[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5
6.41%
0-2.5
0
0%
2.5-5
6
7.69%
5-7.5
8
10.26%
7.5-10
15
19.23%
10+
26
33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18
23.08%
06-05-2017
, 08:17 PM
Quote:
There is certainly something to what D.C. Is saying imo. It's part of why there is a pool of losing regs.
But to deny that significant stretches of negative variance exist is naive.
I mean a guy who has ****ty results for a significant stretch and claims he's now worked hard, has it all figured out and is seeing good results might be bull****ting himself up every bit as much as the guy who you point to that was a winner and is now in the abyss.
By definition the outliers can't realize the long run very easily. Are their more people claiming to be outliers than statistically should exist? Maybe.
I recall Limon saying he had a break even year about every 5 years when he looked at his long term results. I'm assuming he didn't totally suck but if you shuffle the deck and put that first break even year 3 months into his pro career or so that would be pretty ugly? Caro wrote about it. We may have never heard of the guy who would become the greatest poker player ever because he ran horrifically bad at the beginning of his career.
Obv I want bad players who are losing in my player pool to think they are unlucky. I also want bad players who are sun running to think they are awesome. But outside my player pool, unless I personally know and care about someone I really have no reason to discuss the subject... but it took me writing this to figure that out
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But to deny that significant stretches of negative variance exist is naive.
I mean a guy who has ****ty results for a significant stretch and claims he's now worked hard, has it all figured out and is seeing good results might be bull****ting himself up every bit as much as the guy who you point to that was a winner and is now in the abyss.
By definition the outliers can't realize the long run very easily. Are their more people claiming to be outliers than statistically should exist? Maybe.
I recall Limon saying he had a break even year about every 5 years when he looked at his long term results. I'm assuming he didn't totally suck but if you shuffle the deck and put that first break even year 3 months into his pro career or so that would be pretty ugly? Caro wrote about it. We may have never heard of the guy who would become the greatest poker player ever because he ran horrifically bad at the beginning of his career.
Obv I want bad players who are losing in my player pool to think they are unlucky. I also want bad players who are sun running to think they are awesome. But outside my player pool, unless I personally know and care about someone I really have no reason to discuss the subject... but it took me writing this to figure that out
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
06-05-2017
, 10:36 PM
Talking about win rates =
Talking about other people win rates for which we do not know is meh at best.
Talking about other people being not good is unacceptable regardless of veracity.
Talking about other people win rates for which we do not know is meh at best.
Talking about other people being not good is unacceptable regardless of veracity.
06-06-2017
, 11:13 AM
GthanksforpostingG
06-06-2017
, 09:38 PM
06-06-2017
, 09:40 PM
06-06-2017
, 09:45 PM
Quote:
If you play those 30 hours strictly on the weekend your winrate is going to be a lot higher. The $200 is the smallest game in LA with a beatable structure for money that will actually help you build up a roll. Your plan should be to win until you can take shots at any of the bigger games at comm bike the gardens or Hollywood park not to grind this game for the long term.
Basically in that game you should only play when many tables are running and it's super easy to bumhunt because the structure caps your winrate otherwise unless you have people dumping at your table. If the dealer isn't shouting chips every down it's a bad table.
Basically in that game you should only play when many tables are running and it's super easy to bumhunt because the structure caps your winrate otherwise unless you have people dumping at your table. If the dealer isn't shouting chips every down it's a bad table.
Out of commerce, gardens, or HP which place you like the best?
live play for 2017
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this is all live play from 2015-2017
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Last edited by stinkroach; 06-06-2017 at 10:12 PM.
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