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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

01-04-2019 , 05:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Anyone good at reading giraffes wanna tell me what this one means? This is 820 hours mostly 1/3 with a little 2/5 and PLO mixed in. Analyze me!



Thanks!
That looks like an EKG of a man in cardiac arrest. Dont worry, it looks like they revived you.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 05:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
ETA: And I fold most suited broadway in EP. No one at the table knows I do this.
Gwinrate=7bb/hr,justfornon-banningpurposesG
This can't be true. Anyone paying attention to VPIP / PFR will figure this out eventually unless you happen to be getting crushed with the deck that day.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
GG, wouldn't your perfect player on your left be someone who raises too much pre-flop? If you're not going to do any opening you'd want to have last option on someone who does. This seems pretty obvious to me.
When shorterstacked it is definitely my preference to have this player to my immediate left. When deeper stacked I think I'd rather have him across the table (padded by shortstacked nits like myself inbetween) as I just don't want to be in too many OOP pots against him.

GcluelesspositionnoobG
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by c0rnBr34d
This can't be true. Anyone paying attention to VPIP / PFR will figure this out eventually unless you happen to be getting crushed with the deck that day.
I'm sure we're testing G's patience with all this stuff, but how in the world would anyone know I'm folding KTs and 55 in EP? *No one* folds these hands, so no one expects anyone else to fold them.

Ginb4ban,winrates!G
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
LOL bodybuilder. You admit GG's win rate is a top win rate, then you call his style of play parasitic.

So what if it's parasitic? Are we here to make money or are we here to spew money cause it's "good for the game"? Any player that's better than me at the table I consider HORRIBLE for the game cause them just being at the table reduces my win rate and increases my variance by a significant amount especially if they have position on me and are actively 3 betting me. Am I gonna complain that they're a parasite for the game? No. They're there to make money and I respect that.
Its a top win rate because everyone who plays 1/3 is pretty mediocre. GG eliminates all dumb mistakes most people make with with his strategy so its actually wise to implement. But a grand lady could do what he does. I wouldn't take much pride in it. $30 an hour is definitely attainable at 1/3 if you play in a deep and late night game past midnight. It would probably be attainable for at any time of day for an elite cash game player.

The player you described is tough to play against but atleast he is playing loose and aggro, which will keep the fish engaged and helps keep the game out of the muck. This guy you are describing is giving back to the fish a little bit here and there. Even though he takes more $ than a nit reg, the fish actually wins decent sized pots from this guy when he tries a DB bluff or something risky. He will also play deep stacked with these guys and accept the fact that he could lose a 300BB pot.

The fish like to be able to have a chance to "get their money back". When a rock wins $ off them, the rock asks for a "table change" to take their profits off the table or just flat quit the game. They take advantage of how people are polite and notice that the fish dont seem to mind getting hit and run because "oh Im so friendly and nice to talk too."

With nit regs, they give no action to anyone and only make $ because of compulsive gambling addicts or whales who dont care about losing money.


We are all bum hunting, but nit regs take it the furthest possible way. Never lite 3-betting someone if they think they are out of line, never raising with a draw, never squeezing over limpers.


No plays that could even resemble playing "poker". Just unimaginative nut mining, banking on the fact that degens will keep showing up no matter what.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
That looks like an EKG of a man in cardiac arrest. Dont worry, it looks like they revived you.
It was actually a petit mal seizure.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bodybuilder32
I congratulate you since your 1/3 winrate is probably in the top 95% of players.

With that said, I think your approach to the game is full on PARASITE and bad for the game.

Because your starting hand selection is so tight and you are limping in with every hand you decide to play, even your premiums, you are literally NEVER GIVING ACTION to any of the fun players.


The only way someone even as a remote chance of getting a penny out of you is if you call a raise preflop to setmine. But that's only getting like $15 bucks max, and they wont get another cent unless you flop a set and they cooler you or suck out.


