Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? 2NLz to 200NLz in 2024?

01-08-2024 , 08:00 PM
Hi!

I'm a very long-time social / rec player (10+ years of playing once a month, sometimes less) starting to learn poker strategy properly, with a lot more time to invest.

About 2 weeks into taking poker more seriously and thought I'd start a thread here to track my own progress.

I have about 30hrs/wk available. I plan on spending my time 60-70% studying, 30-40% playing.

Playing mostly on GG.

Study Plan
I've hired a coach to help get me pointed in the right direction and help me grasp concepts, but I'm also spending a lot of time myself. Had my first hour session today, will have another later this week.

I do "okay" at constructing ranges (e.g. I can find and prioritize the best bluffs in a spot), and understanding where to find bluffs even in more difficult spots (and today it clicked that this is for example an easy exploit in micro stakes, knowing where most other players won't find bluffs). I understand the common math concepts. I'm just now trying to figure out frequencies (and patterns to them) as a whole.

Daily...
30m - Review preflop ranges daily (currently very accurate on RFI, still improving on 3bet/4bet accuracy)
1h - Hand review. If I've flagged hands (need to do this more) I'll dive in. Otherwise, I upload to GTOWizard, sort by biggest EV mistakes, and try to find hands where I can't justify my deviation. I'll try to ask myself questions about these and dive in to find relevant heuristics/answers.
1h - Try to find new heuristics. Right now, I'm trying to find patterns in how GTO decides on frequencies.
1h - Consume general strategy content (videos, etc), make notes, validate concepts by finding the patterns myself with gtowizard to set it in, etc.
0.5h++ Play! Often this is more like 1h-3h. Mostly 2 tabling zoom.

Every week I'll revisit this study plan, figure out what's working and what needs to change.

Bankroll Strategy
I will infinitely reload +$20 as needed if I go bust. Hasn't happened yet.

Move up: 20bi at previous stake + 3bi at new stake
Move down: 20bi at previous stake

At 25NL I'll change to a 40bi strategy before moving up. If I'm somehow completely crushing the game I might be willing to slightly lower that.

Also planning on starting a separate roll for live and injecting some cash once I'm confident I'm winning at 10NL+.

Starting balance was $20
Current balance is $30

The more I understand the less I expect to be winning, but the more confident I feel that I'll get there. Here's my graph, includes about 6k hands of 5NL starting just before the peak.


Goals
All zoom (rush & cash on GG).
50NL by end of April
100NL by end of August
200NL by end of December

I know this is very ambitious. I can put in a lot more volume on the weekends, but will sometimes take a day off so I don't burn out. Aiming for the toughest rush and fold games is because I genuinely enjoy the challenge of poker, strategy, etc. If I want to make a big profit, I'll play more live

I plan on posting daily updates for now, occasionally with bankroll / hand histories, often with what I'm studying.

Any feedback/advice would be greatly appreciated!
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-08-2024 , 08:21 PM
Today's Progress
Didn't play much, learning doesn't burn me out as much, I like studying more than playing at the moment. Needed a down day, and only put in about 250 hands (.5hrs @ 2 tables of rush & cash).

I feel like I'm in a really weird place with strategy. I understand some pretty advanced concepts, but at the same time I'm lacking many fundamentals.

Reviewed preflop for 30 mins - looking at ranges on gtowizard, quizzing myself, answering questions from my own notes (e.g. when can AKo fold, not focusing on a loss here, I was just surprised by GTOWizard telling me a deep 4b call with AKo was massively -ev).

Coaching call (first session of coaching) 1h, covered a lot, two of the huge impacts for me:
- Focusing on frequencies instead of specific composition
- Thinking about my baseline as exploit vs population/reg instead of GTO.

Now to dive into frequencies...

This is where I'm a little lost. Will probably dive into it in my next coaching session if I can't figure it out myself.

