Quote:
Originally Posted by DeathCabForTootie
I'm not saying it's the wrong play, but check/shoving on an A-high board for 125 BB effective in a single-raised pot seems....rash.
Let's say we check and a field player bets $40-45 with an Ace. We jam for whatever the effective stack is. Let's say its $250 based on the HH. It's 1.6-1 to call. How many LLSNL players are folding topsies in this spot? I'd argue not many. Of course, it's read-dependent. But jamming 6-high with little fold equity seems a bit spewey.
Like I said in my initial reply: fold preflop.
We don't need much fold equity at all for it to be profitable because we have a significant amount of pot equity. I mean, FFS we have 42% equity against AA w/o a heart and 40% against AhAx. We have 52% against AxXh, 49% against Ax7h. In fact, the only dominated spot we are facing is if someone has AhKh, but then we still have 31% in a massive pot.
Our opponents don't have to fold often at all for this to be hugely profitable. And a lot of times they call when we are a favorite.
I do, however, agree with folding/3betting preflop. Mostly folding though. A 3 bet prob isn't terrible with the right table dynamics.
. You would be 22% to win, or need 5:1 go break even. you have to call 120 to win 575. you have to call. this is basic math.
