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Started with a <img /nl challenge, now we're here. Started with a <img /nl challenge, now we're here.
View Poll Results: SO WHAT DO YOU THINK IS A REALISTIC ANNUAL EARNING OF AN "A" PLAYER GRINDING $1/$2NLHE?
LESS THAN $22K
397 12.71%
$22K TO $28K
456 14.60%
$28K TO $34K
507 16.23%
$34K TO $40K
531 17.00%
$40K TO $46K
298 9.54%
MORE THAN $46K
934 29.91%

02-12-2022 , 03:01 PM
Not that it matters in this setting, 89ss is the least defended suited connector because one of it's straights is dirty to all the ak combos.

Snap call the set of tens but folding many combos there. Expecting to lose some. Call down is generally better than fastplaying to keep the spew in
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02-12-2022 , 04:05 PM
Kendal Blanton TE from Rams is -110 to get over 29 yards. Great bet since Cincinnati can’t stop a TE.
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02-12-2022 , 04:35 PM
i agree that's probably a decent bet but it's nowhere close to a slam dunk

game is predicted to be fairly low scoring and the o/u line has dropped from 50 to 48.5

blanton only got 5 targets and caught all of them, he's a below average receiver and average completion rate is 2/3 so if he got 5 targets again it's unlikely he'd catch all 5 again

came in mid game and team didn't really have much time to adjust, while he'll likely be utilized in the passing game, it's also quite possible mcvay realizes he has a backup he didn't trust to play at all in the regular season out there and may gameplan around that leaning on him more as a blocker/decoy and directing his more talented receivers to sponge up more of the higbee role

what's in favor of the bet is that it's not a standard bet and not found on majority of books so it'll be softer as a result

however, the current line on his receptions is all -160 or worse for u3.5 rec meaning the market consensus is he's not catching more than 3 passes

seems fine in a vacuum, but it's a far cry from a slam dunk and really requires a certain coaching narrative to play out for it to happen which is far from a sure thing and unlikely to hit unless he has a reception over 20 yards
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02-12-2022 , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
i agree that's probably a decent bet but it's nowhere close to a slam dunk

game is predicted to be fairly low scoring and the o/u line has dropped from 50 to 48.5

blanton only got 5 targets and caught all of them, he's a below average receiver and average completion rate is 2/3 so if he got 5 targets again it's unlikely he'd catch all 5 again

came in mid game and team didn't really have much time to adjust, while he'll likely be utilized in the passing game, it's also quite possible mcvay realizes he has a backup he didn't trust to play at all in the regular season out there and may gameplan around that leaning on him more as a blocker/decoy and directing his more talented receivers to sponge up more of the higbee role

what's in favor of the bet is that it's not a standard bet and not found on majority of books so it'll be softer as a result

however, the current line on his receptions is all -160 or worse for u3.5 rec meaning the market consensus is he's not catching more than 3 passes

seems fine in a vacuum, but it's a far cry from a slam dunk and really requires a certain coaching narrative to play out for it to happen which is far from a sure thing and unlikely to hit unless he has a reception over 20 yards
If you look at the games where bengals played the TE’s got to eat way more often than not. I believe that cam Akers and Burton are going to get a lot of action due to all the attention on Kupp and Odell. Burton with 6-7 targets. It will be a low scoring game for the bengals like last year in super bowl where is was 31-9. I think it will be around 31-13 Rams. But I’ll be working numbers all night and could change my mind on a few things.
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02-12-2022 , 09:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigO&Golf
If you look at the games where bengals played the TE’s got to eat way more often than not. I believe that cam Akers and Burton are going to get a lot of action due to all the attention on Kupp and Odell. Burton with 6-7 targets. It will be a low scoring game for the bengals like last year in super bowl where is was 31-9. I think it will be around 31-13 Rams. But I’ll be working numbers all night and could change my mind on a few things.
yeah these things are always fun because there's so much more complexity involved cause coaches will gameplan so much

tonight i'll be up late figuring out if i'll be unloading any clips or just watching the game without a care in the world except for a few squares

glgl and despite my initial naysay i may ultimately tail you on that
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02-12-2022 , 09:37 PM
Good thing Sunday starts a new week. Need to get those losses back. Those +ev 8 team parlays are bound to hit soon.
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02-12-2022 , 10:05 PM
SPORTS BETS 2022 STATS
wk 1)
Money Wagered: $2k
Overall Record: 4-1 (2-0 parlays, 2-1 straight)
Overall Profits: +672.14
Xlm .29 $990k

wk 2)
No Bets:
xlm .25 (our avg .29) $870k equity(-$110k)
+672.14

wk 3)
No Bets:
Xlm .26 $889k (-$90k)
+672.14

wk 4)
No bets:
Xlm .20 $700k (-$290k)
+672.14

Wk 5).
No bets:
Xlm .18. (our new avg .28) $650k (-$340k)
+672.14 in this sports bet challenge.

