Quote:
Originally Posted by Eclipse14
Rest of table 100-300.
$1/$2 with a $5 straddle.
UTG+1+2 fold.
Decent player 1 (DP1) makes it $25.
Folds to DP2. who flats.
I have 66. I decide to flat (Should i be 3betting to take down pot there? DP1+2 have capability of opening light, esp when there is a straddle)
$8 + $25 + $25 = $58.
If you 3bet to $58, the odds of either V folding is slim to none, but it is also the threshold of both V needing to fold more than 50% of the times to show profit.
$75? Both villain have to fold more than 56% of the times.
$100? Both have to fold more than 63% of the times.
Assuming they combine to open top 20% of overall range (66+, basically all the broadway cards minus 5 combos of JTo, A9o+, A4s+...)
Bottom 63% of that 20% are: A4s - A9s, K8s/K9s, Q9s/QTs, J9s/JTs, T9s, 66/77, QTo/QJo, KTo - KQo, A9o - AJo.
If they don't fold AJo, KQo, A9s, 66, 77, JTs, then they are only folding 46.4% of the times they raise with top 20% hands.
So if $100 raise requires both V to fold 63.3% to be even:
.633(58) - 100(.367) = ~0
And they are only folding 46.4% of the times:
.464(58) - 100(.536) = 26.912 - 53.6 = $-26.69