1/3 NL. The button has about 200 and I have him covered. He has been very loose. He calls the flop a lot but folds a lot of turns. I haven't seen him bluff. He seems pretty straight forward.

I open UTG with QsQc to 15 and only the button calls.

(30 pot) KcQd3c...I bet 20 and he calls.

(70 pot) KcQd3cQh.....Do I check and hope he takes a stab at the pot or catches a hand on the river that can pay me off? Do I bet small or big and try to make him pay if he has a draw or a King?

I probably check here. Planning to call rather than raise.

If he checks behind, I'm planning on over bet jamming river and hope he sees me as FoS.

Bet 20 again so he can keep drawing or paying off with a king.

This is likely just a check. Hopefully he bets after we check.

He's not liking the Q unless he has 33. K3s is counterfeited. He now can't have KQ.


And we likely get paid whole stack if he's on a club draw and gets there. So the extra $20-$50 we make when he calls our turn bet (he's folding a lot of turns anyway) isn't a huge deal as we make up for it when he has clubs and gets there, or he has a K and rivers a boat.

I limp in but that's me.

SPR is 6 and we has a set, so obviously we're committed and want to play for stacks. The board is quite drawy and we're up against an ABC / non-bluffy guy who calls the flop a lot. With this in mind, I think there is an argument to overbet the flop to setup a shove on the turn, so like $50 into $30 to setup a $135 shove into $130. My reasoning is to just target hands that are likely to continue (TP, any draw) and ignore hands that are unlikely to continue (underpair, no draw). On a more drawless board I'd be cool with smaller bets to play for stacks over 3 steets.

Against a ABC non-bluffer, I absolutely bet the turn. I'm still looking to setup a play for stacks by the river. So I'd probably go 1/2 PSB of $35. This is a reasonable bet (both in terms of size of the pot and relative $ for a 1/3 NL game) that we shouldn't lose any decent draws / Kx, which will setup a ~PSB shove for the river (which he might feel committed to if he hits).

ETA: I know we haven't had too many responses yet, but I'm a bit surprised so many are checking against a straight forward non-bluffer. He so often just checks behind his draws here (and obviously isn't paying off UI on the river) and so we're missing big value from those by not making a bet. The only time I'd ever consider checking here is against an aggrotard or if there is a possible BBJ in play (which there isn't on this board).

GcluelessNLnoobG

I would keep betting, we're OOP what are we doing otr, checking it again? Just bet round 25 bucks rn. If he folds now, he's folding the river anyway.

In general when we cbet the flop and the 2nd pair makes trips+ we want to check because we are mostly betting top pair and checking 2nd pair.
KQx is a bit weird in that AK is likely to 3bet pre. and even KQo "isn't a call" on the BTN vs. UTG. So there's some merit to betting AQ and even QJ on the flop.
Of course 1/2 or 1/3 I wouldn't be shocked if rando. V had KTo and happily called flop.


I also just check/call, because we have the nuts and the virtual nuts on every river.