How should I think about frequencies?
Do I think about frequency first, then size, then use that to figure out how many bluffs should be found (from GTO)? Is there a shortcut or simpler way to think about this (at least to have a baseline strategy), or is it just finding patterns and building some intuition?

Watched the "Building Heuristics" video on GTOWizard (following the Mastering Basics of GTO learning plan) for a second time today. It clicked a lot more so than it did on the first pass. I took a step backward after though and realized I need to figure out how I think about frequencies before I can find patterns and remember the right key points.

Also watched "Indifference" from Qing Yang (also on GTOWizard) today (for a second time). It clicked a lot more after the context from my coaching session and the shift in thinking to frequencies. Again, getting ahead of myself a bit here.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 01:00 AM
Wasn't quite content with very little volume today. Put in an extra 1k hands.

Tried to record a play and explain that I could send over for coaching advice. Instead, I pinpointed a lot of my own issues and was able to answer a lot of my own questions. Going to try to correct those and record again tomorrow.

Clearly my redline isn't ideal, I have some big leaks. I know I should bluff less, and call less. I'm also pretty sure I'm losing more to the fishy players calling off jams I shouldn't be and similar and winning slowly from the regs. Will try to play a bit more with PokerTracker to narrow this down.

For now, I'm going to try to draw a hard line for myself on conditions where I'm willing to stack off pre with less than AKo/AA/KK. I'm justifying slightly looser a little too often, but I need to better understand where the line is. Pretty simple to figure out, just need to load up preflop charts at different stack depths vs regs ignore stats unless very extreme (e.g. maybe 30%+ pfr, 35%+ 3bet over 200+ hands with how gg hud works is a good baseline for calling 100bb with QQ?)

I think understanding frequencies better will help me to keep my post-flop bluffs in line.

Better understanding a baseline for sizing is on the to do list, and will also help a lot.

Lots to learn!



Overall, win or lose doesn't really matter to me yet. I'm improving day over day, learning things, spotting my own leaks, and have some guidance as well to verify that I'm not misguided in my ideas.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 05:01 AM
Dove into this, it's super clear, I'm just finding way too many bluffs post-flop (mostly on the river).

I have a decent intuition on where I should go for value in most cases. I'm going to try to match that with 1:1 value:bluffs for now. I can find extra bluffs in a few places (e.g. bluff a bit more on rainbow disconnected boards vs regs).

I've seen a few references to 1:2 value:bluffs being ideal, but I suspect it's reasonable to lean a bit more value heavy in micros against players who tend to call too often.

Once I have a starting point, I can dive into GTO frequencies, population frequencies, and what my frequencies should be. Still not really sure about if I should think about bluffing frequencies in a vacuum, or instead think about betting frequencies and apply a multiple to figure out bluffing frequencies. Either way, getting ahead of myself there...

Going to off-the-table work through a few spots to find my best bluffs and gauge if this is something I can realistically work out quickly on the fly, or if I need to work through a lot of examples and build some intuition here.

Last edited by MattD1; 01-09-2024 at 05:25 AM.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 07:42 AM
Good luck with your poker journey
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 01:39 PM
+500 hands, didn't run into any interesting spots.

It's funny how I learn in my sleep and just wake up to better thoughts on how to fix my play.

I realized that the 1:1 / 2:1 ratio on bluffs makes a lot of sense on earlier streets, but on the river my baseline should be based on the bet size(s) I'm going to want, and then I should drastically reduce my number of bluffs. Such an obvious thing that I was overthinking. I can probably add a few extra value bets here too (e.g. go for value on 2nd pair with a weaker kicker in some spots).

Another big goal is quality notes/tagging... Need to figure out a color scheme and start tagging players. Still thinking about exactly how I want to categorize beyond the obvious fish/maniac, e.g. extremely passive players (had someone check down pocket aces after calling an rfi today, how am I not winning yet lmao)...

I feel like I found and fixed a big leak with my river bluffing frequency, can lean a bit more towards playing to see the results of it over the next few days.

