H1 looks waay too thin otr. I would probably start checking flop or turn too, as this board is pretty good for IP i think. i would check the turn mostly. otr you have a whole bunch of better hands to vbet, and villain has a lot of hands beating you as well. targeting the QJs/T9s/QTs is bad imo, because he has so many better hands like AQ/KJ/KT/KQ etc. I would def check and probably fold tbh, but I guess you can find an argument for calling with no Ad, villain dependent.
Today I coolered so many people that I started tilting, was feeling really bad knowing I had the best hand and that the guy was almost never bluffing and I was going to raise-jam the river. It's really weird when I win and get lucky in poker, I feel somewhat empty. I've been a breakeven player for so much in this game that I'm used to watching myself fail. When I'm losing also I get super pumped up for the next round and to do my best and beat the games. In this month I won't put work outside of the tables because my focus is on volume, but next month I'll do my best to work and improve my game, will try to stay humble and do my best. Will take a shot at 100z during the weekend if I reach a $2k bankroll. Probably somewhere around a 3-4 BI shot.
The more I play this game, more I think about how it impacts my life, and how poker actually is a great opportunity to improve ourselves in areas we are weak. When we come to this world, we get here with tons of weaknesses, problems and tendencies we had from our lives, like being overconfident, underconfident, with lack of discipline or with excess of it. Basically these traits are those that make ourselves play poorly in many situations, like when an overconfident person is always bluffing, someone with low confidence is a weaktight player, very disciplined players usually lack creativity and are super straightforward and players with lack of discipline suffer a ton from FPS and always try to play the hand as fancy as they can even when they lose EV by doing that.
A good poker player has to overcome those weaknesses in order to play well, and I've seen that by playing poker, I turned out to be a way more disciplined person(which was my biggest leak). Having the discipline for making those tight hero folds OTR vs a nit is the same thing as going to the gym when you're tired. I wasn't making exercises for around 4-5 years and in the last 3-4 months I've been going to the gym with a medium-high frequency(3-4 times/week). This is such a good game and I'm enjoying it even more the more I play. I think this volume I'm playing is good enough to stay sharp, get some good sample size in a reasonable time frame without any kind of burnout/losing the magic of the game. I see myself playing in this rhythm every month for the next 10 years.
Some hands from today
H1: vs the best reg of 50z(imo). Good fold OTR? I've been super stationy vs him on most streets, but I'm pretty sure he still bluffs a ton vs me. My idea for folding this hand is that all gutshots got there OTR and that he is checking most of his range OTF, specially sets. I think he raises most of his sets OTF, but he could get some to the turn, also he is x/c 22 OTF. Villain knows how to valuebet thin, so he should have Q2 in his jamming range OTR.
River:(57.12 BB, 2 players) T
SB bets 73.04 BB and is all-in, fold
SB wins 54.26 BB
H2: vs same guy, happened some minutes after H1, good fold? My idea is that people almost never fold river when they called turn, so he shouldn't bluff a ton there, right? Also most of his draws got there OTT.
Was playing really well at the beginning of the session, but had to fold like 3 BI right in the first 15 mins of the session, so tough, then got coolered a ton for more 3 BI. At some point I started tilting, but I got very lucky in almost all my tilts since the bluffs were all passing. One thing I realized is that even when I tilt, I'm capable of not donating an entire stack in situations I used to, reducing the losses to a minimum, still plays were horrible though and they should be avoided at all costs.
Some hands
H1: some maximillion pegasus action going on here lol. Guy has AQ all the time there, feel really good to know that I've made such a good fold while tilted,
H2: tilt hand, in the old times, turn would have been a jam always and I would get owned by the guy calling me with AQ lol. He is a nl16 reg, should just fold pre after his 3-bet.
H3: turn is very bad, was tilted in the hand, but as an exploitative play vs villain it's fine, he was weaktight and overfolding. At least I'm picking my targets well when I tilt this time. River this combo is just so good to bluff that it doesn't feel even real lol. One of the perks of making bad turn barrels is having good hands to bluff OTR I guess.
River:(69.14 BB, 2 players) T
MP checks, Hero bets 71.82 BB and is all-in, fold
Hero wins 65.68 BB
H4: vs player who overfolds OTF, I thought he would raise most of his sets OTF and would call all his draws(these guys love to draw and call with almost no made hand), he could fold QT there easily since he was folding 80% OTF vs cbets. Checked the turn because of that read of mine, got tired of betting and getting raised there every time vs people who have flushes almost 50% of the time or more when they call flop. OTR was brutal, I insta called his raise, should at least think a little since this doesn't look like the kind of guy to valuebet flushes on paired boards.
fold, Hero raises to 2.32 BB, CO calls 2.32 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1.32 BB
Flop:(7.46 BB, 3 players) 5 3 4 BB checks, Hero checks, CO bets 5 BB, BB raises to 22.08 BB, fold, CO raises to 118.44 BB and is all-in, BB calls 75.6 BB and is all-in
H7: vs 19/6 1 AF guy, this fold is still in my head until now. OTT it's a check, tons of 2-pairs got there. The problem is that this guy could be valuebetting QQ/JJ/TP OTR and I blocked most of his missed draws. Good fold? I usually feel fine by folding, but this one I thought was kinda too nitty.
