If any of you sickos want a real short odds bet with good value and don't mind fading the sick swings, I highly recommend laying Messi to be top goalscorer @ 29 on Betfair. I'm just gonna quote myself from the WC betting thread:
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
This line is just pure madness. Messi is yet to score a single goal. There's a good reason for that. He's playing in a very free role for Argentina and his mandate is to utilise his sick dribbling and passing skills to create opportunities, not get into the box on the end of moves. He's dishing out assists like crazy but is less likely to score himself than he would be for Barcelona, where players like Xavi and Iniesta are available as playmakers.
Remember, Argentina have at most 4 games left, most of them against very good teams. So what's the scenario, is Messi going to average a goal a game or more while not even playing as a striker, while players like Villa, Higuain, Fabiano etc, who are playing as actual strikers, are somehow going to avoid scoring so that they relinquish their current 2 to 3 goal leads on Messi? It sounds crazily unlikely to me.
I'm probably not going to bet it myself as I sportsbet mostly for fun and don't really want to deal with the sick downswing if it happens. Although I'm kicking myself for not capitalising on one of the bets of the tournament, laying Hattrick Scored? @ 10.5 in the ENG - ALG game. That line was ****ing ludicrous. I did however get money on probably the second best line of the tournament, laying "Correct Score - Any Unquoted" @ 5 at like the 35 minute mark of the ITA - NZ game, when the score was 1-1. This is essentially a bet that Italy would not score 4 or more goals. I would literally assess this line at at least 10.
