Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ
How ABC is this player? Is there any risk they are going to bluff just because hero bet? In the 2/5 group I play there are a bunch that would bet this flop just because hero checked on a scary flop and may barrel, putting hero into a guessing game with a hand that is hard to fold. One of the reasons to bet this flop is to clear out villain's air and just get the hand over with rather then get into some guessing game.
Heavily disagree with the bolded portion. Villain can have a lot of Ax-suited hands, stabs from medium PPs, and hands like AJ and AT. All of these might take stabs at the pot, but would otherwise likely just fold to a bet. Anyway, we want to get value from villain's air (which I guess is really only Ax-suited), and shouldn't be excited about clearing it out.
This is a lot different than when we raise with 77 and the flop comes 2-3-8 rainbow. In that case, it's pretty hard to get value from worse, or to get better to fold, but there are just so many cards that can bring villain into the lead and we don't know which cards they are... In this case (op's hand), however, villain might hit a straight on an 8/9/K/A, but will tend to play very straightforward when we're passive on the flop and there's 4 to a broadway straight, so we don't need to worry so much about getting bluffed when a K or A peels on the turn.
Last edited by pocketzeroes; 05-12-2017 at 11:37 AM.