They cant crack you with a garbage hand because you just limp in. If someone raises, then you will make a gigantic limp/reraise that gives them horrendous odds to continue. I understand they just call anyway with total trash because they are degens, but it just makes you that much worse for the game.


This, combined with seat changing and table changing when YOU are deep in a small player pool, Im surprised that everyone in your room doesn't hate you. You are honestly very lucky that you play with guys that are happily straight up donating money to you because they compulsively cant stop themselves from folding a hand that they like. If anyone in your room even remotely gave a sh*t about money they would snap fold the second you touched your chips.


I used to play in a strip mall card club full of degens and the degens there would give me a lot of sh*t for being a nit. Maybe because you live in Canada where everyone is nice, or because you only play 1 day a week and people give you a pass because you are old.


Whatever it is, I know for a fact that if more people starting taking on your strategy, the games would dry up FAST. The degens expect to lose, but they dont want to play with a bunch of limp folders and always be put in spots post flop where they are always a massive dog to anyone who is putting money in the pot past the flop.

Your strategy is easy, basic, and could be followed by a senile old lady. Hell, other than serious TAG players, I would say that old ladies probably come in second in terms of win rate at 1/3.


I know this sounds harsh. But Im not the only one that cringes everytime you post advice. You could easily start raising hands that you limp/fold with in late postion like AT-AQo or suited broadways and not even take a hit to your winrate, just for the APPEARANCE of giving SOME action, but you choose not to just to avoid any variance.


I wouldn't care what a random 1/3 player does, but this is the entry level for a lot of fish. I gurantee a lot of potential whales got turned off from poker because they sat in horrific games where everyone was limp/folding pre and only giving action with their nutmining hands. He's calling raises pre only to see that the person's raise he called was QQ or better. Meanwhile he's thinking "how the f*ck are people so patient. Do they just sit here all day and wait for the top 5% of hands?"


If you want to be a nit with a very mediocre win rate in terms of dollar/per hour, that will continue to decerease due to inflation, then nobody can stop you. But do you have to post the same easy-to-digest cookie cutter strategy week in and week out that will only encourage more miminum wage bum hunters that will kill poker?


Sorry for the rant.


This is totally uncalled for
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:08 PM
@ bodybuilder

You seem to have some misguided sense as to what "poker" is and what it isn't / should and should not be, imo.

The winrates thread is all about one simple thing: the bottom line. The bottom line is also the only thing the strategy threads are about.

Gifyou'relookingforsomethingdifferent,you'reinthew rongthread/forum,imoG
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
This is totally uncalled for
+1. Why flame someone on this forum for playing a winning strategy? We're here to win. I mean my god.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:10 PM
Ive said my piece so I will check out from this thread for a while.

Sorry if I offended anyone. Just speaking my mind.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
The single best thing for the game is the straddle, imo.

Fundamentally correct play in a 2 blind NLHE game is simply pretty tight. You aren't making the game better opening crap in MP, you are just shooting yourself in the foot. A 3 blind game incentivizes you to play more hands out of the blinds as it's mathematically correct to do so. Although you do have to open tighter from the button vs 3 blinds compared to vs 2 blinds.


Yes.

I’m relatively nitty (probably the nittiest at most tables) in my game but I have really learned to appreciate the value of a 3 blind game and since my game went to 2/5/10 I don’t think it’s a coincidence that my win rate has risen. Not enough hours to speak with confidence but straddles (and particularly utg straddles) are great for the game
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:21 PM
@Dumbo - it looks like you...

1. Sun runned

2. Had a break even stretch (possibly when you were posting some really bad hands)

3. Resumed sun running

The middle section is more likely closer to your EV than either of the poles. Pretty good example of variance being the primary driving force in poker.

Last edited by johnnyBuz; 01-04-2019 at 06:31 PM.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
I've legit started to bring books to read during my sessions.
Which books?

Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
I feel I'm a very pleasant person to play with
Confirmed imo. I hope we get to play again sometime GG

Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
In my opinion these are much bigger vibe/game/etc. killers than playing with a pleasant Super Nit.
GcluelesswinratesnoobG
+1

Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
GG is basically my ideal player to have on the left if I could cherry pick a line-up.
+1. Ideally he'd also be reading Anna Karenina (not War and Peace) and eating a Lucky Dog.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bob_124
Which books?



Confirmed imo. I hope we get to play again sometime GG



+1



+1. Ideally he'd also be reading Anna Karenina (not War and Peace) and eating a Lucky Dog.
Assigned AK in 11th grade, expected to read 30+ pages per night. Umm...no thank you, I'll read the Cliff's Notes instead and still pass. Who assigns that tome to a bunch of high school juniors? I mean talk about great expectations.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
@Dumbo - it looks like you...

1. Sun runned

2. Had a break even stretch (possibly when you were posting some really bad hands)

3. Resumed sun running

The middle section is more likely closer to your EV than either of the poles. Pretty good example of variance being the primary driving force in poker.
Ever the vote of confidence....
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
@Dumbo - it looks like you...

1. Sun runned

2. Had a break even stretch (possibly when you were posting some really bad hands)

3. Resumed sun running

The middle section is more likely closer to your EV than either of the poles. Pretty good example of variance being the primary driving force in poker.
I'm not so sure I'd go so far as "sun runned", as eyeballing things it looks like he ran at about $27/hr and $19/hr over those start/end periods. Yeah, of course lol sample size but still nothing anyone would consider outlandish $/hr-wise. Going on a $3.5K downswing in 1/3 NL might be a little concern (at least for those who aren't super lags).

Dumbo, what does your giraffe look like without including 2/5 NL and PLO? I'm assuming those games are far more swingy and could have much bigger affect on things, so I simply wouldn't include those results in a 1/3 NL giraffe.

You're winning so don't be too hard on yourself and gogogo, imo.

Gandlolatbob'sinsidejokere:luckydogs,youarenowmymo rtalenemy!G
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 06:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
I'm not so sure I'd go so far as "sun runned", as eyeballing things it looks like he ran at about $27/hr and $19/hr over those start/end periods. Yeah, of course lol sample size but still nothing anyone would consider outlandish $/hr-wise. Going on a $3.5K downswing in 1/3 NL might be a little concern (at least for those who aren't super lags).

Dumbo, what does your giraffe look like without including 2/5 NL and PLO? I'm assuming those games are far more swingy and could have much bigger affect on things, so I simply wouldn't include those results in a 1/3 NL giraffe.

You're winning so don't be too hard on yourself and gogogo, imo.

Gandlolatbob'sinsidejokere:luckydogs,youarenowmymo rtalenemy!G
Stupid Poker Income has a glitch that won't let me activate filters.

All I know is my 2/5 results skew my NL results up ($90/hr. over 20 hours) and my PLO results skew them down (-$21/hr. over 51 hours). 1/3 is $11/hr. over 710 hours.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 07:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Ever the vote of confidence....
The middle portion is what happens when you play in semi deep and aggressive games which exponentially increases your variance. You're not fading villain's outs every time they are on a draw like you used to. You're not binking your 12 outers like you used to. You're running KK into AA. You're losing your flips 80% of the time. You're getting TPTK in vs. TPNK and he's sucking out on the river.

You probably ran below EV during that middle portion and compounded it with some poor play. The unfortunate thing about poker is you can "run" like you did in the middle for very very long periods of time.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 07:21 PM
Bodybuilder, you make it sound like it's our responsibility to deviate from what we think is the most +EV way to play poker just for the "good of the game" or for the sake of "giving something back" to the fish. It's not. And we don't owe fish anything.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 08:35 PM
Actually there is ev of a hand and ev of a session and ev of a life. There is more that goes into the ev of a session than hand equities. People learning ev of a hand and believing it is a vacuum is one of the worst things to happen to educated players in terms of slowing down their progress in poker.

