1/2 NL. Good bluff line or spew?
Villain is a pretty decent TAG with some LAG qualities. Doesn't get too out of line postflop. Decent hand reader. His huge leak/flaw is preflop bet sizing. He opens to $7 with all of his speculative hands. SCs, PPs, some unsuited connectors, sometimes even as junky as unsuited 2-gappers. He opens bigger with his value hands.
History with villain: He views me as a solid TAG, generally gives me credit for having a hand. Views me as a winning player and generally stays out of my way.
Twice today I have squeezed his $7 open from the button after he got a couple of callers. Both times everyone has folded. He doesn't seem annoyed or tilted, he just shrug-folded both times. I suspect he gave me credit for a real hand both times and doesn't think I am picking on him.
We played one hand in a past session, where I had 33 in the BB of a straddled pot. He was SB, and we saw a 5-way limped pot. Flop was 36Tr. he checked, I bet $25, he very reluctantly called. Turn was a 2 completing the rainbow. He checked, I checked because I didn't suspect he would call another bet on the turn, and wanted to get value on the river. River 8. He checked, I bet $65. He tanked forever, said "ugh, I've never seen you bluff" , eventually called with AT, and lamented it for a few more hands, saying he shouldn't have paid me off. He likely remembers this hand.
Earlier this session, I opened from the CO with TJo to $12. He called from the BB. Flop was 69K. He donked $10, I raised to $30, he called. Turn was 4. He checked, I bet $55, he quickly mucked and said "I'm waaaay behind your AK over there." I mucked but told him I had AA. He says he folded KQ. Then I actually got AA the next hand and showed after taking the pot down on the flop. Now the table has been talking about how I got AA back to back hands and how lucky I am etc..
Anyway, on to the hand. I am BB with Q
J
. Villain opens to $7 from MP. Button calls. I elect to call because my hand plays ok against his range, and I figured he would eventually get tired of me squeezing him, and I wanted to be on the button when that happens, not oop in the BB.
Flop ($21) A
8
5
Hero checks, V bets $10, button folds. I call planning to lead all turns.
Turn ($40) 7
Hero leads $25. Villain looks perplexed, shrugs, and calls.
His range on the turn includes a lot of PPs with 1 heart, some hands like 67, a lot of mid connectors with a pair and a heart, and some 2 pair combos, some sets. I discount sets some because I suspect he bets the flop harder and/or raises the turn. He could have a baby flush, but I discount that heavily for the same reasons why I discount sets.
River ($90) 7
Hero bets $65.