Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
Bet sizing question that I lost sleep about last night.
2/5/10 - I have 3k and cover table. Second last hand of the night. Utg limps and I overlimp utg+1 with 99, utg+2 limps, 1 other limp, Ok pro on button goes 60, bb flats, I call and two other calls.
(I know I can raise pre with 99 here and I normally do in this spot, but honestly I was tired and ready to go, to some degree locking up a win and was happy not to get 3 bet and have to play a big pot out of position - cut off, hijack and button were all very good players)
Flop ($312) is the glorious 953r. It checks around.
Turn is another 3, checks to me and I bet $175. Utg +2 flats and bb flats.
Utg +2 (1400) is really bad loose passive fish who never raises pre without AA and only raises post with monsters. So he can have an overpair and a 9 and maybe something like 86 or 42. He’d raise a set on turn and probably raise a 3, but not always.
BB (800) is young reg who it seems is a decent, winning 2/3 reg who I’ve never played at 2/5/10 before. I figure he’d have led turn or check raised by now if he had 33 or 55. He might have A3 suited or something and he might have flatted JJ or 1010 pre.
River (837) is a 6. BB checked dark (which i think caps just range?) so it’s on me. How much do we bet?
Not raising pre is defendable, but it's not defendable for the reasons that you gave. It's not a big leak by any means, but you've essentially called your self out for playing sub optimally. If you're there to play, play. If you're not, pick up and say 'have a good night'
As for the hand, river is a bet of either $125 for a crying call from all sorts of stupid ****, or something like $775. The former gets called by their entire pair+ range, and maybe gets raised by 3x, the latter gets called if you have any sense of history with the villain for over betting, and for all 3x who thinks you're just trying to get cute.
Anything inbetween is just wasting money imo.