Quote:
what stats do you look at to decide whether or not to triple barrel bluff?
i fell like the flop call, turn call, river fold line is really bad. and obviously horrible for the red line. if i beat his range on the flop/turn then i should call most rivers. so i rarely do it, and i never expect others to do it. therefore i am always timid to take a triple barrel bluff line. i feel like i should only get whiffed draws to fold.
however, i think that my thought process is flawed somewhere. please help.
I play weak vs regs that 3bet alot and barrel alot. And don't exploit enough the players that play the same way. One thing I have been thinking lately.
Think equity all the time. Plus add top/mid/bottom range thinking OTR. Auto call every pair until the river and most draws ( sometimes shove draws OTT). With 87s on a board of K74hh Jd you don't have mid pair. You have equity. Good equity vs his bluffing range and 10% equity vs nuts.
River 2
Yet again we don't have mid pair. We have equity vs give ups. Bluffing equity if villain never checks a flush here. Vs shove usually I think we have very low equity. Top of our range flushes. Mid part sets and two pairs + tps. Bottom of our range pairs below tp. From top to bottom equity decreases. Snap call with good equity. Draw the line somewhere in the region of two pair/tp.
River 2
We have equity vs give ups. Not much bluffing equity because of the draws missed. Vs shove I think we have bit more equity than previously. All draws missed. Top of our range sets/two pairs. Mid part tps/mid pairs. Bottom missed draws. From top to bottom equity decreases again. Mid pair has bit more equity now. Draw the line of snap call vs shove little higher around tp/mid pair region.
I think I need more of this kind of thinking when playin againts aggro blinds from the button. I have auto folded so many times OTT my mid pair that is not even funny. 10000000000% of equity stolen from me
.
This works the other way around too. Auto half bet pot flop and turn againts regs that are pushovers and don't realize how much equity is been stolen from them. Shove river blanks for the same reason. Keep doing this until they call the river shove with something less than the top of their range.