Quote:
Originally Posted by Zuneit
I remember reading an article in Card Player magazine, where the author of the article pitted the same Hero Bot vs. the same line up of Bots & played enough hands for a lifetime. He did this 4-5 times.
In one instance, the Hero was subjected to a losing streak that the author did not believe was possible. In another instance, the Hero never had a meaningful losing streak.
I don't remember if it was 1,2 or 3 million hands per run. 1 million hands would take 20 years @ 25 hands per hour playing 2000 hours per year.
So, although the results over 7 months, totaling 790 hours are meaningful to a degree, I choose to disagree that it is anywhere near what is required to be considered solid evidence of a player's skill set.
I've logged 1421 hours since I started using a session logger app in Feb2015 & I still can't decide how much weight to put on my WR as evidence of my skill set.
Quote:
Originally Posted by `Fearu
By the time you have any meaningful data you should have improved to a point were your data should not reflect your current playing ability.
Since the Bots' skill set does not
improve over the course of 1 million hands, the author's test did nothing more than identify how much of an impact that variance, may or may not have, on a player's results over time.
I play ~110 hours per month, so over 6 months that's 660 hours. If my true WR is Xbb's pr hr & my skill set does not dramatically decay or improve, I am certain that my results over the next 660 hours could be off considerably, one way or another, from my capability based upon my current skill set.
Furthermore, there are numerous variables a player encounters playing live vs. the author pitting a Bot against the same 9 Bots.
So why do I track my WR? For the sole purpose of identifying my profitability.
Identifying one's change in how he plays is more crucial to me. I keep a record of all my bad & good plays and strive to limit the percentage of bad plays.
A few days ago a wild player, with whom I've played against for over a year, sat down at our table, as he pulled ~$200 out of his pockets. He won a hand or two & then got involved with me HU after the flop. I bet the turn with AK on a KQxx board and he snap shipped ~$145 which was maybe $35 more than the pot. As I pondered whether to call, I gathered chips while observing him. He chewing his gum as if it was his ex-wife that he was preparing to spit out & I finally deduced it was at least 50/50 [if not in my favor] as to whether he had me beat & I called.
I won, that time, and I was suddenly up well over $400 in a 1/2 game that I'd only been playing in for ~2.5 hours, as I had been winning before that hand. It gave a nice little boost to my 2016 WR, which totals 190.74 hours already.
Quote:
Originally Posted by fearu
Anyone play with a rake similar to 5+2 ?
I know I'm getting slightly higher rake then most places but im curious as to amount if rakeback people are getting. Right now I'm sitting at 2500$ in promotional money for 2016 which I know is insanely high for only 180 hour played. Just curious if anyone else has stats I can use to compare.
You don't add rakeback or promotion money you won, on to your win rate. Your win rate is the amount of BBs per hour that you win from skill, not luck or gratitude from the casino for playing there.