Quote:
Originally Posted by IronedSheik
DGAF, I'm intrigued. I would not have thought this. What bluff does villain think he's catching and with what? Catching hero's random paint with a 9 or A-rag (or maybe TT)? Isn't that a really small portion of the possibilities (flushes, AK-AJ, a six) without a strong read?
Villain's instacall on the turn is the key IMO. If he's clueless, he just has a draw like chili mentioned. If he's seasoned, he knows snapping with a draw is a costly tell and he's actually snapping with a bluffcatcher, hoping his quick call tells hero, "hey, I'm not folding, don't even try to bluff the river (please)." Also- and most importantly, if villain has a hand that is 2 pair+ and he isn't a scared out of his mind nit, he has to at least take a few seconds to at least consider raising op's turn lead on that board...
As profiled, villain has 1 pair on the turn a huge % of the time and we are doing great against that range on the river and should use our confusing line to go for value. If op ran into AK or something better that villain played freakishly, so be it. The line (especially the river bet) was solid based on probability and the info available. IMO.