at PS about 600k hands, breakeven there..
at PP about 15k hands, about 15bi down I guess.. not sure as at PP there is no HH

next level disaster at NL10 on PP. I guess being about 20bi under EV in the last 2 days (5k hands)..

Probably you just guess.. to much bi in 5k )))

Seems too much.. lost 4x AA pf vs lower pair, lost 5 sets in a row to overset, AQs on AQXsXs to KK, 300bb pot with 33 set vs tptk that goes to runner runner str8, KK < AK, KK < QQ..

I had this problem in the past, regarding the bad run. You need to focus more on the game, you will run good too, you will have set over set, flush over flush etc.

What is most important in my opinion is to try to looose minimum in downs and win maximum in ups. If on the NL10 your downs loose > ups win definetly you make some mistakes...

I am aware of reciprocity in poker. But also aware of the standard deviation of 100bb/100h. Just crying posts here from time to time by me. You are right about loose less and win more = winning in poker. GL! (also I know I do a lot of mistakes, just trying to do the smallest amount of mistakes as possible)

Often I doubt why I even play this game.

I went back to stars as it is hard to study without HH. And this session happend

vs reg. x/c otr?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 200.1 BB
Hero (SB): 168.7 BB
BB: 147.1 BB
UTG: 101.5 BB
MP: 156.1 BB
CO: 44.4 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5 5

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (12 BB, 4 players) 5 Q A
Hero checks, BB checks, MP bets 5.8 BB, fold, Hero raises to 18 BB, fold, MP calls 12.2 BB

Turn: (48 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 40.5 BB, MP calls 40.5 BB

River: (129 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 107.2 BB and is all-in, MP calls 94.6 BB and is all-in

Hero shows 5 5 (Full House, Fives full of Kings)
(Pre 55%, Flop 96%, Turn 91%)
MP shows A K (Full House, Kings full of Aces)
(Pre 45%, Flop 4%, Turn 9%)
MP wins 303.9 BB



vs whale
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 97.8 BB
BB: 115.2 BB
UTG: 54.2 BB
MP: 314.8 BB
CO: 61.2 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A J

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB raises to 7 BB, Hero calls 4 BB

Flop: (14.5 BB, 2 players) 3 J T
BB bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

Turn: (30.5 BB, 2 players) 4
BB checks, Hero bets 22.5 BB, BB calls 22.5 BB

River: (75.5 BB, 2 players) 6
BB bets 77.7 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 62.5 BB and is all-in

BB shows 5 2 (Straight, Six High)
(Pre 35%, Flop 4%, Turn 16%)
Hero shows A J (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 65%, Flop 96%, Turn 84%)
BB wins 191.5 BB


vs reg. felt like we should fold otf, no way we can win this
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 126.9 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 38 BB
UTG: 82.5 BB
MP: 128.7 BB
CO: 119.1 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A J

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, BB calls 8 BB, CO calls 6.5 BB

Flop: (27.5 BB, 3 players) J A 9
BB checks, CO checks, Hero bets 17.1 BB, fold, CO raises to 110.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 93 BB

Turn: (247.7 BB, 2 players) K

River: (247.7 BB, 2 players) Q
Players agreed to run it twice.

Turn #2: (247.7 BB, 2 players) T

River #2: (247.7 BB, 2 players) Q

CO shows A K (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)
Board #1 (Pre 69%, Flop 19%, Turn 95%)
(Royal Flush)
Board #2 (Pre 70%, Flop 16%, Turn 31%)

Hero shows A J (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
Board #1 (Pre 31%, Flop 81%, Turn 5%)
(Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
Board #2 (Pre 30%, Flop 84%, Turn 69%)

CO wins 118.3 BB
CO wins 118.3 BB

PS Girrafe since my strategy improve. Not sure if improve. Probably just small heater. lately my red line started to free fall again.. feel like most dumb person ever. thinking about getting back to nl2

Take a few days off dude.

Another month, another disaster.
I went back to PS, so I can have HH. Played 8 days. Volume is the only aspect of poker that I am at least average. All other aspects are the F mark.



Redline freefalling again. Seems my "progress" is pure illusion. The more time I put into study, the more I suck.

Graphs since significant strategy change.

Don´t be too much worried about your redline. The sample size is small and looking at your bell curve you are clearly running very bad when it comes to card distribution. Your redline is also a function of how good your card distribtion is.

