1/3, 500 eff., hero has been somewhat card dead and running bad for several hours. Getting some AJ/Q/K type hands in EP, getting 2-3 callers and seeing a bunch of ten high flops that I just can't continue on. Won a nice pot when I got priced in to get it in with a flush draw that hit, but mostly doing a lot of x/folding, sometimes making a hand and usually taking down the pot on the turn.
Hero has A
A
in HJ and opens to 15. Only BB calls. Big blind is too loose, plays weak post flop, generally plays his draws passively, and doesn't understand how to put villains on a range. Thus he won't realize he should fold his TP weak kickers and so on.
Flop (30): 3
4
8
Villain checks, hero bets 20, villain calls.
Turn (70): Q
Villain donks 26, hero raises to 55, villain hesitates, is unhappy, and calls.
River (180): 2
Villain checks, hero bets 60, villain is uncomfortable and makes kind of a crying call, but doesn't tank over it at all.
Anyone think I should be betting or raising more on turn or river? I bet 60 because I felt villain would call with whatever Q he might have, and I'm not really sure he could have much but a Q once he flats the min-raise... a Q with a flush draw is probably the top of his range, but I don't even know about how likely the draw is.
Maybe I could be betting at least 90 on the river. Maybe even 110-130?