Updated plan for the week
2 hours playing - 1k hands (2x zoom) -- ideally 2k+
1 hour preflop study - RFIs are fine, 3bets are a bit too aggro but probably ok (I need to review database and confirm, I suspect people are overfolding to 3bets, my sample is probably still a little small here). 4bet/5bet I'm making quite a few mistakes and should adjust even tighter than GTO since most players are underbluffing in 4b/5b spots at micros. I can find a few extra calls against the obvious maniacs.
1 hour - hand reviews & theory.. Probably going to skip this today and just play a bit more. I'm extremely happy with what I figured out, and want to validate it with volume.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 02:19 PM
good luck matt
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 05:09 PM
Thank you both

Today was fun. Kept trying to record a play and explain and having things go wrong.

Attempt 1, got a little sidetracked by hitting a bad beat jackpot on hand #1 lol ($100 payout, too bad, not keeping it in my poker roll since I don't want to shot take without earning it, it'll just pay for a bit of the coaching).

Attempt 2, recorded the same window 3x on OBS instead of 3 tables.

Attempt 3, forgot to hit record after an hour of play.

Few other things went wrong...

Attempt 6, multiple interesting spots within 4 mins, awesome video for review, super efficient, I don't even need to tag it.

I might not have the happy medium yet, but redline down at least all-in ev line up is a win!

I'm not going to post too many hands here, but I'll add one that might be fun to look back at.

Preflop is fine.

Flop I'm counting my outs (8 + assumed 50% of the time a king is good), thinking I probably only get a turn card. Factoring in implied odds that I often get to play for stacks when I hit.

Am I just finding too many excuses to call here? Should I be more of a nit and fold pre despite 178bb effective at 2nl where people are underbluffing 3bets? I think the reason I find calls here deeper is exactly this, implied odds. Although, 2 hearts would've made it so much easier.

I think this is always weighted to overpairs, sets, and AQ. Player didn't have crazy stats. AK probably gives me a free river, so I don't hate it if that gets in the mix. AA obviously is the worst as it blocks some of my outs, but it'd also be the best runout for implied odds, so.. I don't know how that balances out, but I can actually answer this. Will follow up.

I guess I can do the math now... Will follow up with my "homework" shortly as I actually break down equities for this exact spot, and figure out how much value I needed from implied odds to justify this. My intuition is it was ok, but my intuition has always led me to overbluffing


GG Poker - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

fdb438f8 (BTN): 45 BB
7a05814 (SB): 178 BB
81bb21ce (BB): 410.5 BB
2a02ddbc (UTG): 93.5 BB
9c3b4e96 (MP): 161.5 BB
Hero (CO): 211.5 BB

7a05814 posts SB 0.5 BB, 81bb21ce posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J K

2a02ddbc raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, 7a05814 raises to 30.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 19.5 BB

Flop: (64.5 BB, 2 players) Q 2 T
7a05814 bets 48.5 BB, Hero calls 48.5 BB

Turn: (161.5 BB, 2 players) A
7a05814 checks, Hero bets 40 BB, 7a05814 calls 40 BB

River: (241.5 BB, 2 players) 8
7a05814 checks, Hero bets 80 BB, 7a05814 calls 59 BB and is all-in

Hero shows J K (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 14%, Flop 32%, Turn 97%)
7a05814 shows K K (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 86%, Flop 68%, Turn 3%)
Hero wins 355 BB
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 05:47 PM
7% bonus on payouts currency exchange???!
I thought I was getting overcharged exchange rates depositing to GG by about 7%. Kinda huge, but not a big deal if I rarely deposit. This is depositing through their local agent who also handles withdrawals for in country bank transfers.

Turns out they use a fixed exchange rate and pay me a 7% premium on cashouts. I think this should be massively good for me long term. Will of course see if I ever hit an upper limit. I'd imagine if I start crushing 200nl that might make them rebalance the equation a bit, time will tell. Nice bonus but not counting on it.

