Quote:
Originally Posted by Siculamente
tbh only thing the stats from these current 10bb/hr crushers proves is that they are running well. especially in live poker, if a person doesn't run well in the big pots/ all ins then they don't bring home the money.
its not what people want to hear but huge majority people who stick around the longest are basically the ones who don't run bad for long stretches. in something as fickle as live poker, a person can do everything right, play well, game select well, bmr etc but frankly if they don't run well in those amazing spots more than average then they don't stick around.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
I could be wrong, but I think I've only seen one other person than myself post a >= 2000 hours stats in this thread (if I recall, it was like for 4000+ hours for what many would consider a mediocre winrate, although I thought it was incredibly impressive if even just for sticktoitniveness alone). ETA: Come to think of it, I can think of at least one other that has posted > 2000 hours, and if I recall they hit an insane downswing outta nowhere after smoothsailing for the first 1800.
Gnicestatsandall,really,but1000hoursain't****,imoG
That was probably me. Some very rough patches in there, like 500 hours of breakeven or losing sessions. But not enough to go broke so I just kept playing and reading. I think I've seen maybe 1 or 2 other samples in the 2000 hour range, and anecdotal comments for several others claiming similar records. You're right that it's rare.
For a little perspective since the graph dump at the start of the year:
Feb: +$813 over 48 hours, $17/hr
Mar: +$2176 over 65.5 hours, $33.25/hr
Apr: +$2365 over 40 hours, $59.50/hr
So there's a 150hours sample with a crushing winrate. I've got a couple of winning PLO sessions in there, but also a couple of losers. I've definitely been running well, much better than last year (mostly in terms of hands holding up, rarely get it *in* from behind to suck out).
My perspective is that a winning player can and will go flat for long periods when things go badly. You play well and chip up only to get whacked with the variance hammer. Play it back up, whack. Repeat. You may end sessions up and down, but end up basically breakeven for a stretch. The process is frustrating and I think feeds back on itself for most people. Then when the variance pendulum swings the other way you can make progress and book consistent wins.
Edit: The graphs were in post 13662, and following discussion
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/17...l#post49452424
Last edited by Angrist; 04-22-2016 at 04:22 PM.
Reason: Sample Reference