Over larger sample your redline should defo not be worse than -10BB/100, but even then you can crush these stakes by value betting correctly and overfolding vs aggresion since ppl underbluff immensely (which will make your redline naturally worse).

In June Bluffthespot will launch there BTS lab and MMASherdog (HS crusher) will play stakes from 5NL until 50NL and show how to play these stakes. It costs 15USD/month. If you have this money I would reccomend it. They have also a monthly webinar in which you can ask questions. Pretty sure it would help you a lot.

Hope you can catch some heat in June. GL!

Thx, going to give it try with Bluffthespot.


Vs fish.. not sure about sizings, and line. I hoped to get called by any AcX here. Did not assume he may have all AcXc here.. probably flop just 1/3 psb and turn check?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 140.6 BB
SB: 76 BB
BB: 68.1 BB
UTG: 32.1 BB
MP: 116.6 BB
CO: 80.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K K

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, fold, MP calls 8 BB

Flop: (23.5 BB, 2 players) K 3 9
MP checks, Hero bets 14.6 BB, MP calls 14.6 BB

Turn: (52.7 BB, 2 players) A
MP checks, Hero bets 36 BB, MP raises to 91 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 55 BB

River: (234.7 BB, 2 players) 4

MP shows 5 A (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 34%, Flop 66%, Turn 80%)
Hero shows K K (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 66%, Flop 34%, Turn 20%)
MP wins 224.1 BB

Definitely fine to go 1/3 on the flop even vs fish, since you block Kx. A smaller bet even gets more calls out of TT/JJ/9x no club. 44/55/66/77/88 with a club etc.. And you have no problem getting money in even if you 1/3 the flop.

As played you should bet smaller OTT. betting 36 leaves ~50 behind and the pot would be ~120 OTR. You want this drooler to continue calling some silly hands he has.

Why would you bet flop and check turn? Don't get too results oriented.

I was thinking that he may have a lot of AcX that he may jam ott himself, as same as some bluffs as I think fish would think that we do not beat Ax here after check and we would bet our flush so he has a lot of fold equity.

One thing which you need to improve vrbik is what with your chosen bet size the SPR on future streets will be. You are clearly not thinking in game about this since I saw it in many HHs.

As ship already pointed out your turn bet size is too big. You want to give villain a hard time where he has to think what to do with certain hands which a marginal. Your bet size on the turn is very easy to play against it and you will isolate yourself mostly just vs the nutted part of villains range.

Take your time in game and think about bet sizes, SPR, eff. stack sizes, etc.

good points. thank you ship and kockar!
Another two hands, where I doubt the sizing and lines.

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 162.7 BB
SB: 124.6 BB
BB: 387.8 BB
UTG: 89.3 BB
MP: 59.2 BB
Hero (CO): 106.7 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5 5

UTG raises to 2.7 BB, MP calls 2.7 BB, Hero calls 2.7 BB, BTN calls 2.7 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (12.3 BB, 4 players) 5 T 3
UTG checks, MP bets 6.8 BB, Hero calls 6.8 BB, fold, fold

Turn: (25.9 BB, 2 players) T
MP checks, Hero bets 8.4 BB, MP calls 8.4 BB

River: (42.7 BB, 2 players) 2
MP checks, Hero bets 41.5 BB, MP calls 41.3 BB and is all-in

Hero shows 5 5 (Full House, Fives full of Tens)
(Pre 82%, Flop 93%, Turn 98%)
MP shows 3 3 (Full House, Threes full of Tens)
(Pre 18%, Flop 7%, Turn 2%)
Hero wins 119.7 BB


PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 106.9 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 80 BB
UTG: 166.9 BB
MP: 106.8 BB
CO: 93.8 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 7

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) K 7 6
BB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, BB calls 5 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 9
BB checks, Hero bets 5.4 BB, BB calls 5.4 BB

River: (27.3 BB, 2 players) 2
BB checks, Hero bets 8.9 BB, BB calls 8.9 BB

Hero shows 7 7 (Three of a Kind, Sevens)
(Pre 70%, Flop 91%, Turn 66%)
BB mucks 6 8 (One Pair, Sixes)
(Pre 30%, Flop 9%, Turn 34%)
Hero wins 43.1 BB

Month so far



Results since I strategy changes





So even ****** as I can have a small heater.. now giving money back. No improvement at all obv.