Not going to disclose exact location since legality of poker is questionable here and in most of the region, but I'm a Canadian living in south east asia for context.

Hand Review
Back to the hand above, pretty simple to break this down... Equilab...

Playing with various variations of his range, I end up with 30% equity. Lets remove AK from the equation, assume it never does this (I think I often get a free street vs AK, rarely vs much else).

I'm doing a bit of an approximation here:


A few considerations:
- This is imperfect, figuring out possibilities vs each runout would be better but would take significantly longer.
- If this is close in either direction I don't hate the call because occasionally there's random trash mixed in being 2nl.
- I have to factor in redraws vs my range when calculating implied equity (I have 87-91% equity when my outs hit)

I need 30%. I directly realize 14.3%. I'm going to round that up to 15% to account for 2nl random trash, and might even give myself a bit more leeway beyond that.

85% of the time, we lose 48.5bb

Calling without implied odds: -41.2bb

14.3% of the time (I hit), we have to deal with next steps.

Assume I fold when I miss = 0bb value

10% of the time they fold... 14.3% * 0.1 * 161.5bb pot = 0.143*0.1*161.5=2.3bb value

90% of the time they call... 14.3% * 0.9 * 355bb pot * 90% equity in that pot = 0.143*0.9*355*0.9=41.1bb value

= 43.4 value, cost us -41.2bb to get here, worth it!

To rerun the math here in case I'm being crazy assuming 50% call (which I think is way too low, but setting a floor here)

50% of the time they fold... 0.143*0.5*161.5=11.5bb value

50% of the time they call... 0.143*0.5*355*0.9=22.8bb value

=34.3bb value, cost us -41.2bb to get here. Not so worth it.

So a call needs to assume 80%+ chance I get stacks in.

I have more leeway if:
- They ever get here with trash (as a whole, they do, 2nl, but not frequently)
- they ever check turn (they do, not even looking at if it's ever the correct play, it's 2nl, they check and give me the extra card often)

Overall, I think I could probably assume something closer to 70%+ they are willing to stack off.

I think that's a very reasonable assumption here.


PS, I thought through geometric bet sizing in the moment too. Seeing my study pay off there too, realizing I can go pretty small on the turn and give him an incredibly good price on the river.


So... am I punting? Where are my assumptions wrong, if they are?

Should I just find my calls here with BDFDs?

Last edited by MattD1; 01-09-2024 at 06:06 PM. Reason: fixed maths
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-09-2024 , 06:42 PM
Preflop also had a few mistakes I didn't focus on:

1. Fold pre, I knew I could get a bit wider being deeper, but the way to get wider is by opening a tiny bit more Axs.
2. Sizing was too large. I've been studying 3.5bb and 2.5bb open sizes and ranges, and again, not focused on earlier positions 3betting each other since it's way less frequent.

I'm actively working on this part, so not too worried.

I still think there's some value diving into the postflop, I'm sure I'll run into other spots with well defined ranges and the potential for a decent amount of implied odds.

It's actually pretty close preflop wise, depending on sizing. My 3bet sizing was a mistake, but the small 4bet sizing makes it an easier call. I don't actually know if I'd totally consider this a mistake, but... When indifferent, and getting raked to continue.. I can just fold.

Last edited by MattD1; 01-09-2024 at 07:05 PM.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-10-2024 , 06:54 PM

I feel like this is probably leaning towards a mix of runbad, playing a bit bad from being overtired today (not -50bb/100 bad though), and needing to settle into the right balance of where it's reasonable to go exploitative.

I definitely made some mistakes, but not 2000bb of mistakes.

-13bi today (before rakeback, maybe -11 after)

The good news here is my redline didn't go up, so I'm not falling back into the same habits.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-10-2024 , 09:33 PM
After a while longer, my redline did go back up.

I started finding too many out of line bluffs again, assuming I was overcompensating there and creating the issue (what is a sample set lol?)



I sort of suspect I'm being a calling station, maybe I'm just running horribly bad.

