Prehand Descriptions
Villain 1: regular, lots of history with hero, fairly passive, does not get paid off much, calls too much preflop but plays 100% fit or fold postflop, does not cbet, slightly scared money
Villain 2: regular, lots of history with hero, intelligent and understands basic poker strategy but spewy and loves to chase (justifies this by implied odds thinking he will get paid off every time), fairly loose preflop, calling station preflop, horrible spewy bluffer
Hero: tight-aggressive, occasionally bluffs and 3 barrels, but more or less usually bets for value, however more loose aggressive lately
$1/1 NL home game (5 handed)
UTG villain 2 ($300)
MP ($300)
Button hero ($120)
SB ($150)
BB villain 1 ($60)
Hero is dealt A
5
UTG villain 2 limps, MP folds, button hero raises to $3, SB folds, BB villain 1 unhappily calls, UTG villain 2 casually shrugs and calls
Both villains are pretty easy to read, and it is clear that neither are slowplaying here. Villian 1's range is now is AQ-A8, small pocket pairs up to maybe 99, suited connectors, suited one gappers, and two high unsuited cards down to maybe T9. Villian 2's range is Ax suited, very small pocket pairs, suited connectors, one two, and maybe even 3 gappers, and unsuited mid connectors.
Flop ($10) T
4
2
Villain 1 checks, Villain 2 checks, Hero bets $6, Villain 1 calls, Villain 2 casually shrugs and calls
I flop a gutshot, but the odds are so small that I would hardly consider this a semibluff. It's a simple cbet, and with 2 callers, I would usually give up. But here, the ranges are so narrow. Villain 1 calling narrows his range down to top pair mid-high kicker, pocket pair between 4 and T, or maybe flush draw and overcards, or maybe up and down straight with backdoor flush. Villain 2, based on his body language, clearly has either a flush or up and down straight draw. With such a read, I decide to fire another barrel if the turn misses straights and flushes.
Turn ($28) 9
Villain 1 checks, Villain 2 checks, Hero bets $12, Villain 1 complains and regretfully calls, Villain 2 casually shrugs and calls
At this point, it is very much clear that Villain 1 has top pair mid kicker, either JT, T8, or T7. A combo draw like Q
J
is also possible. Villain 2's range does not change. From past history, I know a river bet can easily push Villain 1 off his hand the majority of the time, assuming he has top pair.
River ($64) 4
Villain 1 checks, Villain 2 checks. Does Hero fire 3rd barrel here? If yes, how much does he bet? If no, why not?