PS added ante.. so I started a new db to record my way to the bottom on ante tables.

Fold turn?

PokerStars - $0.10 Ante $0.01 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 60.2 BB
SB: 133.6 BB
BB: 113.2 BB
UTG: 73 BB
MP: 120.8 BB
Hero (CO): 114.7 BB

6 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.1 BB) Hero has 8 Q

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (7.1 BB, 2 players) 3 9 J
BB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB

Turn: (15.1 BB, 2 players) 3
BB checks, Hero bets 9.4 BB, BB raises to 27 BB, Hero calls 17.6 BB

River: (69.1 BB, 2 players) 7
BB bets 51.5 BB, fold

BB wins 66 BB

So.. I decided to be creative and just call pre..

PokerStars - $0.10 Ante $0.01 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 114 BB
SB: 113.4 BB
Hero (BB): 170.7 BB
UTG: 33.5 BB
MP: 84.4 BB
CO: 100 BB

6 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.1 BB) Hero has A A

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 14 BB, SB raises to 31 BB, Hero calls 17 BB

Flop: (62.6 BB, 2 players) 9 5 3
SB checks, Hero bets 15 BB, SB calls 15 BB

Turn: (92.6 BB, 2 players) 6
SB checks, Hero bets 23 BB, SB raises to 67.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 44.3 BB

River: (227.2 BB, 2 players) 2

SB shows 3 3 (Three of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 18%, Flop 89%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows A A (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 82%, Flop 11%, Turn 5%)
SB wins 217 BB

Since 8th of June.


I joined a Powerpoker community (czech one). Results since this event (11.6.)



Played only 1-2 tables as I am playing different ranges pre, only 3bet strat pre and much more. Hope I can play 3 tables soon again to get some volume.

GL to all.

2020 Summary
Don't read this if you expect the road to success manual

Poker
2020 was the worst year of poker for me as it was the first year of poker that I did not move up. I spent all the year at NL10. (Now I am back at PS)

On the bright side..
To join the powerpoker community was the best decision I could do in 2020. I completely rebuild my useless plain stupid strategy, got out of the 60BI valley of despair, and getting to shot NL16 soon with 50BI roll for it. The positive thing is that I learned a lesson: playing without proper study is just wasting time for me nowadays. Really looking forward to next year as poker is still the number one hobby for me. I hope I found a way how to improve from day to day and hope for NL25 shot in 2021.

Not going to post the graph as I want to preserve my mental health

RL Stuff
One of the best years ever IRL. I love my family life and time with my wife and our baby that grows so fast! I finished writing the dissertation thesis, still can't believe that I did it. I wrote 4 conference articles, one impact paper, chapter in the book. Hopefully, I will become the supervisor of my first Ph.D. student next semester. So it was definitely the best year in my academic career at university.

The business year was also great. We established the new scientific paper with my friend and increased traffic on our citebay.com project 10x. We decided to focus on our paper, citebay.com and academic careers instead of webpages and other bullshit.

It was also the best year regards to income, getting some research extra money, some BTC wins and some small other investments.


GL to all in 2021!

Awesome thread man! Glad to see I'm not the only one struggling at 10z. good luck in 2020.

Thanx! GL to you also!

2020 summary addendum
Graph for december..



I improved my red line to almost breakeven in last 50k hands while almost keeping the blue line (I had -11bb/100 hand red line before joining power poker). The gamechenger was get rid of "they bet otr = no bluffs" mantra that was maybe right in 2010 but def not in 2020. Also started to thin value bet and in general bluff slightly more rivers. I am aware that 50k hands sample size is irrelevant but feeling like playing much better than before. Also I plugged huge mental leak that was being results oriented.. Interview with Martin Kabrhel I heard was the gamechanger for me )

Where CAN i listen mind changing interview what you mentioned? Im struggle sometimes too, lifewise im successfull, pokerwise not everytime,and tilt me to death, i always was a winning mental person, and in card games not everything depend on you. So first of áll have to admit, not we control every segment of the game

Search youtube for: Martin Kabrhel: Nadaným lidem nabízím největší odměnu na trhu. Esport má větší potenciál než Bitcoin

It is in czech language so I am not sure it is helpful.
GL!