Either way, down to $18.33, from $50 and change at the start of the day. Quite the ways down at 2NL. Thought I was going to focus on volume today to validate my strategy. I don't know if being tired made for more mistakes, or.. what?

Anyways, will dive into it with the coach tomorrow. Not the most satisfying, but not in any way steered away from poker.

I can grasp pretty complex concepts in the game already, so I feel like once I get my fundamentals down pact I'll be able to work myself towards being a winning player a lot quicker.

I think I'm just getting ahead of myself with theory (that actually makes a ton of sense to me, and I even work into my game) and am missing some really big core building blocks.



On the upside, I'm pretty sure I was a -50bb/100 type rec before I started studying, so -50bb/100 while I'm clearly running poorly (probably combined with playing poorly) is still an improvement? lol

Coaching session tomorrow, hoping I can get a lot from that in just identifying the missing building blocks and I can probably dive into some of that content myself even. I understand and can implement most of what I'm taught, but I'm overloaded with information in poker and can't really orient myself to figure out where to start, or what building blocks are missing!

If I'm a calling station, and I know I'm a calling station, what I actually know is I don't know how to bluff catch. I can think about blockers, and I can understand how often I should defend vs certain bet sizes, but... How do I pull that all together in the moment. If I want to block catch 30% of the time, with some minimal removal, it's pretty easy to think about the top of my range and get there. But.. do I run bad or am I just a calling station who finds too many calls (: I struggle to think about exact frequencies and mapping them quickly enough in real time, but I kind of approximate, probably leaning more towards being a calling station of course
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-11-2024 , 02:39 AM
Some thoughts on my play....

I understand the "best practices" to exploit in that I should exploit in places where GTO mixes to be harder to exploit myself, but I also try not to give players anywhere near enough credit to actually be noticing and exploiting me back.

So... Are 2NL players actually going to pick up on obviously exploitable things beyond "calling station" / "bluffs too much"? Are they noticing if I give them zero credit and take a line that caps my range?

I know very well I don't need to play actual GTO so I don't get wrecked, but I wonder how much there are regs thinking in the ways I am at 2NL vs how many are just being nitty, value heavy, and getting paid off for it.

As a random example, I saw a 6% vpip open UTG with 66. 3000ish hands played (GG hud, so current session only).

Now I think it's not an unreasonable conclusion here:
- Villian is likely to have a lot more pairs in their range than suited connectors.

Is it always correct? No. Is there a very real chance they're just a little card dead? Yes. Could they also just be not factoring position into their ranges at all? Yep.

Is it enough that I can be profitable in spots like this by assuming they are less likely to have the straight... I think so. That doesn't mean I'm calling their 20x pot bet where only the straight makes sense, this is by no means 100% accurate. It means where I think both a call or fold have similar EV, I can lean to the one where I have an extra tiny bit of information.

Should I assume my opponents are thinking to this level on average? That a small % of them are? Am I saying basic things and many of them are levels beyond?

Last edited by MattD1; 01-11-2024 at 02:49 AM.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-11-2024 , 12:13 PM
I think the average NL2 player doesn't think about your range at all, let alone his one.

Often they are just playing their hand, so I wouldn't bother with unexploitative strategies at this level.

Just try to exploit your opponents' leaks as much as possible without thinking about the fact that you can be counter-exploited.

Take your EV and move up the limits.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-11-2024 , 12:47 PM
Appreciate it! This makes a lot of sense, I guess I'm overthinking things

I just need to settle into my equilibrium for bluffing/calling balance, against some of the more standard player profiles.

Defining my "base strategy" a bit better so that I can shift it in more measurable ways.


Update
I still don't like high rake with high rakeback and high variance rakeback, but it's working out for me. I think I'm at about 300% rakeback effective at the moment thanks to running good (including bad beat jackpot, bad beat/big win flipouts, etc) - I withdrew about $80 of that so I wouldn't shot take too early.

