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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

06-16-2018 , 01:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daniel9861
That’s because the math guys generally do better in reg vs reg spots while the feel guys are better at maximally exploiting weaker players. As stakes get higher and higher, the number of regs in the game increase while the number of weaker players decrease.
That's kinda my point, and why I don't have a lot of respect for low-stakes "feel player" crushers with a big ego. Come out of the kiddy pool and see how well you do buddy!

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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 03:05 AM
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 03:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I dont know what your graph looks like. I have no idea how your results have been. What I meant to say is you are a math genius. I consider myself to be top notch at reading people, situations and betting patterns and exploiting them but nowhere near the math expert you are.....I wanted to compare graphs because I suspect that a player with my skill set will trump a player with your skill set. Math can only get you so far, at least thats my opinion. Of course if you are very good at both, then the sky is the limit.

This is not a knock on you at all. Ive never played with you so I dont know how good at those other things you are. Im just saying that I think someone who from 1-10 is a 3 at poker math and a 9 at reading people and hand reading will do better than a person who is a 9 at poker math and a 3 at reading skills.

The guy who I would consider the best player in S.Florida and is pounding the highest stakes games after being a 1/2 reg just 3 years ago, is not very good at poker math at all, but hes a freak of nature when it comes to reading people. I have a friend who used to stake him at 1/2 and I get to see some of his hand histories and they would blow your mind.
In all modesty I'm a 9 in both departments. Maybe an 8. Or a 7. Maybe a 6. Or a 5. So hard to say with arbitrary scales lol but I feel like I'm quite good in both areas. I agree at the table sophisticated math is not that useful most of the time but it does help a lot in analysis and quickly correcting my play.

And I make $96 an hour now which is totally 100% sustainable and I won't hear any negative nancies telling me otherwise.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 04:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
No
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 06:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
KQo/AJo no. 76s is situational. Can be opened on passive tables especially with a fish in the blinds. Is definitely a fold on a tough table.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 06:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
My normal style of play is LAG/Maniac and I only open 67s from UTG and that would be very questionable in a lot of lineups.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 06:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
My normal style of play is LAG/Maniac and I only open 67s from UTG and that would be very questionable in a lot of lineups.
As in you open 67s but not AJo or KQo?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 06:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
No. No exceptions.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 07:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
As in you open 67s but not AJo or KQo?
Yes, I mean out of those 3 hands I'm only opening 67s from UTG.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 08:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by meale
Trying to prove something to a friend... Calling ALL LLSNL PROS OR WINNERS

Full ring 9-10 handed game 1/2 or 2/5,

Do we open KQo/AJo/67s from first position?
Lately Ive been keeping track of profit/loss of all hands that I play from EP that alot of people would say I should fold. I dont even include KQ/AJ because I open them most of the time.

Maybe I should add them to my tracked EP hands? Or maybe this forum is nitty as hell?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 08:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
My normal style of play is LAG/Maniac and I only open 67s from UTG and that would be very questionable in a lot of lineups.
You fold KQ/AJ in first 2 positions most of the time?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 08:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
As you move up the stakes, into $10/20, $20/40, and higher, the number of winning players who aren't super strong at the math-aspect of poker quickly dwindles and gets smaller as you move up. Coincidence?

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I havent played that high so Im not going to argue this point, but it sure doesnt sound right to me. From what Ive seen of those games and from what has been described to me, there's a hell of a lot more meta game type raising and reraising reg vs reg type hands where math has little to do with it and people are soul reading each other.

Maybe Im totally off base.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 08:27 AM
Why don't you tell me more about what you don't know but will pretend to know about!

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06-16-2018 , 08:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
Why don't you tell me more about what you don't know but will pretend to know about!

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Why dont you do something outside of character for this forum and respond without being a smart ass.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:06 AM
Nah, It's way more fun to observe people try to argue things they have zero clue about.

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06-16-2018 , 09:15 AM
Let me ask all of you this....in regards to this discussion, do you consider this math based or feel/read based?

Cutoff opens to $20. Button calls. I call with Jh9h BB.
Flop ($60) Th8c4s. I check. Cutoff bets $35. Button folds.

