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Interesting 1/2 Spot Interesting 1/2 Spot

12-01-2016 , 06:09 PM
I'm sitting at Maryland Live with $250 in front of me. Calling station has $450 and limps from EP. Semi-nitty Indian dude with a stack of $250 raises to $12. I'm on the button and I flat with KsQs. Board comes out 9s3s2h. EP checks. Indian dude bets $35. I flat. EP flats. Turn is 8c EP checks. Indian dude bets $90. What do I do here?
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12-01-2016 , 06:22 PM
I'm not really sure we get anyone's stack if a spade rolls off, only scenario that's good is if fish has a spade draw with baby cards. We're not sure if our K/Q are live. I don't think it's a good idea to call anymore. I'm done with the hand. If we're deeper and station was a whale, I'd go for it.


Maybe I'm nitty, but it feels right, seems mathematically right.
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12-01-2016 , 06:23 PM
nitty dude raises pre-flop, bets roughly pot on flop and turn into 2 people? pretty easy fold. can't blame you for peeling on the flop but turn is an instamuck. our overs are dead and we are at best drawing to 9 outs.
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12-01-2016 , 06:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jc315
nitty dude raises pre-flop, bets roughly pot on flop and turn into 2 people? pretty easy fold. can't blame you for peeling on the flop but turn is an instamuck. our overs are dead and we are at best drawing to 9 outs.
You can't say that our overs are for certain dead. Q/K can easily be live. I't just not a certainty.

If we're deeper and we sneak a peak at fish/station and he's looking like he's going to make a call. It becomes much closer. Our hand does have some RIO though vs the station.
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12-01-2016 , 07:20 PM
Are we feeling lucky? $90 to call, $220 in pot.

We need to win 29% of time to break even. Our flush will come home 18%

But we have 2 overs and some implied odds. With another street to play.

So all 3 options are in play. A raise can possibly get a fold. But seems bad vs 2 villians. V2 is likely capped with an over pair. V1 also likely weak. With draw or bad 1 pair, but with clean image and just enough left behind, you can argue bluffing here.

Call getting decent implied odds, is probably +EV. But we can still possibly get squeezed by V1.

Fold, is also fine. We are not getting direct odds to call. Our overs are likely no good.

In the end. I would use table reads, and game flow. Along with gut to make decision.

Call!!!!!! Bink.. Win!!!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
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12-02-2016 , 06:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikko
Are we feeling lucky? $90 to call, $220 in pot.

We need to win 29% of time to break even. Our flush will come home 18%

But we have 2 overs and some implied odds. With another street to play.

So all 3 options are in play. A raise can possibly get a fold. But seems bad vs 2 villians. V2 is likely capped with an over pair. V1 also likely weak. With draw or bad 1 pair, but with clean image and just enough left behind, you can argue bluffing here.

Call getting decent implied odds, is probably +EV. But we can still possibly get squeezed by V1.

Fold, is also fine. We are not getting direct odds to call. Our overs are likely no good.

In the end. I would use table reads, and game flow. Along with gut to make decision.

Call!!!!!! Bink.. Win!!!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
I ended up calling with the intention to get it all in on the river with any K, Q, or spade. V1 folded his NFD and Indian dude shoved blank river. I insta-folded and he flipped over JJ. Perfect board for his hand.
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