I have recently focused a serious amount of effort towards poker after years of thinking about it. This will be the log of my journey.
I started about a month ago, back in Feb 2019, with a $200 deposit on ACR. About 15,000 hands of microstakes later, I am just about breakeven with about $204, which is not bad. I have $10+ in rakeback and $10 in bonuses for a combined $20 extra I am not including (not yet redeemed).
However, this is not excellent either. I will post my stats later. For .1/.2 NL, 10k hands is definitely not enough to see a long-term trend. Before I started this journey, I always wondered why I saw pros quote hand amounts of 50k, 100k, even 1m+ before results could be accurately interpreted.
At this point variance tells me I'm a breakeven player, but there are some hopeful elements.
The fact that there are some steep slopes upwards mean I am sometimes doing something right. The really steep cliff drops remind me of when I tilted away by usually stacking off light. The problems arise are when I stack off light when I am super deep. I think if I can just avoid this one spot, where I stack-off light when deep with a weak bluffcather, I could create a pro winning winrate. We shall see.
I had a convo with a friend about going pro as a poker player today. He started talking about "how" to go about it.
Since I have thought a lot about it, and now seriously giving the journey a shot, I responded that the question really is "should one undertake the journey" and not "how."
The "how" is already out there. There's a lot of good and free literature about how to play, how to manage a conservative bankroll, etc. On the same token, there's also a lot of information out there about "how" to play baseball. There's countless books and videos about how to hit a ball, how to pitch.
But the question is the same for both poker and baseball: should one undertake the journey?
Does a person have an amazing natural throwing velocity with huge potential? Or, does he have an undying love of the game?
A really good baseball or poker player may just end up in the minor leagues, barely making minimum wage.
And this is what I have realized in my first month of "going pro." For me, "going pro" just means "playing 500 to 1,000 hands of online poker during my day job before my boss finds out that I'm not actually working and fires me."
I realized that I have to be the best in the world, top of my game, just to win pennies. Maybe it is easier for others, but I cannot just "zone out" and multi table and play like a robot. I feel like I am emotionally invested in each table- at least I have to be in order to win. I have to get a good "feel" for my opponents in order to know when they are acting out of line.
And I'm fine with my realization. Because (I think) I love poker. I mean it's not the funnest game in the world. There are other games with much better graphics. Graphic-wise, this game is pretty sad.
But strategy-wise I love it it. It's simple enough to understand, but deep enough to always have elements that can be studied. A long-time to master. And as a means-to-an-end to make money, I really like playing a strategy game all day. It really beats just about every other thing I've done for money in my life.
Of course there is always a better end game, to own one own's business for example. This is why the best pros end up coaching and not playing.
However, for my ditch to dig, I like poker as this choice. I can happily dig it and not fool myself about what I'm doing.
It's the most honest day's work I can do. I sit at a table with villain, I say "hello sir I am here to take all your money." And he says to me "and to you kind sir, I am here to do the same to you." And we say "good day sir" to each other and don't fight each other after the cards are dealt and the day is done.
Is any other profession as honest? When a salesman knocks on your door selling knives, it's just a dishonest game of "sir I'd really just rather have your money without all the song and dance."
That's what poker is. Life without all the song and dance. I'll save the song and dance for my friends and family, but business is straightforward-- I want your money sir, I am here to take it and am going to do everything within my means to do so, I hope that is okay with you.
This is my FR (9max) .1/.2 after about 1st 10k hands
6max .1/.2 after a few K hands
I'll have to say that 6max feels like a completely different game to me. I had traditionally been a FR player, never dabbling much in 6max. I am learning the game now due to it's recent resurgent popularity and high population online.
I have been very much humbled playing the microstakes. I came in playing like I did not have much respect for these players. At first I must have run good because I was up a whole bunch of buy-ins (on full ring). Then I went on a steep tilt, trying to run over players.
I learned a lesson that there are good players at the microstakes. I've always known this. I mean, sometimes you have people playing their absolute best poker at the lowest level because it's their last remaining dollar. I know I've been there.
True, you have a lot of the worst players here too, but the play is definitely underestimated. Or, it's not talked about much because it's too much of an ego hit to say that you can't win at the micros.
I'm finding it most hard to balance what I think is solid play vs the most exploitative play. I not only want to win at this level, but I more so want to develop good habits and build upon skills that are useful for higher limits.
Sometimes the right play is the exploitative play, whatever limit you're at. If someone can be exploited, and you don't exploit them, then you are exploiting yourself.
One concept that I have recently realized is that even if you try to play GTO, the correct GTO percentages come from making the correct individual decisions over and over again, rather than simply randomly making decisions in order to arrive at a particular percentage.
My realization is simpler when explained in terms of macro versus microeconomics. Gas prices must stay relatively even at pumps city-wide. However, you can see individual fluctuations that are quite steep: like high gas prices at highway intersections, or deep within a city with no other gas stations nearby. These hyper local pricing decisions don't agree with what the averages say the should be. However, taken in aggregate, all these individuals combine to create the average.
That's not to say that each individual gas station should just look at the average and aim to be there. Each individual station has its own set of factors to take into account in order to come up with its pricing decision.
And this I would say is the same for each poker spot for each hand. Although in aggregate, you can look at your game and say this percentage is too high or that percentage is too low, and even be correct, it's probably impossible to also adjust your game at this high a level, because the decisions come from individual factors at the detail level.
This is why a very good high-level understanding of the theory of poker still isn't sufficient to be a winning player. There's something to be spoken about the "execution" part.
As Sklansky has said in the fundamental theorem to think about what the villain wants you to do and "disappoint him," it is still our success or failure in this "disappointment" part that divides the winners from the losers.
Even the best players are still just winning a little over half the time (50+% W%SD). This means that half the time (or just under) they are wrong. They just keep that edge and push it.
Last edited by BUSB0Y; 03-12-2019 at 09:37 PM.