Thats what I love about the poker/gambling community. Someone says something stupid, you tell them you will bet on it being wrong, they decline because they don’t truly believe what they’re saying, and you move on while everyone realizes they’re an idiot.

All y'all remind me of Frank Reynolds

Was just going to say. Let's just say I'd have to watch my back around Rob.

see you guys in 24 hours

yes, and heads up for sidebets

?

Did I commit to a group Halloween costume that I forgot about or something?

i was making a joke about you guys getting BANT

*Band

Is there a 2p2 llsnl poker bros club?

As I said before, that only makes sense if you bet on anything.

Many people derive utility from things other than monetary EV.

Not exactly, but there is someone ITT who runs one, or at least did last I'm aware of.

It doesn't have to be a purely monetary bet. Its about having skin in the game. That can be money but it doesn't have to be, money is just usually the easiest way to get skin in the game.

An extreme non-monetary example is airline pilots. They aren't betting money that they'll get you to your destination safely, not directly at least. But they are in the same plane as you so if they **** up then they die also. Would you ride in an airplane where the pilot was controlling the plane remotely from the safety of the ground? I wouldn't.

I think sports announcers and political pundits who constantly say dumb **** that turns out to be wrong on average should be fired but that's not the way the media works so you end up with the same idiots spouting the same nonsense year after year. Yet another reason I can't stand most sports announcers or any of these shows on ESPN anymore. There's no accountability.

You might argue that your reputation taking a hit due to being wrong is also skin in the game but in practice it seems like unless you're a public figure, and usually even if you are (see: sports announcers), there never seems to be any real reputation consequences to being wrong. No one tracks it unless there's something tangible on the line so its too easy to deny, make excuses or rationalize when you're wrong and escape with your rep unscathed.

People are obviously allowed to express their opinions without having any skin in the game, I just think its soft af and if you say something and someone else offers to bet against it and you say no then whatever you said is simply worthless noise.

Wow looks like 72 hours

Fair enough, though prestige is also skin in the game for a lot of people.

That said, Rob, I'll take that Texas bet at 2.3-1 beerless days.

Should be some arbitrage and general taking advantage of ground pilots with this handy guide to post election night shifts expectations:


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...esults-timing/

Based on my talks with poker players, it seems that Trump supporters will be coming out in force in Texas to vote for him. This seems likely to be the case with all this talk that Biden will flip Texas. Who knows though? People are idiots and perhaps they don't realize the threat staring them in the face.

If Biden were to flip Texas it wouldn't be so much about turning Texas Blue as it would be about all the rich George W Bush grey/blue hair types (ie the people that live in my neighborhood) voting against Trump. Biden needs a lack of enthusiasm in Texas to win it which is why I assume he's not campaigning here.

I take some issue here as the value of the pundits/sports announcers to their employers isn't their accuracy but rather their ability to draw in viewers/clicks/revenue. And in a worlds (politics/sports) where there are multiple variables and relevant information changes constantly, even those with well thought analysis will be wrong frequently.

@ Texas, I’d happily take Trump up to -500.

ill take biden 1k to 5k if you can post half

I’ll give you action up to $200 to $1k

Not going to post anything 1 way only. You have to have venmo.

if i cant get a post or a hard vouch from someone I know is good for it (on your behalf) im not interested. I've handled hundreds of thousands of other peoples money and have a spotless rep in gambling for over a decade. I think there's probably at least 3 people itt that would hard vouch for me.

If you can get the same we can bet it on credit but I'm typically not in the business of making bets with people on forums I don't know well. This is not meant to sound bad but I'm sure you understand where I'm coming from.

Venmo is fine.

Of course not personal - I don’t know **** about you either.

We can escrow it all with anyone I know personally ITT - but I am not posting one way.

Hell you can hedge it and free roll - can’t pass that up.

So like why APD had you on Above EV?

GhahahahahaOHYESIDID!G

here's my list

squid face
randal
bigskip
feel wrath
cushlash


if any of those work let me know and I'll escrow 200 dollars