Quote:
Originally Posted by Kenji
Thx, then we have EV(he calls) = 0.65 * 207 - 0.35 * 102 = 98.85 < EV(he folds) = 149.
Used a confusing hand nomenclature here, AQc means offsuited with Q in c, e.g. AhQc.
Okay, so then if you rerun the calculation you’ll see that the equity threshold is 19%. So then this part you wrote is wrong…
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kenji
What hand does have only 11% equity vs my hand?
- 22 has 8%
- A6ss has 8%
- K6ss has 18%
- K2dd has 15%
- QJss has 12%
It's hard to find any hands that are below the equity threshold. It's way better to make him fold.
Realistically, most of those hands are not likely anyway. Why is he raising 22/K2s on this board?
His most likely hand is a worse Qx like QJ/KQ (suited or offsuit). Or he has a draw.
If you show your hand, you’ll get him to fold all his worse Qx, and he should call his draws once he knows you don’t have a dominating draw.,.which is a disaster. You don’t want him to fold Qx!
Generally, showing your cards allows V to play perfectly vs you, by allowing him to fold when he’s dominated and call when he isn’t.
Snap moving all in is whatever, I don’t think he’s folding after putting in 60% his stack!