Great start to December! Where is the giraffe?

Also: heaters gonna heat

+1

+1

Also, thought I would put up my current tracked stats even though I know there will be many people that will flip out over the SMALL SAMPLE OMFG

But sample will keep growing and we can keep looking together periodically

Cheers Mac

tyty

giraffe of December or overall?

140 hours or so of play. Tough to get in when you're working some crappy 60 hr a week job.

What's really crappy is 120 of those hours are hold em, for a grand total of minus $100 for that game.

Still, close to the magical 4k bankrolled for 1/2 mark.

I was going to say just december but post both if u want! Love me some giraffes

Looks really cool, what program is that?

holy **** is that overkill.

Hey guys. First time poster so please be gentle. I have a worrying stat that I need help with.

Background:

University student in Glasgow (Scotland) who is now playing £1/2 as my main source of income. I've played previously for 3 years and it has been a decent bit of extra income.

The game itself is tremendous. It is uncapped. It often plays very deep. It is very soft. I know people who beat the game for 16-19bb/hour over 2 years. It can 've quite volitile.

I study poker regularly and am an avid follower of 2+2 and hace to a subscription to crush live poker.

My 116 hours:
£3347
£29/hour
Standard deviation £756

The software I use is for my stats is poker manager pro for my android.

The sample size is miniscule. But I am concerned about the st deviation. The format is st dev . per hour. I feel like this is monstrously high.

In the 115 hours I have already logged a 2.1k session, a 1.2k session and three 700 loses. I feel like this may mean that both my style and the game may be very swingy.

I feel most comfortable playing deep. But I feel like I would need to reduce my buy in from £500 to £300 until I have a 12k roll?

Should I consciously adopt a more conservative strategy for the mean time to avoid risk of ruin (current roll 7k)?

I understand these questions are difficult to answer given a lack of specific information. I just wanted some general advice given these very limited stats.

Thanks.

Pokercharts

Depending on your comfort leek in the game it's important that you lock in wins if you're short rolled. You never want more than 20-25% of your roll in play (in danger from other stacks). I'm wary of passing up +EV spots to avoid variance. It's a bad habit to get into but you can play a general style that doesn't beg for massive swings. Don't change and go away from what's working though.

OK, quick question. Do you add funds from promotion wins into your win rate?

This has been debated back and forth for a while. If its a big bad beat jackpot no since it will skew things huge, but if its something you hit once a month or every couple of months and its small I don't see the problem with it. If they didn't have the promotion you would be getting the extra $1-$2 back so you might as well track it.

Thanks for the quick reply. I have not being adding it to my win rate. I was at the table once last year and once this year when the bbjp hit. It was nice but I figured that since it was not based on my skill, I would not.

I wouldn't add it if my goal was to have an idea of what my win rate was in the game.

If I was trying to track overall profitability if say, I was grinding pro who included it in my life roll, then I would.

I add it as a separate game "$1/2 NLHE BBJ", "$1/2 PLO High hand", etc.

That way I can chose to include or not-include them depending on what statistics I'm looking at. For overall results it should be included since you're paying out $1/hand in extra rake anyway. But it can distort your figures if you want to compare to another player, or compare between rooms/games.

I wouldn't add the BBJ to my winrate but I do add little things like hotseat promos. These are only like $100 and i hit them at best once a month. I consider them a live rakeback and can be factored into my winrate as they are part of the profitability of playing in that particular room.

It seems like it would make some sense to get an idea of how long we paid the added $1 in rake to the game we were playing in that had a BBJ, and then if we hit any portion of the BBJ, we could simply back out the estimated amount of added rake we paid in that time period (just the extra $1/hand). It shouldn't be too hard to work it backwards to see how many hours we played in the BBJ game to quantify how much added rake we paid.

Example if we hit a $10k share BBJ for $5k, and we played that exact game for X consecutive months, we could realistically add X hours of added $1/pot we won back on to our total profit and re figure out winrate based on that.

Might not be that easy since most don't actually track # of pots won, but making an educated guess that we can extrapolate out over the time we played in the game shouldn't be too difficult a task.

Maybe this is way off?

Why would you buyin for more than $300 in a 1/2 game?

Oh, in that case you should make it from 1/2 to 5/10 in three days.

I bought in for $500 last week because 3 whales were all at least that deep.

Worked out pretty good.

Why WOULDNT you if you can?

More than 300 is a lot to risk at one game of Texas hold them.

Hoping the last was a troll?

What happens when you wake up with KQ and another guy has AK and stacks you.

Politely ask guy if he would borrow you 60 bucks so you can buy back in.