Quote:
Originally Posted by thirdstringpunter
First post, felt the need to create an account after experiencing this insane spot, please excuse/give advice on my hand review formatting
Context: recent table switch, doubled up first hand set over two pair, extremely splashy table. I consider myself a learning novice, general understanding of poker concepts, practicing on implementing them effectively
1/2NLHE
Hero on the big blind with J9 Spades
UTG opens to 10, two callers behind, button raises to 30
Hero cold call on Big Blind (definitely fold pre over time, but I Just saw button 3 bet 35off and 26off within the last orbit. Also definitely thinking everyone behind is calling, and I’d fold to 4bet)
Everyone calls
5ways to a flop of 7s8s4d
Pot 150
I decide to lead for 75 (questionable play, definitely don’t love it looking back at the hand, in the moment my thought process was try to get heads up.)
UTG Jams folds around to me, has me covered, 445 to call. This is where it gets crazy.
......
Just want to get some feedback on the hand as a whole. I’d love to hear any advice anyone might have about the process they go through in situations like this. Also, advice on how to keep the adrenaline dump from fogging up the train of thought. Thanks
Read Skylansky's book the theory of poker. The situation you're in completely simplifies things. In a lot of poker situations you have unknowns you basically trying to put together what is profitable based on what limited information you have. A lot of time poker is like doing 2 + x = y. In this case, you know that you're adding 2 plus 3 so the answer is 5.
You have at most 9 cards that make your flush assuming none were folded. You have 4 cards to make a straight. That said, one of those spades gives him quads. The board can also pair. You need to look at what was in the pot, how much it is to call and what your odds are of winning. You l iterally could have taken out fyour phone and calculated.
The money in the pot is dead money. It doesn't matter, but counts in the value.
Your Net Expected Value is
Losing 65.25% - $-445
Winning 34.75% $387..46
or -$57.54
Was it a bad call? Yes. Was it a horrible call? Not overly. Was he UTG dumb here for opening 44 UTG? Yes. It's poker though.
Your real issue here is that you have need to learn a lot of the basic things.