Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
I don't like the flop bet, or the flop sizing if we plan to bet.
What sort of range of hands do you expect to get value from?
Board is super dry so we can't get value from draws, there aren't a lot of worse 7's to get value from, and lower pocket pairs won't often call a 1.75x psb.
If we bet, I'd bet smaller.
Turn sizing is ok, but the pot is too big for our hand. While we get ahead of all other 7X, we are still losing to all 2x, and over pair.
River is meh. We should be getting called by worse pretty much never.
What hands do you think that he is getting to the river with?
We are chopping or losing. Def fold to the raise.
Expect to get value from 33-66, and perhaps 2 paint cards that float. Honestly though expect most of the time to get a fold and win the 6 bucks now. Is it ever OK to bet with plan to just win the pot now when we are likely to have the best hand, instead of checking and hating most any turn card that comes? Just checking/giving up with this flop against 1 field limper and SB felt really weak passive to me.
As for flop bet size, agree relative to pot was way big. However this is 1/2 and absolute size it was small. Heck normal PF opens at this table were for 12. Guess a smaller bet would have been more likely to get worse hands to call.
Turn thought was a good card as I was now ahead of 7x, improving my hand a tiny bit against range that would limp pre and just call flop. Agree that I could still be behind 88-1010 or X2. In hind sight really think only hand I beat that calls turn is 7x. 33-66 and unpaired over cards likely fold, leaving rest of his range that calls being ahead of me.
Been thinking a lot about my river bet. I've been so focused on not check/calling that when in doubt I opt for bet/folding. This is a case where I should have gone with check/folding. This limit people are show down monkeys that people don't bet for thin value all that much.
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