It is quite possible to take -ev plays in a single hand that are actually +ev for a session. Not talking about for image purposes. But for the flow of money.

Not saying anyone should really do these things. Just gg it up and print. But there are certainly times for -ev decisions for the sake of the ev of the session.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
The middle portion is what happens when you play in semi deep and aggressive games which exponentially increases your variance. You're not fading villain's outs every time they are on a draw like you used to. You're not binking your 12 outers like you used to. You're running KK into AA. You're losing your flips 80% of the time. You're getting TPTK in vs. TPNK and he's sucking out on the river.

You probably ran below EV during that middle portion and compounded it with some poor play. The unfortunate thing about poker is you can "run" like you did in the middle for very very long periods of time.
I agree with you there. I don't gainsay my period of play bad (an unfortunate byproduct of runbad). I just think I am playing much more solid poker now than I used to, plus running at or above EV doesn't hurt. Thanks for elaborating.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
Actually there is ev of a hand and ev of a session and ev of a life. There is more that goes into the ev of a session than hand equities. People learning ev of a hand and believing it is a vacuum is one of the worst things to happen to educated players in terms of slowing down their progress in poker.

It is quite possible to take -ev plays in a single hand that are actually +ev for a session. Not talking about for image purposes. But for the flow of money.

Not saying anyone should really do these things. Just gg it up and print. But there are certainly times for -ev decisions for the sake of the ev of the session.


I agree with this too but mainly in a sense that is partly about image purposes. As an inner nit, part of me hates being caught bluffing both because I still feel a bit embarrassed in a weird way and also because no matter how many years I play the game for, I still can’t shake my ‘session by session p&l mindset’ while I’m playing.

It’s definitely one of the biggest flaws in my mental game. But given I’m a nit and play against a lot of pros and regs in a small player pool I console myself with the (mainly truthful) POV that unsuccessful and often bad bluffs are actually great for my p&l over the long term because they get my value hands paid more often
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-04-2019 , 11:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jelloman
Starting to get frustrated about this downswing. Yes, Im occasionally playing bad, but mostly I'm just card dead. I'm a rec player and I track my hours/results.



Looks like I'm on a 40+ hour span of catching nothing. Few starting hands, missing every flop and the occasional bad beat have cost me over the last month. 40 hours is about 10% of my annual hours . Is this a normal downswing or do I just suck at poker ?


I remember a 30 hour period in where I was never dealt kk+ preflop.

40 hours is really tiny for live poker
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-05-2019 , 12:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
"Giving action" is just a stupid term that I hate with a passion, because I believe that my goal as a professional is to make the best decisions I can, and I don't owe anyone any "loose action."

That being said, I believe that in most cases the highest EV lines involve being selective but agressive pre-flop, and using overbets post-flop in certain situations. No one generally thinks I'm a nit unless I go card-dead for 4 hours (which does happen).
What if I make a bad bet with you so you make a worse bet with me?

Example:
Were gonna bet on coin flips. We are going to have two bets.
Bet 1:
I win $10 for every Heads.. and I pay you $20 for Every Tails.

Bet 2:
You win $10 every time you hit two heads in a row...I win $20 every time you don't!

In bet 1, every 8 Flips the math says you should be down $40.
In bet 2, every 8 flips the math says you would be up $50.

You are profiting by making a losing bet to convince to make your opponent make a worse losing bet.

Also known as...giving action.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
01-05-2019 , 12:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Stupid Poker Income has a glitch that won't let me activate filters.

All I know is my 2/5 results skew my NL results up ($90/hr. over 20 hours) and my PLO results skew them down (-$21/hr. over 51 hours). 1/3 is $11/hr. over 710 hours.
You have to go to the Overview Tab and the filter is on that page. It is a pain in the A to find it...I used to struggle all the time.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote

      
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