Your game is seriously all over the place. Sometimes too tight and sometimes way too loose. Opening 64s mp for example its not even a CO open. You continually still flat 3bets oop with crap which is killing your win rate. Basic things you are still doing wrong.
H1. Thats a call for 11bb against a fish. Don't make hero folds for 11bb
H2. You burnt 50bb being a spastic with 89o, when its obviously a fold pre.
H4. Checking turn is awful. It doesn't matter if you sometimes get raised because you have outs and your IP. You basically just gave up on the pot with a set.
H7. Turn isnt a check just because its possible some 2 pairs got there. Still can get value from worse, river is a call for sure once BB folds, and you could bet it half pot also.
I appreciate the way you think about poker and I completely agree that it's an awareness exercise in which you constantly try to grow better. I also use this approach to both poker and life and it really is a nice way to look at it.
I also enjoy your consistency and your mental fortitude even though you've been breaking ~ even for some time. Your approach is good - so good luck with the results
Your game is seriously all over the place. Sometimes too tight and sometimes way too loose. Opening 64s mp for example its not even a CO open. You continually still flat 3bets oop with crap which is killing your win rate. Basic things you are still doing wrong.
H1. Thats a call for 11bb against a fish. Don't make hero folds for 11bb
H2. You burnt 50bb being a spastic with 89o, when its obviously a fold pre.
H4. Checking turn is awful. It doesn't matter if you sometimes get raised because you have outs and your IP. You basically just gave up on the pot with a set.
H7. Turn isnt a check just because its possible some 2 pairs got there. Still can get value from worse, river is a call for sure once BB folds, and you could bet it half pot also.
h1 standard fold, without tendency or specific spot you pretty much always fold to big bets from fish
Took my first 100z shot yesterday, lost $200, but I don't consider it a failure. Right off the bat I got super tilted after 2 regs called 2 check-raises I've made vs them OTR and tilted more 2 stacks, lost $700 in less than 1 hour. After taking a break, I decided to keep playing on 100z(lol brm), it took me 3h to grind it back to $1700, didn't tilt after the break.
My impression is that 100z plays quite the same as 50z, but with a little more 3-betting going on, which punished me hard because I jumped in the pool with my normal game, with 31 VPIP, so I got punished hard by 3-bets and I had no stats on people to be able to know which opens were +EV vs which line ups. After the break I tightened a little bit, played like a nit with 24 vpip and it went better. Next time I think I'll play tighter until I have a decent sample on people so I can loosen up.
About my game, this shot gave me some insight on some stuff: I'm very dependent on reads to make good moves. My "standard poker game" is really bad, my basic strategy is very poor overall and most of the good things that I do in the tables depend on the exploits I do/history with villains. But I'm pretty happy to how I handled tilt, the 2 BI I spewed were annoying but there's not much I could have done. When people make absurd calls vs your river overbet check-raises, you usually go nuts, also I know I'm balanced there and I'm almost sure I'm underbluffing for the sizing I used.
Will grind more 50z in this week and see if I'll shot take again next friday on 100z. BTW, found out that a good amount of the 100z pool is made from 50z regs.
Some hands
H1: vs unknown shaping to be a reg, I have tons of 2-pairs there that I'm doing this with, so annoying
H3: vs unknown(which was almost everyone at 100z), OTR it's a good call in theory, since we don't block any spades bluff and block a good amount of his flushes. Tanked pretty hard there because even in that scenario I would have folded this vs most people that I have info on.
River:(76.1 BB, 2 players) 9 BB bets 62.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 62.2 BB
Spoiler:
BB shows K T (Straight, King High)
(Pre 37%, Flop 14%, Turn 23%) Hero shows A Q (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 63%, Flop 86%, Turn 77%) BB wins 198 BB
H4: very good play by reg I thought was a bad reg, maybe people are way better than I think they are. He is the same guy that called me in the AT hand river check-raise
CO shows 9 9 (One Pair, Nines)
(Pre 55%, Flop 74%, Turn 86%) Hero mucks K A (High Card, Ace)
(Pre 45%, Flop 26%, Turn 14%) CO wins 63.52 BB
H6: vs good reg that used to play with me on 16z. His river sizing is quite off I think, this river is really good for his range, but I think that his range becomes so much stronger than mine there that the best possible result for him is to take the pot down, so he should bet big.
fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 4.5 BB
Flop:(15.5 BB, 2 players) 5 T K CO checks, Hero bets 4.87 BB, CO calls 4.87 BB
Turn:(25.24 BB, 2 players) 9 CO checks, Hero bets 17.99 BB, CO calls 17.99 BB
River:(61.22 BB, 2 players) T CO checks, Hero checks
Spoiler:
CO shows T Q (Three of a Kind, Tens)
(Pre 39%, Flop 22%, Turn 30%) Hero mucks J K (Two Pair, Kings and Tens)
(Pre 61%, Flop 78%, Turn 70%) CO wins 58.72 BB
H9: R2D2(PT4 range notes) saved me on this one, it said that villain was calling pre-flop 3-bets OOP with AK, so it changes the river spot insanely with those combos in his range.
