Villain - Casino reg, 50-ish usually seems to have a healthy stack. I used to think he was TAG, but two hands this session have caused me to change my opinion, including one where he won a big pot defending blind from button with J2s, led with the draw, c/c called turn and rivered a flush.
Hero - playing fairly tight after being card dead. Recently reloaded after going all in on a draw which I did not show (lost to pocket 3s). Since rebuying for $400 I have chipped up to about $500, mainly from semi-bluffs and have not shown down in a while.
Pre-flop: UTG straddles to $10. He is an aggro spewtard and also the one who called my pot sized all in with pocket 3s to bust me the first time.
Hero: calls straddle with 9
9
. I am expecting spewtard to raise over the callers and then plan to 4-bet. This plan is foiled when MP raises to $35. Sadly, spewtard folds and I call.
Flop ($87) A
6
8
I lead out for $45. Villain calls.
OK so this lead bet was not great. I thought from villain's POV, my most likely holding was either a big ace or a medium pocket pair. I donk bet to rep the ace figuring he may fold out a better hand and if he called or or raised I would give up on the hand. I hated folding with just one over and I figured there was no chance he would check back, so I wanted to set the price and take the initiative.
When he smooth called, I figured he most likely had something like JJ-KK or AJ, AT type of hand.
Turn ($177) 9
Hero?