Yeah, there's a chance.

This month sucked a lot. I somehow still managed to profit this month, but not sure how. I felt like I was getting run over by terrible run outs and ******edly lucky whales all month. Clearly month could have been a lot worse, but it was very swingy and I felt as though I ran quite a lot under expectation as the games throughout the month were quite good. Just a day or two ago I was at two 500nl reg tables and basically all 5 players on both tables were bad regs/whales and managed to drop a few buy ins within maybe 20 minutes still.

I'll try not to have a run on complaint, but yeah, my mindset this month was a wild one. Started out great, then ran bad, then ran very pure, then ran very bad again. Was kind of ridiculous and all over the place, but in general feel like I ran quite bad. My mindset was pretty poor all month as I don't do well with high volume/running bad and my usual solution is to quickly take a break and come back refreshed. With the prop bet I did with meale I couldn't do this and was forcing myself to play a lot at the end of the month as I had taken several days off for vacation and to catch up was going to have to average 12h+ a day to win. After running un-real bad few days in a row I decided to buy out and take the loss and I think continuuing to grind long hours was going to be more -ev than -$1k.

Basically think if I ran well this month could have been easily +$20k or something ridiculous. Had multiple $3k swings in all directions very suddenly this month. I'll need to get more use to this in 2019. At one point this month i was about $5k usd above EV only to end the month $1k usd below EV. Unfortunate!

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2018 year recap

Well I quit my job in February of this year to give this poker thing a shot hoping to basically make $30-40k+. I took entire months off and was overall fairly lazy with regards to playing poker as a whole, but don't really regret it as I definitely didn't realize how depressed/unhappy I was at my job ... like HOW much I was unhappy. During Christmas, my dad said my sister stated to him a looked significantly happier than last Christmas and that was solely because I wasn't working at that **** job anymore. So given all that pretty happy with year results, though I really wish November/December would have gone better to push me over that 6fig with only poker.

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($) bonus graph with red line. You can guess where I moved up stakes to where they respect my raises



Stakes

what a great year Brokenstars. Congrats.

Thanks for the bonus graph with red line.

Wp, teach, sick year!
Btw, quite easy to see when superusing started haha!

Vaaaamooooo

Nice year, wp.

I can't tell now either?

Also I really get that I'm just some ******* on the internet but you really have never experienced a downswing. Your month where you ran well above EV until the last second and made 4k is as bad as it gets?

lol by the way he was talking I was expecting to actually have been down this month. Some people live in another universe.. Did you even have a losing month this year?

Certainly it can get worse, though I ran well below half my "real" win rate in the games I was playing in for the last 100k hands which is probably bottom 10% distribution for this sample.

Maybe when you're as good as me you'll understand that when you only win a small amount you still ran bad. Until then keep it coming kids.

I have a higher winrate in my games than you do?

I'm not arguing you aren't a much better poker player than me, you just have no idea. People that crush you have played in worse games and run much worse. You seem to think this gets said because people are jealous or something but you just come across as moron which you aren't.

'real win rates' over a 375k sample. Must have gone to the same school of variance as 6bet.

insane... easily the best player in the f##king world.. u know that graph looks like when linus got good. his red line suddenly spiked.. ffs i know what's going to happen in 2years... this is so ****ing sick... soon pgc will be abandoned b/c u will be too busy and cant be fckkd with these ******s. at that point u will be at ur peak srs. so blessed & privileged to get an inner-look till u abandon thread at some point in 2019 glgl vamo

Okay kid, just because people run worse does not mean I have not recently been running under expectation. Now run along.

I'd be surprised if you even graduated high school. Go donk some more MTTs.

This is the type of post that just shows you don't get it. It's very childish, as a pro you should have some sort of idea of your expectation. Shame too as you're clearly a good player in your games. Laziness and lack of run good will be your downfall if you don't start putting in the volume or effort to get better. Games get worse.

Also please don't call people kids. I'm older than you and more qualified than you to talk about variance. I also like you as a person on the whole, if you'd like me to not comment in your threads I won't.

GL next year! I love to watch the stream and hope to learn just a couple of moves here and there! Go ****ing crush now!

It's funny to see your results. ***** all year about "down ev this" and "down ev that" and then you end up in ev in both $$$ and bb/100. I just find it funny because I've never seen a winning player as emotional as you are and you're clearly a crusher at the games so I have no idea why you get so invested in short term results. It's puzzling to me. That wasn't meant as a bash but more just an observation that's poorly worded.

Anyways, nice year. gl in 2019.

AIEV is only a part of the story my friends.

Yes, what makes you think you are qualified to judge your actual EV off a sample? If you lost 30k in AIEV would you say the same? If you ran 30k below EV would you say the same?

This is a very serious comment.

You said your aim was 30/40k a year originally, what changed?

edit - At the same time if I am the cause (or help) people come in and chat **** about you I do apologise. Ignore me, not helpful.

He should also stop wasting his time playing baby stakes and play 10/20 instead. His hourly is 3 million dollars.

It was intended to come across exactly as it did. I do have an idea of my expectation. Yes I am a good player. Right, because I've been running good my entire poker career. You state in one sentence I'm a good player, then in the next basically say I'm just lucky/lazy despite likely studying more than most people. This was my first year as a "pro" and I had no intention of grinding 8 hours/day every day to begin with because I don't need to. Work to live don't live to work.

I called you a kid to hurt your feelings as I'm tired of every other post from people saying I don't understand variance, that I'm on a life heater, etc. obviously just needles from the internet trolls, though. The fact of the matter is it's pretty unlikely many of us truly understand how bad poker variance can get, but that does not mean that I did not run poorly over my last 100k hands which is just a statement. It does not mean that I can't run worse or anything like that.

From my perspective it seems as though people take my posts and interpret them in a way that is unintended. Welcome to the internet.

For everyone who thinks I suck or am overly emotional -- whatever, just watch me crush *AGAIN* in 2019 and when I'm done with poker I'll continue to crush in life also.

My aim was 30-40k minimum as that's all I need to survive (including putting money into retirement every month). Nothing changed, you can see in the post I had a + sign. My EV this year was likely around 40-120k.

Jungleman?


Congrats on the solid year

I was writing out a post to this then I realise I don't care. Gl I hope you do well in 2019. Maybe people hating has done it's number on you.

Wooo, wpwp on the year, very solid indeed and absolutely smashed your goal!

What point are you trying to make? You seem insanely jealous and bitter.