CLIFFNOTES: If you went to Level III, you probably could have made this call, but it feels like you were on Level II and not adjusting to villain's adjustment to your image
GRUNCH (grunch means i'm posting without reading anyone's replies)
If you search threads started by me in this forum you will see that I make these sorts of calls all the time. Incidentally, don't post results
Quote:
Originally Posted by spewtardnewbie
5/5 NL
Villain - 40+ white, my impression he is an arrogrant prick, full of himself, thinks he's a poker god, decent weak live player, probably below average if he plays online. i've seen him re-raise in MP with 67suited pre flop.
He lost his first buy-in of $500. Re-buy $600 and went on a heater.
Hero - asian, young, perceived as playing weird, aggressive, LAGtard
The hand starts right here imo. Now, there are two interpretations of your comments.
#1 We recognize the traits that Villain has and we are actively going to try to exploit his arrogance and get him to make as many mistakes as possible
#2 Who the F*** does he think he is? He thinks he's better than me? I'll show him who is the best player. He doesn't know who he's F***ing with.
I don't mean to be condescending but most poker players (especially young players in their 20s) can help but revert to #2. Its important that you don't lie to yourself here. Your mistake began with your mindset about V. Your mindset was based on EGO. Pure and simple. A part of you was just "itching" to show this guy who's boss. Hence your willingness to take a "weird line" instead of a line that was for max value. but we'll get to that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by spewtardnewbie
Hero - UTG - JhJs - $1500
Villain - Middle Position - $2000+
Pre-flop
Hero raised $25
Villain called
everyone fold
Flop
7h10h3s
Hero checked
Villain bet $60
Hero raised $210
Villain called
Okay, going for a c/r here vs this villain for the amount that you did isn't bad per say. You guys are deep. But I'm not sensing a lot of thought behind the c/r. With this c/r you are repping a semi-bluff, AQhh or AKhh type but unfortunately, you don't have A
to serve as a blocker meaning that A
x
type hands can be in V's range.
Now, here is where the higher principles of poker need to come in. If V has A
X
then his best odds for drawing to the flush are on the flop and he should 4bet flop. So since he doesn't 4bet I don't think he has the nut flush draw.
Another point is what he thinks you have. Since you c/r flop he's got to put the Flush draw in your range, perhaps A
Q
type hands. But wait!!!!! According to you,
your image is "weird, aggressive, and LAG". So, this means V can put a lot of air in your range and not worry so much about you having A
Q
type hands... In fact, V should be expecting you to be "weird, aggressive, and LAG" which a c/r on this flop to the amount you raised certainly is. So the impact of all this is that if V is a thinking player and has a hand that has value he can call and reevaluate turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by spewtardnewbie
Flop
7h10h3s
Turn($470)
4h
Hero bets $250
Villain shoves all in
Not a bad value bet on turn. UNfortunately, V thinks of you as "weird, aggressive, and LAG".
here is where you failed to go to Level III.
What does V think your bet is trying to do? Given that V sees you as "weird, aggressive, and LAG", V thinks that you are trying to take control of the pot, possibly even draw with A
K
type hands, or maybe pot control with JJ-AA type hands with no heart or maybe you are firing a probe bet to see where you are at.
Going back to what V has.
If V had the nuts here would he really shove all-in??? If V had A
X
or K
Q
type hand he's probably just raising you to $600 because he WANTS a call or flatting your bet so you can continue your aggression on the river (and I think he does the same with a baby flush). So then, what is V trying to do?
V is trying to fold you out.
And why not???
The problem I see in this hand is that you didn't incorporate what villain thinks about you into your decisions. You were more Level II with "What does villain have" instead of being Level III which is "what does villain think that I think he has" and "what does villain think I think..."
Villain thinks you are "wierd, aggressive, and LAG" so how is he going to read you and adjust to you? One way is by blowing you off the hand because given your image it is rare you have the nuts here, a set, or A
A
type hand where you have to call.
Then there is villain's arrogant tendency right?
Looking at this mathematically, you need villain to be bluffing here roughly 35% of the time to be able to call him here.
So now lets look at your read
Quote:
Villain - 40+ white, my impression he is an arrogrant prick, full of himself, thinks he's a poker god, decent weak live player, probably below average if he plays online.
Do you think this is the sort of player that "can" bluff in this spot 35% of the time?
If the answer is yes, then this is a call.
So, if you add everything up, this river isn't only a call, its actually a SNAP call vs this villain.
You should never take a "weird" line without thinking it through and understanding exactly what the effects of the "weird line" is going to have on the hand. You need to have a plan for every action, every street.
And lastly, don't let your ego mess up your thinking or your hand. Its hard, but we have to learn to keep our ego out of our decisions...
Good Luck