Back to $37. Targeting $55 (or more like $57 so I can leave auto reload on with 3bi) to take a shot at 5nl. Probably going to wait at least a few days even if I run well today/tomorrow just to rebuild some confidence and baseline.

Booked 2hrs with my coach today so we can dive into my play and my specific leaks first, then theory after.

Even though I'm fairly confident my most recent strategy has been losing, I'm starting to feel better and better about the future. Things click easier, I can read situations better, even if I make a bad call, at least I often say to myself its a bad call before I do lol, next step is implementing
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-11-2024 , 09:49 PM
Thank you (PS- Coaching highly recommended, I'm not working with Brokenstars but I'm sure he's great too, coaching feels like a huge shortcut to getting good)

+$2 today, but only 500ish hands, mostly focused on study, review, and my coaching session.

Was able to talk through a solid strategy with my coach for bluffing / calling that I have a lot of confidence in.

I need practice, I can do all these things off the table, but not quickly enough at the table...
- Review random hands until I can...
- Within a few seconds (on the flop, a few extra seconds is ok per street):
- Determine range advantage
- Count combos of any criteria both my range and villains

It's funny how all the pieces are there in my brain, and things are logical, but I just completely overlook connecting the dots in some ways.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-12-2024 , 02:29 AM
What I'm studying
Created a worksheet for myself for some off-the-table practice.

Step 1. Guess (e.g. "mostly bet large" is a good enough guess for sizing)
Step 2. Validate with GTO Wizard, update
Step 3. Where I'm wrong or unsure I'll try to find heuristics to help (those get noted in another document)

Created a sheet with 1000 random flops, Random Position Open (they're sorted) vs BB call.


First heuristic down, if I can even call this one a heuristic... UTG always has the EQ advantage vs a BTN call, every single flop. That's easy

I highly suspect it'll help make better heuristics if I can instantly guesstimate how big the EQ advantage is in the right general area.

The goal is towards the start I'm going to be wildly off, spending a lot of time on heuristics, etc. Towards the end, I hope to be way quicker in applying my heuristics. Happy to generate another 1000 random spots and do it again if I'm not there yet

The spreadsheet itself is a bit boring, but the finding heuristics side is fun to me. I mostly added the donk column for fun since I'm starting to recognize it more and more and wondering if I can start to see patterns in sizing.

Will try this with BTN calls, and 3bet pots as well in the future if it feels helpful.

I'll spend a lot of time this weekend pushing through the sheet.

I'll play a bit tomorrow, just because there's a big rakeback promotion (will need to play until I get AA pre to qualify), but otherwise mostly taking the day off from actually playing.

I miss theory videos already not watching one today, but totally worth it to take a few days and focus on committing some base strategy things to memory and finding good heuristics to do so.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-12-2024 , 10:24 AM
A fun thing to have been completely overlooking...

Board: 2s5cAs

UTG RFI, BB call.

Who has more equity? UTG.

By how much? I thought it'd be close. Seemed logical that BB has more 2s, 5s, and even more Aces with the offsuit. I guess the aces are offset a bit by 3bets, but, it's still pretty close.

In reality? It's a huge difference. Pretty much immediately I understand why, and feel like I was massively overlooking something. While the combos might be comparable, the percentage of the range it represents (the percentage of BB's range that isn't trash here) is pretty small.

A good little reminder for me as I think about how someone's range hits the board.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-12-2024 , 12:36 PM
Got pocket AA for today's rakeback promo, only took ~50 hands. Now I can take some time off playing and purely focus on studying for today and tomorrow.

Pretty funny hand for AA.

RFI UTG
BTN calls
BB Jams 100bb deep (with AQo)

Ok I guess, thanks

5NL?
$58.43 balance
$3.37 in rakeback I'll receive Monday

Then about $10-15 in EV I have on pending "high variance rakeback" (promo flipouts). High chance that's $0, but eventually it all balances out.

I feel pretty confident that I have what will be a winning strategy at 2NL and possibly beyond worked out in my mind, but I need to get implementation down pact (then work on continuing to improve strategy).

