, 2 players) 2
SB bets $8.00, Hero calls $8.00

As played with such wide range think call down is fine.

Despite his high ft3b I think I'm still just 3betting there. The fact you've 3bet him twice recently will make him more likely to think you're FOS and play back. Even disregarding recent history, and even if he's fairly nitty facing 3bets, it's still going to be a great spot to 3bet.

As played, I think I can probably get behind a raise on the flop. There are tons of draws he can have, tons of draws you can have, it's a board you're going to be attacking a lot and he should know that, and it's BvB so he should be defending relatively light. Plus it builds some good metagame between you.

Calldown isn't bad either. Folding anywhere is out of the question.

as played preeflop! i am calling on the way

I would 3bet again for sure. I'd also xraise the flop for value and def calling down as played. Doesn't seen close to me. Remember I am a complete fish at 6max against a wide stealer I would have thought its correct to 3bet a wide range from the blinds anyway. Villain dependent of course.

Hi mate. Yh i was convinced I should still 3b, such a klutz.

You said you would xraise (could be typo) flop but we are IP. Would you raise still being IP?

spot on

i'd raise river tho as played.. mayybe not. i dont mind a river raise tho

yeah i meant raise flop. Though of course if he's just gonna barrel his stack off and likely to fold to a raise then start calling down more often and raise more often as a bluff to get folds. I'm just talking about tendencies of course...

I like what Deeepz says. A small raise on the river doesn't look out of place as played to me!

Yeah seems like raising river for value is good as he never puts you on JJ right? He could easily be value betting with A10 or something similar.

+1

Schedule and Short Term Goals Update - 11.04.2014

Schedule 11th April 2014

08.00 = Update schedule and short term goals.
08.30 - Sunday = GO TO LEGOLAND!!!!!!!

To Do List.

1. PLAY WITH KIDS!!!!!


Short Term Goals Work

Goal 1 - Play 60 hours in April - Played 20.08 hours which is 33.47% of target. Month is 33.33% old so !! Caught more up - mow 5 mins AHEAD!! WP WP!!. Going away two days now tho!!

Goal 2 - Post all marked hands to blog and/or Skype group - Done!

Goal 3 - Comment on all of friends' hands in Skype Groups (make sure to do 5 per day, use forum if none in groups) -Done!

Goal 4 - Study Janda - Started on Raising Flop IP - ooooooh!

Goal 5 - Post weekly review to group - Done and posted.

Goal 6 - Watch at least 10 mins of poker video and use as part of warm up (poker days only) - Done! Watched 20 mins of Zaza mentor series video 1.

-----------------------

6 x
0 x

Great day!! Video looks great, got some hours in and played ok!
We are going to Legoland for two days!!!!

-----------------------

Session



One of those sessions where I felt played well, raised a few flops IP which is something I di not tend to do before. Went well. Could not believe how mant times I got 3b by nits when at bottom of my range!

Hand Of the Day

No hand today - got to go!!

Schedule and Short Term Goals Update - 14.04.2014

Schedule 14th April 2014

08.00 - 09.30 = Update schedule and short term goals.
09.30 - 11.30 = Catch up with group and comment on hands (5).
11.30 - 13.30 = Post hands to group, blog and staker.
13.30 - 15.30 = Janda.
15.30 - 17.00 = Old coaching notes.
20.15 - 20.45 = Poker video (Zaza).
20.45 - 22.15 = At the tables.
22.45 - 04.15 = Sleep.
04.15 - 04.45 = Train.
04.45 - 07.00 = At the tables.

To Do List.

1. Sort out HUD!


Short Term Goals Work

Goal 1 - Play 60 hours in April - Played 24.63 hours which is 41.05% of target. Month is 43.33% old so 1 hour 22 mins BEHIND!! Lost time as away all weeknd but got some hands in yesterday and missed training this morning so I am pleased to keep this close!

Goal 2 - Post all marked hands to blog and/or Skype group - Done!

Goal 3 - Comment on all of friends' hands in Skype Groups (make sure to do 5 per day, use forum if none in groups) -Done!

Goal 4 - Study Janda - Done and on next chapter.

Goal 5 - Post weekly review to group - Done and posted.

Goal 6 - Watch at least 10 mins of poker video and use as part of warm up (poker days only) - Done!

-----------------------

5 x
1 x

Away for the weekend but all was done on Thursday. Happy I got some hours in this morning (skipped training and at tables 0415).

-----------------------

Session



This guy looks like could be a calling station, one tabling, did not buy in full and won one pot where he XC, XC, donk when 3 flush came otr so no SD....

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: $64.70 (VPIP: 45.00, PFR: 18.00, 3Bet Preflop: 8.16, Hands: 102)
BB: $58.68 (VPIP: 10.99, PFR: 10.99, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 93)
Hero (UTG): $62.71
MP: $57.23 (VPIP: 40.74, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
CO: $100.16 (VPIP: 28.05, PFR: 20.73, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 84)
BTN: $30.97 (VPIP: 30.61, PFR: 16.33, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 49)

SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has K K

Hero raises to $1.50, MP calls $1.50, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($3.75, 2 players) J J 9
Hero bets $2.68, MP calls $2.68

Turn: ($9.11, 2 players) 8
Hero bets $6.52, MP calls $6.52

River: ($22.15, 2 players) 5
Hero bets $12.50

Seems ok?



Hand Of the Day

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: $66.78 (VPIP: 23.81, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
MP: $43.25 (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
Hero (CO): $50.00
BTN: $47.95 (VPIP: 25.20, PFR: 21.26, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 129)
SB: $57.08 (VPIP: 23.73, PFR: 20.53, 3Bet Preflop: 8.22, Hands: 386)
BB: $50.75 (VPIP: 25.49, PFR: 15.69, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 52)

SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q A

UTG raises to $1.50, fold, Hero raises to $4.50, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $3.00

Flop: ($9.75, 2 players) 9 2 3
UTG checks, Hero bets $4.65, UTG calls $4.65

Turn: ($19.05, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero bets $9.09, UTG calls $9.09

River: ($37.23, 2 players) 3
UTG checks,

I think I should barrel off here.
He is unknown, hidden from search.
Calling range preflop around TT-QQ and maybe some AK, AQ, KQ at a guess and I think I can get a lot of folds if I jam the river here.

Anything on sleep ?

Wow, you desperate mate!! I like that!

Have just been away with family for weekend but promise I will try to write something up this week...

KK hand - absolutely ok
AQ hand - I agree with shoving river

Hey it's IPT. awesome thread btw.

KK hand looks good
AQ hand I'd rather just call preflop. As played, bet sizing looks fine and shoving the river seems like a good decision with our blocker.

Thanks for input again mate.
Good to hear from you mate!

Most people are saying the 3b preflop is bad here but a couple of higher stakes players saying its fine.

With three people left to act and the opener being unknown I prefer to 3bet. Please tell me why that is bad amigos?

I don't think it's bad but I prefer calling because IMO it's too good of a hand to 3bet bluff. Also so far he only has a total pfr of 14% which is on the low side. If that were over a bigger sample id probably just not give him any action at all with this hand since he opened utg.