Now Ive played with this guy before. Hes an older guy who plays more like people used to back in the day which includes betting full pot when they have a real hand. He would likely bet $50-$60 with an overpair or AQ. I think he has AK because his raising range is pretty tight.

I check raise to $110 based on my read and my bet sizing tell. I could just check/call given the odds he gave me (the math part), but I prefer to be aggressive when I think I can take it away from him in this spot.

We can calculate the odds I gave him to call and continue if my read is correct that he has overcards. He may or may not call with overcards thinking Im making a move and that he can take it away on the turn even if he doesnt hit.

So is this hand being played based on math or based on reads/feel?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:18 AM
Math is math. It’s like gravity. You can’t not be using it. There are some people who may not understand the foundation of why they are doing something (a “feel” player seeing weakness and raising river), but there is still math behind what they are doing (exploitatively overraising your range vs. an exploitable capped range).

I don’t need to know how buoyancy works to take my kayak out, or how lift works to hang glide with squid. But physics and simple math is behind both, and understanding what’s happening will only improve you as a human being.

I don’t even calculate pot odds anymore fwiw.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42
Nah, It's way more fun to observe people try to argue things they have zero clue about.

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Go back and read my post. I specifically said I havent played that high so Im not going to argue this point

And yet you still turn it into an argument by giving a smart ass response instead of just giving a mature response like you probably would if we were talking in person.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
Math is math. It’s like gravity. You can’t not be using it. There are some people who may not understand the foundation of why they are doing something (a “feel” player seeing weakness and raising river), but there is still math behind what they are doing (exploitatively overraising your range vs. an exploitable capped range).

I don’t need to know how buoyancy works to take my kayak out, or how lift works to hang glide with squid. But physics and simple math is behind both, and understanding what’s happening will only improve you as a human being.

I don’t even calculate pot odds anymore fwiw.
This is my point. When I semi bluff check raise the flop sensing weakness, Im still using math because I have to calculate the percentage of times I think he will fold combined with the percentage of times I will actually spike the turn and how much money I will make when I hit the turn compared to how much I lose when I miss or bluff off more money later in the hand.

So when people say I dont understand math, or that people successfully playing high stakes understand math better than others, we are really talking about a lot of the same things.

Sure the math guys can tell you the exact pot odds I gave villain on the flop quickly, but I dont think you need to be that precise with the math to succeed, as long as you have a general idea of the concepts. My argument is that the guy who has the best reads and know when to check raise that flop and gets away with it a much higher percentage of the time based on correctly reading villains weakness will do better than the guy who only calls the flop bet because he knows precisely his pot odds.

If a person was clairvoyant and knew villains precise cards he would crush a guy who could do complex math instantly but who's reads where average and he had to play vs a much wider range.

Obviously nobody can see their opponents cards but if you can narrow them down to 2 combos instead of 20 combos, the math gets much easier even for a math donk.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:35 AM
This is not a HH-type strat thread. tMeale, take your question elsewhere please, and the math vs.(why does it have to be vs?) feel discussion is getting further and further from being on topic as well.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-16-2018 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
Math is math. It’s like gravity. You can’t not be using it. There are some people who may not understand the foundation of why they are doing something (a “feel” player seeing weakness and raising river), but there is still math behind what they are doing (exploitatively overraising your range vs. an exploitable capped range).



I don’t need to know how buoyancy works to take my kayak out, or how lift works to hang glide with squid. But physics and simple math is behind both, and understanding what’s happening will only improve you as a human being.



I don’t even calculate pot odds anymore fwiw.


Good post

Basically covers it


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06-16-2018 , 09:45 AM
Thnx to those who responded < 3
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06-16-2018 , 10:01 AM


My 1/2 WR after 48 sessions. Going to move to 2/5 when I get to 10 100bb buy ins. Hopefully it's not a much harder game.
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06-16-2018 , 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
congrats Samo - great job
Thx much FW!
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06-16-2018 , 12:42 PM
Nice, Randroid. Not a large sample, but very nice.
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