H2: good bluff OTR? I feel villain will be in a really ****ty spot if he is doing this with 2-pair/sets, also he was overfolding to aggression. What are our best bluffs here? Couldn't find any bluff with decent blockers because most of the stuff that blocks 5x blocks his folding range(2-pairs/sets).
H2: good bluff OTR? I feel villain will be in a really ****ty spot if he is doing this with 2-pair/sets, also he was overfolding to aggression. What are our best bluffs here? Couldn't find any bluff with decent blockers because most of the stuff that blocks 5x blocks his folding range(2-pairs/sets).
With that runout and action sequence, I don't think you have any good bluffs. Villain's river betting range is heavily weighted to value. You have some 5s, but you're the player doing the bluff-catching (with two pairs and some Qx).
h2 I think your intuition is correct in the sense that if he bets a lot of non 5x then he has a good chance of folding enough (didn't check the combos though). The thing is that you don't really know how he is playing his range here and your assumption must be correct quite a high percentage of the time in order for you to profit. It would then make sense to let this one go. This is kind of spot, where you are profitable only based on medium-strength assumptions, is likely to come up a lot and I think that you should reconsider your approach to this spot. Interesting hand IMO,thx for posting
With that runout and action sequence, I don't think you have any good bluffs. Villain's river betting range is heavily weighted to value. You have some 5s, but you're the player doing the bluff-catching (with two pairs and some Qx).
very good point, so is this a spot where villain should be betting small with his bluffs, 2-pairs and straights, right? If he bets bigger with his straights, he won't be able to valuebet his 2-pairs in a smaller size because they will just get owned by my raises, specially sine I still have some 5s.
TBH, the hand was misplayed OTT, usually people are very unbalanced in those check behind raise situations, and the guy made a big size. It was a big mistake by me to call OTT. In theory we can't fold TP there ever, but that's a situation where I think I will just get owned pretty hard by a nit, even his bluffs have 30% equity vs JQ. OTR I tried to fix the mistake that I've made OTT and I think it's ok.
Also there are some villains that bet bigger with their straights and smaller with their 2-pairs/sets, vs those kind of players the raise is just awesome. But by looking at the hand again, he made 50%, which is kinda big for a 2-pair, so I think villain could be betting with that sizing with his straights only. So I'm the one getting owned pretty hard there.
Even though this hand was just -EV, I like that I'm making plays like that, sometimes you have to go for it and be creative. After thinking about the hand, OTR the best moves are those: fold>raise>call. Calling in there is just suicide vs the pool, the interesting thing is that when he made that bet OTR I didn't even consider calling, right away I was looking at the fold or raise button lol.
Theoretically H2 looks fine, maybe turn could be a theoretical fold - he’s essentially 2x overbet pot.
OTR raise is good depending on how well you balance here. I think sizing is an issue though - he can just fold all two pair / sets and snap off with straights for that price.
Even though this hand was just -EV, I like that I'm making plays like that, sometimes you have to go for it and be creative. After thinking about the hand, OTR the best moves are those: fold>raise>call. Calling in there is just suicide vs the pool, the interesting thing is that when he made that bet OTR I didn't even consider calling, right away I was looking at the fold or raise button lol.
The fact you still think that hand is a good example of being creative is why you are going nowhere and spewing all your money away. Villain never value bets worse than a straight there. You still think your playing otb.
Exploitative ideas aside it is good to have some bluffs here in principle but it’s super hard to balance since villain can have more T9 in their range, we can have one combo MAX if we bet call EVERY time. So our 5x raises need to be protected by T9hh of which we will have less than one combo of when we raise river.
Because of this we need to raise smaller. And this makes it super hard not to over bluff or under bluff.
The fact you still think that hand is a good example of being creative is why you are going nowhere and spewing all your money away. Villain never value bets worse than a straight there. You still think your playing otb.
have you read the part that I said it was a fold OTT? Or do you read just what you want to criticize it?
have you read the part that I said it was a fold OTT? Or do you read just what you want to criticize it?
Yes you are all over the place mate. Turn is mandatory call. River is the mistake, where you decide to bluff the worst possible river. He seemed to almost certainly have T9h there so that confirms turn call is fine. River is a simple fold.