Raise all-in. This is starting to look like J
T
.
This is how villain would likely play that hand, as well. Flush draw, gutter, two overs. It's a great hand to bet flop with, and even a better hand to check-raise with that turn card. I don't see villain playing J9 this way. He wouldn't risk the diamonds, unless he's got the J
9
, in which case he'd want to keep you in the hand. The check-raise would push you off of everything except a set and 65.
The thing that throws me off is him betting betting basically pot into you after you call a strong-looking x/r. What is his goal here? Assuming he's got you beat, what is he realistically looking to extract that kind of value from? He's basically hoping you've got some kind of set minimum to even consider calling. Would he be likely to bet pot with a nuttish hand OTR?
When you call the turn x/r you're saying to him that you're strong enough to see a showdown. If you had a straight or a set, you'd likely ship the turn 100BB deep, so calling signals to the villain that you have neither. If he knows you're a thinking player, he's very likely to bet here with the knowledge that you wouldn't expect him to bet in this spot unless he had it. When he bets river he's trying to tell you that I know you don't have a set or the second straight, but he's trying to convince you that he's got the nut straight.
The thing is, he's full of ****.
All in.
Last edited by Hardball47; 01-31-2017 at 01:33 AM.