Quote:
Originally Posted by Thorware
Hero in the BB has KQ and elects to make a speculative overcall OOP.
Overcall? I have never heard that term before. What does that mean?
There's already an open limper, so a raise to $12 is quiet modest at a low-stakes live table. I usually open raise for $12, against limpers I raise more. Generally speaking most players will raise limpers a lot more, if they have a premium holding. Dunno about V2 though, do you have a read on his betting patterns PF?
I think this is an easy call most of the time. Folding seems too weak, especially as you are getting a great price from the BB, and your hand is good.
3-betting is dangerous, as the only hands that V1 or V2 will call/4-bet with, are hands that will crush yours. Ones that don't will fold. Plus any hand you play will be OOP. Do you really want to play a big pot OOP with a hand like KQo? You would need a really good read on V2 to know that he is raising light, to make 3-betting the right play here. Its totally possible that he might be, so something to think about.
Anyway, a flat call is the play you made.
Its Christmas time on the flop. Lets think about the ideal situation from here... and that would be getting all the chips in right now. Another spade coming makes your life very awkward. If the other players don't have a FD, they won't want to put much more in the pot on the turn or river. If they do have a FD and make the flush, you're going to have to make hard decisions on the turn and river. Similar problem if the board pairs, although I think the board pairing on the turn is better than another spade, for your hand.
Now lets think about what V1 and V2 have. From your write-up V1 is a passive fish. He's cold called a raise OOP, after OL. Now he bets into the original raiser for half pot, on a wet board, with three players still in the hand. Hmmm sounds like he has something. Something pretty good that he'll want to continue with. Its probably not a set, but 2pair, or a pair with a OESD, or a lower straight, or a FD with a pair, or a high FD.
V2 sees this donk lead into him on the flop, and then re-raises him, with two other players to act behind. V2 has something good here as well. AA, KK, and QQ all make sense. So does JJ, TT, and 99. A
K
, A
Q
, (and maybe A
9
, or 8
) are also in his range. He could have KQ too including K
Q
, and AJo. Last but not least, maybe 87s. That's all the hands he has here, that's he going to re-raise with in this spot.
I think V1 wants to play a pot, and will continue with his hand. Charge him to suck out. Also if he does call or raise your 4-bet, it will likely drag in most of V2s range, building a massive pot when you have the nuts!
V2 will fold AA, KK, AJo here if you 4-bet the flop, and he has half a brain. I think he will continue with QQ, especially if he has the Q of spades. He continues with all his sets, and probably want to get AI right now too. Its a dangerous board for those hands. The strong broad way hands with spades will have to play especially if Mr Donk hops aboard the value train. Dunno about 87s if its not 8
7
Calling the $60 only allows you to either be drawn out on cheaply, and be OOP OTT and river. Or a scare card comes and you action gets quashed.
Raise now... the question is how much. I think make it something like $250 is good. If you get flat called by V1, then I think V2 is jamming here a lot. Ditto if V1 jams.