I don't think taking a shot at 5NL would be a huge mistake, but I am very prepared for the reality that I'm running good and haven't even validated my strategy fully at 2NL yet. Nevertheless, I'm confident in the coaching I'm receiving, and the direction my game is going in. If I'm feeling great Sunday or Monday, I'll take a shot at 5NL.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-12-2024 , 05:04 PM
Gl in 2024
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-13-2024 , 03:42 AM
2 steps forward, 10 steps backward, but most importantly, I'm learning what I don't know!

Here's what I've learned I don't know as well as I thought I did:
- Ranges (I get them almost perfect in play when uploading to GTOWizard, but it's a bit intuitive adjusting between the parts I do know and intelligently guessing, need to have these better in memory).
- Counting combos quickly (combined with ranges)
- Range advantage / equities / betting frequency / sizing (google sheet above)


I'm going to step back a bit on the spreadsheet from above, knock out more range practice first. GTOWizard Range Builder feels like a great tool for this, just repeatedly jumping into random spots, painting them seeing mistakes, and jumping to another random spot.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-14-2024 , 07:58 AM
A day off was great and necessary

Updates

#1 My flop + turn sizing is on point. I get very close to solver outputs, (and the part that matters,) including node lock outputs

The downside, working through this mentally tends to take the entirety of my available time assuming I don't burn my timebank, which I can't do every time. I can already feel it getting quicker, so just a matter of some practice here.

#2 I have pretty much perfect RFI ranges practicing (using GTOWizard Range Builder, I even know the mixes, but often get the percentages a bit wrong).

Still working on 3bet/4bet, but I have the right building blocks of knowing a few positions and having the intuition to adapt.

#3 Starting a fresh database. My strategy has changed drastically over the past few days as I've uncovered where I'm lacking in some fundamentals, and I don't think my previous results are a good indicator.

#4 After reconsidering, I'm committed to at least 10k hands at 2NL and showing a pre-rakeback win before 5NL. Assuming I do great, that moves my 5NL shot to at least late this week, potentially next weekend. TBD.


Study Plan
1. Play a bit, get used to my sizing decision tree in real time and implementing it quicker.
2. Revisit my spreadsheet above. Being able to quantify the extent of the range or nut advantage should help me to be even more precise. Especially if I can start estimating these numbers based on expected ranges of particular player profiles.
3. Bluff selection & frequencies - If you give me 10 minutes, I can do this in a replicable way every time. I want to turn my approach into a written out strategy, and practice implementing until I can do it in real time.
4. Possibly refine cbetting & turn betting frequencies, tbd. I have a general sense just thinking about sizing + range advantage. Quantifying the range advantage will probably help me fine tune this a bit, and I'll look into if there are other details.
5. Multiple bet sizes on the river? I've learned this from a general-advice from coaching sites perspective, but I don't really understand the building blocks to be adaptive and precise beyond obvious mistakes.
6. TBD from here! I'm really excited about what completing 1-5 will bring, and I think it's all doable within 1-2 weeks (not to perfection of course). I'm hoping this will leave me in a place where I can dive more into the theory stuff I really enjoy, but TBD if there are other missing building blocks.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-14-2024 , 09:35 AM
Another addition to my study plan, probably getting a bit ahead of myself. Split betting sizes on Flop + Turn. GTOWizard has a great video on this that I understand pretty well, I just need to get some of the more basics down first.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote
01-14-2024 , 10:32 AM
I feel like, for NL2, you might be overthinking sizings and GTO. At this limit, it's sufficient to have a rough idea of the likelihood that your hand is ahead. If it's highly likely, bet big (fish will call anyway if they find any match); if it's 50/50, go for pot control; if you're behind, fold. Bluffing, in my opinion, isn't the greatest idea at NL2.

Perhaps more experienced colleagues can correct me.
2NLz to 200NLz in 2024? Quote

      
m