Wk 6 2/6/22
Xlm .22 (our new avg .276) $828k (-$222k)
Money Wagered $1k
0-3 on parlays, 2-0 straight.
-$236.36 wk 6

OVERALL:
$3k wagered 15%roi
+$435.78. (2-3 parlays, 4-1 straight)
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02-12-2022 , 10:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
SPORTS BETS 2022 STATS
wk 1)
Money Wagered: $2k
Overall Record: 4-1 (2-0 parlays, 2-1 straight)
Overall Profits: +672.14
Xlm .29 $990k

wk 2)
No Bets:
xlm .25 (our avg .29) $870k equity(-$110k)
+672.14

wk 3)
No Bets:
Xlm .26 $889k (-$90k)
+672.14

wk 4)
No bets:
Xlm .20 $700k (-$290k)
+672.14

Wk 5).
No bets:
Xlm .18. (our new avg .28) $650k (-$340k)
+672.14 in this sports bet challenge.

Wk 6 2/6/22
Xlm .22 (our new avg .276) $828k (-$222k)
Money Wagered $1k
0-3 on parlays, 2-0 straight.
-$236.36 wk 6

OVERALL:
$3k wagered 15%roi
+$435.78. (2-3 parlays, 4-1 straight)
What are ur bets tomorrow?
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02-12-2022 , 10:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigO&Golf
What are ur bets tomorrow?

Working on those now. I like the kickers lol.
U hv a lot of gd input. I cd also see under and Rams.
Just not sure if the hunch is enough to bet it. #hunchcapper
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02-12-2022 , 10:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigO&Golf
What are ur bets tomorrow?




He’s going over past super bowl results and will have an answer tomorrow. His initial lean is yellow.
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02-12-2022 , 10:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
Working on those now. I like the kickers lol.
U hv a lot of gd input. I cd also see under and Rams.
Just not sure if the hunch is enough to bet it. #hunchcapper
I like the Rams and the under also. I think the under is a better bet though.
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02-12-2022 , 11:32 PM
We going all of the $1k weekly on the Super Bowl.
Not enough hunch to pick a SB winner, so going w my hunch on these props.

Heavy on Field Goals!!!
Beckham Jr receiving yards.
Mixon rushing/receiving yards.
Mixon rushing &gt; final round golf score from Phoenix Open Winner. My prediction the winner will shoot 64.

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02-13-2022 , 04:09 AM
Just got back into town. Hate having to drive so far to make bets lol. This game has so many ways it can go so I decided in the end not to make any big single bets.

I laid out about 4 different scenarios for this game that could happen and made a few parlays off those.

The one bet that I did like was Mixon under 69 yards at the beginning of the week. Waited too long and it dropped to 59 , No thank you.

I did put 20$ on the final score of 31-13 just for chits and giggles.

Again this game comes down to turn overs and Ramsey vs Chase. And neither one I feel comfortable in knowing what’s going to happen which would hugely effect the game from 31-13. That score comes from 1 turn over and Ramsey shutting down chase. But I’m not willing to risk a lot on that. I’ll enjoy the game and hope one of my scenarios comes to
Light.

Last edited by BigO&Golf; 02-13-2022 at 04:17 AM. Reason: Snarf
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02-13-2022 , 06:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ButterflySymmetry
We going all of the $1k weekly on the Super Bowl.
Not enough hunch to pick a SB winner, so going w my hunch on these props.
Should honestly put more than 1k on the superbowl imo and just not bet next week or something. I got 500 on the under today.
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02-13-2022 , 07:07 PM
What color is the gatorade???
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02-13-2022 , 07:10 PM
I like the under as well. I like the FG picks and also the Mixon rushing + receiving yards over 89.5. With the Rams D line being so good I bet he get quite a few yards catching screen passes alone.
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02-13-2022 , 07:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D0UGHBOY
What color is the gatorade???

Blue or orange. Whatever team you pick to win, Gatorade will be color coordinated
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02-13-2022 , 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_on_the_spot
Blue or orange. Whatever team you pick to win, Gatorade will be color coordinated
I have been hearing rumors that Cooper Kupp only drinks yellow gatorade and Joe Burrow is a water guy.
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02-13-2022 , 07:22 PM
Anyone liking the over on the national anthem?
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02-13-2022 , 07:38 PM
Bengals ftw obv.
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02-13-2022 , 07:48 PM
rams one time, gentlemen
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02-13-2022 , 08:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RoadtoPro
rams one time, gentlemen

By a little?
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02-13-2022 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D0UGHBOY
By a little?
whatever gets it done, i suppose!

big fan
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02-13-2022 , 09:19 PM
Welp, lol I was heavy on ODB. I hope he’s ok. I have one parlay alive I think. It’s ATTD with Beckham, Higgins, Kupp and chase with money line rams. 20$ pays 877$
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02-13-2022 , 10:44 PM
Wondering why Blanton wasn’t getting targets. He got hurt early so Hopkins got his targets. FML injuries lol I need to be able to predict this type of things : (
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